Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:13 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default Keeneland races 311/07

Well fun field right here. Have some horses coming from the turf, some from Turfway and a couple from dirt. I am using the best handicapping angle ever in this race. My wife's name is Sarah and the 3 horse is Sarah Supreme. So I have to use her.

$100 exacta wheel

3
with
1-6-8
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:19 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Well the 3 was a little head strong today. The jock moved too fast but i dont think he had any choice. At Keeneland you have to wait as long as possible to make your move. Whoever leads when turning for home just hits a brink wall. Good job by the 1 and Bejarano.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:29 PM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

so do you stop now, or keep chasing?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:32 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Oh keep going my friend. Prob will scale back my wagers to see if I can get into a groove.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:38 PM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

I like the #1A CLEVER DUDE and #4 PROPHET JOHNscratched in R2.

ex box
1,4
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:43 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB
I like the #1A CLEVER DUDE and #4 PROPHET JOHN in R2.

ex box
1,4
Yeah the entry could be tough. But Profit John scratched. I like the 8 for a long shot play.

My wayer in Race 2

$20 exacta wheel

1-3-7-8
with
1-7
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:48 PM
saucon17's Avatar
saucon17 saucon17 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Bethlehem, Pa.
Posts: 1,259
Default

Man did they slow this track down form the first 2 days
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-11-2007, 12:53 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

good lord how slow could they go - :26 and :52 - got to love this european style. anyway, got a win. i think the exacta paid about $31.80. So I got back $318. still way down on the day, but at least we are on the board.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:01 PM
paisjpq's Avatar
paisjpq paisjpq is offline
top predator.
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,020
Default

Well done whodey!
__________________
Seek respect, not attention.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:03 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Thanks...but I am down $952 today. On the good side, I am up $205 over the last 3 days.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:07 PM
saucon17's Avatar
saucon17 saucon17 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Bethlehem, Pa.
Posts: 1,259
Default

I like the #6 here Cool Mountain comes from a good first
out stable. Stidham charge has been working up a storm at
FG and here at KEE.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:12 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by saucon17
I like the #6 here Cool Mountain comes from a good first
out stable. Stidham charge has been working up a storm at
FG and here at KEE.
We are thinking alike. First time Lasix, Gomex aboard and dropping like a stone in the odd from m/l 10-1.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:14 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Race 3

$20 exacta box

1-4-6-12
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:19 PM
saucon17's Avatar
saucon17 saucon17 is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Bethlehem, Pa.
Posts: 1,259
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by whodey17
Race 3

$20 exacta box

1-4-6-12
Nice hit buddy, Cool Mountain ran a little green in the stretch and
won't be a maiden for long
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:21 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

This is what we like to see. I think the exacta will pay about $56.00. This helps tons and tons.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:26 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by saucon17
Nice hit buddy, Cool Mountain ran a little green in the stretch and
won't be a maiden for long
Thanks. yes he did run a little green. wont get 5-1 on him next time. Got back $578 on that one. Still long way to go.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:44 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Race 4

$20 exacta box

1-3-5-9
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 04-11-2007, 01:50 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Good race right there. Good job by the 3 and the connections.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 04-11-2007, 02:14 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Race 5

Well another Sarah in this race. The 4 is Sarahs Surprise. So I have to take her. I also like the 1-7-10-11

My wager is this.

$100 exacta key

4
with
1-7-10-11
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 04-11-2007, 02:18 PM
banter's Avatar
banter banter is offline
Sunshine Park
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 95
Default Vinery Madison

I'm intrigued by the 8th race, the G2 Vinery Madison. Who do you folks like in this one?

(btw... Annika Lass has scratched)

Seems to me that this is a wide open affair with at least four runners--Mary Delaney, Ginger Punch, Bright Abundance, and Leahs Secret--having the best chances to take it, and all at decent odds.

I'm tossing Yolanda B Too because, though she's fast enough, her last two races against graded company weren't that competitve and she has never tried a synthetic surface.

I really want to go with Bright Abundance--she's quick, she's the class of the field, she loves to win coming off a freshening, and she's been routing so she has a lot of bottom to her--but she's been strictly a turf runner up 'til now. Apparently Clemente believes a connection exists between success on the turf and success on Polytrack, but no-one has yet proven it to me. So I've drawn a line through Bright Abundance.

Brisnet says that Leahs Secret lacks the credentials to win the honors today, but I have to disagree. She's a seven furlong specialist, is running third off a layoff, and has won both her prior races at Keeneland. She looks good to me, but I have reservations because her recent form hasn't exactly been sparkling. So I'm drawing a line through her, too.

Ginger Punch is an improving lightly-raced filly who won her last 7f outing at Keeneland. Only once in her career has she failed to hit the board. Plus she has Frankel and Bejarano on her side. So, her chances can't be discounted. But she would have to step up big-time to prove that she can run well in graded company. So, she gets a line from me as far as the win is concerned.

So I've talked myself into going with Mary Delaney if her odds don't drop too much (morning line is 9/2). Her speed figures are competitive, she thrives on synthetic surfaces, she has won going 7f at Keeneland before, and she has been on the lead or within 3 lengths of the leader in her last three outs, indicating that her form is excellent right now. Plus she gets Prado. I'm still very concerned that, if she's sent right to the lead, the track at Keeneland will eat her up. Gate-to-wire speed rarely wins there. Nevertheless, and despite the jump in class she's making today, Mary Delaney is my top choice for the win.

Any differing opinions?
__________________
Favorite Trick--2yo HOY 1997
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:39 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.