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Old 12-26-2013, 08:01 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 12/26: Santa Anita (Opening Day; 4th-9th)

SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Lots of speed here and Five Palms figures to get an ideal outside stalking voyage under visiting (My Happy Face; No Jet Lag; Flashback) Rosario..

Most Likely: #8 Five Palms 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #9 Big Macher 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Door's Open 6-1 4th



5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Trelawny 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Atta Boy Pete 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Koast 3-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Mambo Man 12-1 4th


6th: 41st La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Lulu the filly to beat with benefits of pace edge and rail. Would love to try to find a way best her, but should be very tough unless confronted early and often..

Most Likely: #1 Sweet Lulu 8-5 2nd
Next Best: # 6 My Happy Face 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Heir Kitty 9-2 WON ($28.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Executiveprivlege 4-1 3rd


7th: 14th Sir Beaufort (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Narrow focus here with favorites -- No Jet Lag/Tom's Tribute -- seemingly holding big edge over rest of the cast. Considering that top pair in La Brea should cover you starting the P4, going 2 deep here should set things up well for coverage in the Malibu..

Most Likely: #9 Tom's Tribute 3-1 6th
Next Best: #8 No Jet Lag 5-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Dice Flavor 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Outside Nashville 20-1 DH-3rd


8th: 62nd Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD)

Last G1 of the year and always an interesting, competitive cast. One third of group has big speed lined up shoulder to shoulder outside (#'s 9-12) and those looking to rally may need to at least stay in touch with the battling pacesetters because there is always a chance one or two of the frontrunners stay on. I'm looking to the stalkers here which centers around deserving favorite Flashback (7-2). Central Banker (6-1) is the right price to work with from a wagering standpoint..

Best Value: #7 Central Banker 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Flashback 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Zeewat 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Heir of Storm 6-1 6th


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Confisio 7-2 11th
Best Value: #12 Primal Lad 30-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Magna Warrior 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Mr. Cactus 4-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #10 New Order 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

$2.00 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($12.00)
$1.00 pick P4: 6 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($6.00)
$1.00 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 3,10,11 with 5 ($6.00)
$1.00 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 2,8,12 ($18.00)
$0.50 pick P4: 2,4,7 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($9.00)
$0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,4,5,6,7 with 4,5,7 with 5 ($7.50)
$0.50 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 2,6,8,9,12 with 5 ($5.00)
$0.50 pick P4: 1 with 8,9 with 4,5,7 with 9,10 ($6.00)

Total: $69.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-27-2013 at 05:43 AM.
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Old 12-26-2013, 04:17 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 12-26-2013, 04:48 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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Great job with the ICE COLD Super in the 4th!!

Merry Christmas, good luck today and thanks as always for your time and insights.
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Old 12-26-2013, 05:43 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Great job with the ICE COLD Super in the 4th!!

Merry Christmas, good luck today and thanks as always for your time and insights.
Thanks Larry.. Hopefully a good omen for the meet. Hope you had a great Christmas!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 12-26-2013, 07:42 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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$118k SANTA ANITA C/O FRIDAY
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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