8/29: Saratoga (Day 36-G2 With Anticipation; $273k C/O)

[Kasept]

Thoroughly wild Wednesday at Saratoga delivered a variety of plausible to impossible price winners including $21.40 Yampa River, $89 Kimmie's Lucky Star, $44.80 Blue Pigeon, $27 Indian Starlight and $31.20 Image of Disco. The old 'shipping money' conceot may have reared its' head as part of the boxcar bonanza too, as trainers Jimmy Ryerson and Anthony Quartarolo (both 0/15 entering the day) got their first Spa wins. The enigmatic results tripped a 2 day P6 carryover of $273,760 into Thursday's good slate..


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Speedy Mr. Universo should take to this course..

Best Value: #7 MR. UNIVERSO 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Kingdom 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Bluegrass Summer 8-1 WON ($11.40)
Super Add: #4 Royal Fling Shot 7-2 4th


2nd: Mrs. Walter Jeffords, F&M-4+, 16.5f-National Fences (Pp3, DD)

Much of the cast from the Mrs. Phipps returns here..

Most Likely: #2e Fisher entry 2-1 3rd/5th
Best Value: #3 Cat Feathers 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Fout entry 7-2 4th/7th
Exotics Use: #4 Kisser N Run 6-1 6th


3rd: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Competitive group..

Most Likely: #2 (POE) Lender's Way 4-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Little Rocket 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Hot Splash 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Keep Bustin 3-1 2nd


4th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Star Harbour will every chance to wire this but note that this gambit wasn't working as well as anticipated Wednesday..

Most Likely: #8 Star Harbour 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #2 Majestic Number 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Blind Hope 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Terminus 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Hebert Hall 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Jess Not Jesse 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Downtownoscarbrown 8-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Off the Page 5-2 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$273k P6 C/O starts here..

As with Wednesday's lynchpin 5th linking end of early P4 and start of C/O sequence, a very difficult group to decipher. Feels like there's enough speed up front to be looking towards stalker-closers as the solution..

Most Likely: #4 Victory Island 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Nuff Said Nuff Said 8-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #9 Full of Intent 9-2 12th
Exotics Use: #3 Quiet Sunshine 15-1 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 2-3-6
4: 1-2-8
5: 2-4
6: 3-4-8-9-11

3x3x2x5 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,7/8/3,4,9,10,11,12/8) Paid $80.87


7th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Wow.. Superfecta exiters from the opening Monday Joe Can Gallop score here as well as Mr. O'Leary who moves to lawn after chasing Eastwood. Chad Brown firster Lion Keen has worked steadily for bow and his brother-in-law Bruce Brown has a live FTS in Enough Already. Very difficult, especially if you expect regression from Kingston Bay in 2nd start..

Most Likely: #7 Mr. O'Leary 7-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Enough Already 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Kingston Bay 5-2 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #9 Lion Keen 8-1 8th


8th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Third P6 leg and opener of late P4 another juvenile curiosity..

Best Value: #4 Thundering Gale 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Long Island Lee 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Friends Pro 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Winekeeper 5-1 2nd


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Roses for Romney 8-5 8th
Next Best: #9 Funny Money 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Pure Amour 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Adriatic Dream 10-1 5th


10th: 9th With Anticipation (G2), 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #6 BASE CASE SCENARIO 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 We Miss Artie 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Tiger Bourbon 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 River Dancer 12-1 2nd


11th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #4 Brandys Secret 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Broken Trust Fund 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Harbingerofthings 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Score Boyera 12-1 9th


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 4-8-9
7: 4-7-8-9
8: 1-4
9: 1
10: 6
11: 4-10

3x4x2x1x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-4-6-8
9: 1-9
10: 2-3-6-7
11: 4-5-10

4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S