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Old 05-10-2014, 09:30 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 5/10: Belmont Park (7th-10th); Santa Anita (6th-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Hard read given that Mr. Jenney, Stableford and Make a Decision are all making seasonal debuts off 6-9 month breaks. 2-1 fave Edison needed 100 days himself after MDN win in January, was in KY with Pletcher string from mid-April and will have to improve to win. Iron Power and Giant Finish raced through the winter and have likely fitness edge here. Sciacca has been bifing time with Giant Finish wanting to get him on the grass since watching him work after move to barn. Sinistra is solid state-bred ALW type but an unknown on grass with very little to suggest he'll take to it. Female family has no lawn positives while sire Stonesider's progeny 0/33 first time turf and just 9% thereafter..

Most Likely: #4 Mr. Jenney 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #3 Giant Finish 15-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Iron Power 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Make a Decision 5-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Nice group. Would love to reach for Rice's Erik the Red at 8-1 but not sure there's enough pace involved to get him up..

Most Likely: #8 Eastwood 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 WON ($7.20)/7th
Best Value: #4 Erik the Red 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Confrontation 6-1 2nd


9th: 60th Peter Pan (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Fabulous Kid will be on a loose lead in this traditional Belmont S. prep and Rosario will have to be sure to stay close enough on Tonalist to reel him in. The question is whether Fabulous Kid can stay on to fend off the Matterhorn, Our Caravan, Commissioner, Irish You Well and even Tapicero..

Most Likely: #4 Tonalist 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #7 Irish You Well 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Fabulous Kid 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Matterhorn 6-1 4th


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #7 Hurricane Turn 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #16 Distant Thoughts 12-1 7th
Next Best: #14 Better Man 5-1 3rd
Exotic Use: #4 Lord Trondor 3-1 4th


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 4 with 7 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,9 with 8 with 4 with 7 - $1.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,4,5,10 with 4 with 7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 1,2,6,7 with 7 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 4 with 16 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,9 with 1,4,5,10 with 4 with 7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,9 with 8 with 1,2,6,7 with 7 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,9 with 8 with 4 with 16 - $1.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,4,5,10 with 1,2,6,7 with 7 - $16.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,4,5,10 with 4 with 16 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 1,2,6,7 with 16 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 8 with 4 with 7 - $0.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 3,5 with 7 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 4 with 4,14,15 - $3.00

Total: $55.50



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Toppers Sunshine's 2 wins at 7.5 in AZ bode well for her prospects down the hill. 6-1 works and trip off Kerrilynn's hip should too..

Best Value: #4 Toppers Sunshine 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Kerrilynn 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Heat Du Jour 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Creditcardroulette 9-2 6th


7th: 20th Laz Barrera (G3), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Excellent set here and I'll reach back to Top Fortitude, the Uh Oh Bango brother that debuted smashingly at HOL at 2 but stubbed toe in 3yo debut last month off 5 month break. Came out of the ALW with Ferocious and Chelios and bulleted and draws perfectly to survey speed inside..

Best Value: #7 Top Fortitude 6-1 WON ($62.20)
Next Best: #3 Kobe's Back 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Ferocious 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Chelios 4-1 7th


8th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #3 Sunset Skies 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sweet Boss 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Vegas Rules 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Yes She's Unusual 6-1 WON ($15.80)


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Classy Ava 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 See Through GATE SCR
Next Best: #11 Enchanted Fortune 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Wasted at Midnight 8-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Southern Sunshine 9-2 4th


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 5 -$4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 5 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3,7 with 4,8 with 5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 1,7,8,11 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 3,7 with 4,8 with 5 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 1,7,8,11 - $16.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3,7 with 4,8 with 1,7,8,11 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 5 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,2,4,5 with 1,3 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3,7 with 5,7 with 5 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3,7 with 1,3 with 2,3 - $4.00

Total: $58.00


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-10-2014 at 08:30 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-10-2014, 11:19 AM
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Arletta Arletta is offline
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Belmont Scratches/Changes:http://www.nyra.com/belmont/changes/
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  #3  
Old 05-10-2014, 11:28 AM
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-10-2014, 05:57 PM
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Frightening fall and trample for Bejarano in the SA 4th..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-10-2014, 06:17 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Frightening fall and trample for Bejarano in the SA 4th..
transported to Huntington Hospital in Pasadena
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Old 05-10-2014, 07:16 PM
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Thank You Steve!!
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Old 05-10-2014, 07:19 PM
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Nice job on top fortitude steve!!!
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Old 05-10-2014, 07:30 PM
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Nice call in the 7th Steve !!!
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  #9  
Old 05-10-2014, 07:50 PM
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THX fellas.. That was really sweet. Can't believe we got that number.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-10-2014, 07:53 PM
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WOW, Great job on the big balloons!!

Congrats and thanks as always
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  #11  
Old 05-10-2014, 07:53 PM
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5-8-11 look to be only runners covered @santaanitapark P6. Believe all others would produce $107k+ C/O..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-10-2014, 08:28 PM
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5-8-11 look to be only runners covered .
and there's the tri
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Old 05-11-2014, 05:40 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
WOW, Great job on the big balloons!!

Congrats and thanks as always
Quote:
Originally Posted by arizonadave View Post
Didnt have time to look today,so used your numbers in P4 and P3. p3 payed very nice. thanks,Dave
Larry.. Dave.. THX a lot! Dave, nothing like putting bets in early and seeing bulbous balance later!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-11-2014, 08:13 AM
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Thank You Steve!!
Most men reach for the or in situations like this towards Stevie, but not our man Herkie. He goes straight to the .


(Nice job Stevie!)
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Old 05-11-2014, 10:43 AM
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Originally Posted by arizonadave View Post
Didnt have time to look today,so used your numbers in P4 and P3. p3 payed very nice. thanks,Dave
Don't you mean because you were in the mountains and had bad internet?
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