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#1
08-23-2013, 07:40 AM
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8/23: Saratoga (Day 31-G1 Ballerina; $47k C/O)
Smallest Saratoga card in recent weeks was a lot of fun Thursday and some good ideas started with a terrific runner-up effort from 11-1 All Together in the G1 NY Turf Writers Cup. Solid prices all afternoon made for big horizontal and vertical mutuels when you connected, with the elusive P4's returning $1,260 early and $1,905 late. A $47k carryover was a remnant of the tricky P6 sequence.
Cheyenne Nation keyed a nice $114 tri and $546 super in the 6th while Kiaran McLaughlin indeed got another firster home as Sky Painter tipped the 7th race $118 triple off his $18.00 win tote. With Sugar On Top killed any multi-race momentum I had in the 8th ahead of a good finish in the turf sprint scramble nightcap. Hope everyone got something along the way. Finally got a soaking rain overnight which should help the turf courses into the big Travers Weekend that starts today with a terrific G1 Ballerina.. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD) Kowboy King a half to Regally Ready; Mischieviously a half to Gone Astray.. Most Likely: #1 Havana 2-1 WON ($2.80) Next Best: #5 Kendall's Boy 3-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Chomsky 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Roberto Gato 20-1 7th 2nd: Chowder's First-NY, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) The Lumber Guy back with Hushion after disastrous winter in California and returns in this tough spot. Imposing on best and seems to be coming around based on drills, but plenty vulnerable at a short price.. Most Likely: #3 The Lumber Guy 4-5 2nd Best Value: #6 Palace 12-1 WON ($27.00) Next Best: #2 N. F.'s Destiny 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Spa City Fever 10-1 4th 3rd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Crackerjack Jones 3-1 5th Best Value: #3 Driven by Solar 6-1 4th Next Best: #4 Writingonthewall 4-1 WON ($10.80) Exotics Use: #2 Dehere of the Cat 6-1 3rd 4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 (POE) Yo Blue 6-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #4 Bashful Bandit 10-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Unbridled Logic 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Pyro City 6-1 5th 5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) $47k P6 C/O starts here.. Quirky end to P4 and start of P6. 8-5 ML choice Ainteasybringgreen is filly v. C&G's that faced open company in debut. Feels shaky.. Most Likely: #3 Ziggy the Great 3-1 WON ($6.70) Best Value: #2 Mommas Mark 6-1 4th Next Best: #7 Ainteasybringgreen 8-5 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Maybrys Challenge 7-2 7th <$50 P4 Play: 2: 3-6 3: 1-3-4 4: 1-4-7 5: 1-2-3-5-7 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45 $0.50 Pick 4 (6/4/1,5,10/3) Paid $457.50 6th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Lutesifer 7-2 4th Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 5-2 WON ($8.80) Best Value: #6 Optionality 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Spintastic 5-1 2nd 7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Not sure what is so special about 3-1 Linda Rice entry.. Most Likely: #8 Bustle 4-1 WON ($7.40) Next Best: #9 Alwaysinmycircle 6-1 6th Best Value: #5 Group Therapy 12-1 7th Exotics Use: #6 Casual Elegance 6-1 9th 8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Likewise, 3-1 Elusive Rumour needs to improve to beat several here.. Most Likely: #3 Double the Energy 7-2 6th Best Value: #7 Jitney 10-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Subtle 4-1 WON ($6.70) Exotics Use: #5 Elusive Rumour 3-1 7th 9th: 35th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (DD) Outstanding start to the Travers Weekend Stakes activity with deep, talented assembly of sprinting fillies & mares. Make 1-3-5-6-8 the pool of likeliest winners with Book Review an underlay as 5-2 ML fave. Dance to Bristol remarkably plucky when rallying through trouble in Honourable Miss. Versatile and 7 panels is probably her best trip.. Most Likely: #1 Dance to Bristol 3-1 WON ($5.50) Best Value: #8 Late SCR Next Best: #6 Starship Truffles 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #9 Glorious View 20-1 10th 10th: MSW, 3+, 9f-IT Super competitive finale. Yeesh.. Most Likely: #2 Secretive 5-1 3rd Best Value: #7 Brilliant Command 15-1 7th Next Best: #10 Late SCR Exotics Use: #11 Marine Patrol 7-2 9th <$150 P6 Play: 5: 1-2-3-7 6: 1-4 7: 8 8: 3-7-8 9: 1-6-8 10: 2 4x2x1x3x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 $2 Pick 6 (3/1/3,8,11,12/6,8,10,12,13,14,15/1/3) Paid $67.00 (5OF6) <$50 P4 Play: 7: 5-6-7-8-9 8: 3-7-8 9: 1-6-8 10: 2-7 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-23-2013 at 06:15 PM. 
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#2
08-23-2013, 11:40 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
08-23-2013, 02:23 PM
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How do you go from $12 in your account to $247? You play Steve's picks in the early pk3. Thanks a lot!!!!!
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#8
08-23-2013, 06:10 PM
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Great job today Steve. Get that train Rollin right into tomorrow's big card. Good luck.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#13
08-23-2013, 09:17 PM
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THX all.. Another fun afternoon. Palace made the P4 work. P6 would have been nice. What an effort by Dance to Bristol. Glad to hear of hits and hope everyone did well! Great.. really great.. weekend ahead.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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