Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-03-2014, 08:41 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default 4/3: Aqueduct ($29k C/O)

Some days your best play is no play at all. Had started to write up Wednesday's Aqueduct action, but was struggling with decisions and scuttled the tabs. That turned out to be fortuitous because a strong bias carried some improbable horses to the winner's circle including 60-1 Little Miss Lupe who tripped a rare 'all' payoff in the 6th-8th Pick 3. $29K carryover into Thursday. Monitor track status early on in the 3 sprints that begin the day.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MCLM/$16k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Wood On the Fire the speed of the speed and horse to beat but Englehart turnback Kaepernick drops to the bottom and can stalk from down inside. Morley's Maggie's Lad returns for 3yo debut and won't have to be special to succeed here..

Most Likely: #1 Wood On the Fire 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Kaepernick 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Maggie's Lad 4-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Bob and Jim 7-2 4th


5th: CLM, 4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

This is a very solid, consistent group for $12.5k. Sovereign Default is clearly the one but Rice isn't always aggressive and there are some players to the the outside that may apply pressure or try to grab control. If favorite gets out easy and track continues to be glib, it's a parade. But if the pace happens to get contested, this will become a scramble where no one is impossible..

Most Likely: #1 Sovereign Default 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #3 Washington's Rules 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Junior Officer 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Southbeachsandy 4-1 3rd


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific sophomore ALW group with no less than 3 viable price candidates in Pass the Coffee (8-1), Life in Shambles (8-1) and Eye Luv Lulu (15-1) SCR'D. Lulu stretches out and goes from Phil Teator to Cornelio Velasquez and can wire if left to own devices.

Most Likely: #6 Oltre' Oro 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Peter Island 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pass the Coffee 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Life in Shambles 8-1 WON ($15.40)


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Big Deluxe may build a big, insurmountable lead

Most Likely: #4 Sinistra 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 The Brothers Rap 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 The Big Deluxe 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Ultimate Empire 7-2 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Former Galluscio NYB stakes heroine Marriedtothemusic makes first start under care of Linda Rice..

Most Likely: #6 Marriedtothemusic 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Mr. O'Leary 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Dighton 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Coolusive 6-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3+, 1m

Most Likely: #8 Magnificent Moon 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Bundler 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Mad Props 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Aly's Favorite Boy 12-1 5th


<$100 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 7 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,4,5,6,7 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $10.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 1,3,7 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 1,3,6 with 6 with 8 - $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 1,2,3 with 8 - $6.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 1 0 $2.00

Total: $100.00


<$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 6 with 8 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 - $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 6,7 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 3,7 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4 with 6 with 8 - $0.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,3 with 6 with 8 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 4 with 8 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 1 - $1.00

Total: $53.50


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 04-03-2014 at 07:34 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-03-2014, 11:26 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-03-2014, 03:34 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default

Off to Y to swim.. G/L all the rest of the way!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-03-2014, 04:00 PM
Arletta's Avatar
Arletta Arletta is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Meadow in the Sun
Posts: 9,385
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Off to Y to swim.. G/L all the rest of the way!
Do you wear a swimmers cap?

131640-michael-phelps.jpg


Better yet, how about a Speedo?

speedo.jpg
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-04-2014, 07:14 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arizonadave View Post
Steve in your writeup in race 6 you had the 4 3 6 7 but used the 1 3 4 6 in the P4.no 7 except one ticket.did I miss something
While doing the Post-SCR adjustments I botched up the preference order.. Noticed it later and moved Oltre' Oro up. Life in Shambles was always a 'C' though on the plays..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-04-2014, 07:16 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arletta View Post
Do you wear a swimmers cap?

Better yet, how about a Speedo?


Don't like the cap.. Trunks of choice currently are Hurley board shorts. Very cool designs..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:40 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.