9/8: Belmont Park ($43k C/O)

[Kasept]

Mystery Tour of racetracks hit its' 4th stop in 6 days Saturday with Belmont opener on the heels of Saratoga (Mon.) and Del Mar (Wed.) closures and Churchill (Fri.) opener. Inaugural New York P5 went nicely with a $195 return off the $45 punch as the wager took a solid toehold immediately with a $238k pool. The day produced a number of productive thoughts throughout, including favorite angles like Clement firsters over a mile (7th: $13.00 Bikini Beauty) and open turf route (9th: $762 triple through $25.20 Unprecedented). The day rolled on beyond Belmont with Kentucky Downs, Arlington, Louisiana Downs and Churchill extended the action deep into the evening. Hope everyone did well! $43k carryover at Belmont for day two. "Loose on the Lead" 10-11a so not a lot of time for details beyond the tabs..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Feels like a much tougher P5 today than Saturday. Watch Double probable prices for clues in the 2 maiden events that start the sequence..

Most Likely: #3 From the Point 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Executive Office 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Geaux Mets 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Coviello 6-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

No one here would shock, but you may just need to stand with the 3 ML faves for austerity purposes..

Most Likely: #5 Rebranded 5-2
Best Value: #2 Long Water 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Mosler 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Master Lightening 10-1 2nd


3rd: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sweet Maxine 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #4 L B's Expression 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Sweet Hot Toddy 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Kitty Panda 3-1 4th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Color Me Kitten is a wire candidate..

Best Value: #2 Color Me Kitten 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Revealing Moment 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Group Therapy 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Blue Sixty Four 15-1 6th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Challenging end to P5 and start of carryover sequence. 5-6-8-10-11-12 appear the players..

$43k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 A Better Tomorrow 4-1 7th
Best Value: #11 Ocala Jim 15-1 WON ($38.60)
Next Best: #10 Mister Dooley 6-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Sunnysider 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 1-2-3-4
2: 2-5
3: 4-6-8
4: 2-4
5: 5-10-11

4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 4-6-7-8
4: 2-4
5: 5-10-11

4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/8/4/11) Paid $350.25


6th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

St. Sincere a serious single consider with wire opp..

Most Likely: #4 St. Sincere 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Shortcoming 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 McIlroy 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Fullcontrol 15-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Crescent 3-1 12th
Best Value: #4 Otoy 12-1 WON ($21.80)
Next Best: #6 Ichiban Warrior 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Therios 6-1 9th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Red Vine 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Ghost Hunter 3-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Master Wesley 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Yellow Mountain 8-1 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Kiss Me Lola 7-2 9th
Best Value: #8 Lawless Miss 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Sustained 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Yes It's Pink 4-1 3rd


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Orino 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Wishingonadream 20-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Wish Exultation 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Noosh's Tale 4-1 6th


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 5-6-8-10-11-12
6: 4
7: 8
8: 1-2-9
9: 1-2-7-8
10: 2

6x1x1x3x4x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-8
8: 1-2-9
9: 1-2-7-8
10: 2-5-7-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[casp0555]

P4 =

thanks Steve...great job

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by casp0555

P4 =

thanks Steve...great job

THX Billy.. Was nice to get something out of at least one of the nice prices. Hope everyone did well and saw lots of great work on the playday thread..

DBL C/O WED. = $137k