|
|
 |
|
#1
04-16-2007, 10:14 PM
|
|||
|
|||
Dunbar - Morning line for the Derby
Get busy and set it, you are always spot on with this stuff. Just do the top 15, as I could care less about the horses that might get in from the Lexington this weekend
|
|
#2
04-17-2007, 11:53 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Thanks for the compliment, Scav.
Do you mean a "morning line" that predicts what the bettors will do, or a "fair odds line" that represent my own estimate of each horse's chance to win? If you mean a morning line for how the bettors will bet, then I don't think you can do much better than using the closing odds from Future Pool 3, after adjusting a bit for the post-Ark Derby Curlin euphoria. Push Curlin up from 7-2 to maybe 9-2, and make up the difference by lowering the odds on Nobiz and Dominican a bit. If you mean a fair odds line, I'll get right to work on it! ;<) --Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
|
|
#3
04-17-2007, 12:22 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
Linear Mode
