Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:17 AM
2 Dollar Bill 2 Dollar Bill is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Jersey
Posts: 1,994
Default Will this be the year >> Triple Crown ?

Just want to throw this out two weeks before the Derby. Does anyone think any of these Three Year Old's have a chance ? I get the feeling that as each year goes, the triple crown is a thing of the past .
__________________
Ole' Timer says to another leaving Keystone Race Track (Philly )
...""Its a good thing I broke even today, I really
needed the money """!!!!
Gotta Love Horse Racing !!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:21 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

It will happen again but this year is about as unlikely as it gets for it to happen. There are very few horses this year conditioned to run back in the Preakness two weeks later and the few that are conditioned aren't going to win the Derby anyways.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:23 AM
Mortimer's Avatar
Mortimer Mortimer is offline
Thistley Downs
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 21,864
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
It will happen again but this year is about as unlikely as it gets for it to happen. There are very few horses this year conditioned to run back in the Preakness two weeks later and the few that are conditioned aren't going to win the Derby anyways.



What di BURP.

Oh excuse me.





What did he say?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:23 AM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default

No chance this year.
I bet we have a different winner in each race, just like last year.
Especially with all the horses passing on the derby and pointing towards the preakness
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-24-2007, 10:27 AM
2 Dollar Bill 2 Dollar Bill is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Jersey
Posts: 1,994
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush
No chance this year.
I bet we have a different winner in each race, just like last year.
Especially with all the horses passing on the derby and pointing towards the preakness
Different horses... but same number [ like last year ] ?
__________________
Ole' Timer says to another leaving Keystone Race Track (Philly )
...""Its a good thing I broke even today, I really
needed the money """!!!!
Gotta Love Horse Racing !!
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-24-2007, 12:22 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Cool

Quote:
Originally Posted by 2 Dollar Bill
Just want to throw this out two weeks before the Derby. Does anyone think any of these Three Year Old's have a chance ? I get the feeling that as each year goes, the triple crown is a thing of the past .
Same odds as the "the Raiders" winning the Super Bowl!

LOL...just kidding partner
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-24-2007, 12:27 PM
somerfrost's Avatar
somerfrost somerfrost is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Chambersburg, Pa
Posts: 4,635
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Same odds as the "the Raiders" winning the Super Bowl!

LOL...just kidding partner
The last time I thought there was a good chance going into the Derby...that would have been when I was sky high on Point Given...we know how that worked out. I liked Smarty alot but that was more heart than brain...then again, he came damn close. Last year I thought AFTER the Derby we had a great chance...what I'm saying is that it changes quickly. A horse may run a super race in the Derby and TC fever will erupt once more, or a lightly regarded horse like Real Quiet will win and everybody will say "no way" but then...
__________________
"Always be yourself...unless you suck!"
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-24-2007, 03:48 PM
Withers's Avatar
Withers Withers is offline
Pimlico
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Pimlico
Posts: 67
Default

I'm kind of doubtful about our TC chances this year. Each decade since Seattle seems to have given about three shots at it, and this decade, we've already had them: War Emblem, Funny Cide, Smarty Jones. Add to that the light conditioning that everyone has had (no Afleet Alex's in this year's field) and I think we're due for a wait. Super horse, where are you?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-24-2007, 03:58 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Triple Crown??

Sh*t...I would be surprised if we had a horse run in all 3 legs.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-24-2007, 04:03 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 285
Default

once smart people come along and finally fix the stupid triple crown series by putting 8 weeks between each of the triple crown races, running them all at 8.5 furlongs, putting all of the races on the tires, and limiting the fields to only storm cats.....we'll have a tc winner.
until then it seems unlikely
__________________
the great avance has spoken.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-24-2007, 04:06 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Why only Storm Cats? When was the last time he had a Derby winner?
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-24-2007, 04:20 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

It often looks a lot more likely AFTER the Derby than before.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 04-24-2007, 04:59 PM
Thunder Gulch's Avatar
Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
Posts: 1,846
Default

I don't see any of these being that good, but then again, War Emblem and Charismatic made runs at the TC because the entire crop wasn't that fast.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 04-24-2007, 05:05 PM
Bernardini's Avatar
Bernardini Bernardini is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: KY
Posts: 203
Default

I agree with most of the posts on this topic, unlikely that we'll see TC this years (let alone if any one horse runs all three races)
__________________
Go Big Blue !!!!
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 04-24-2007, 05:11 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
Why only Storm Cats? When was the last time he had a Derby winner?

He's never had a Triple Crown race win, period.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 04-24-2007, 05:28 PM
Thunder Gulch's Avatar
Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
Posts: 1,846
Default

Tobasco Cat won the last two legs (I think)
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 04-24-2007, 05:31 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
Tobasco Cat won the last two legs (I think)
My error, he won the Preakness and Belmont. That was the only one, he's never had a Derby winner.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 04-24-2007, 05:56 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,611
Default

Curlin or Circular Quay wins the Derby while the other runs second. Now that we've established that much, let's examine the possibilities of a TC winner.

If Curlin wins the Derby:
He'll come back and dominate the Preakness as CQ sits out the race. In the Belmont, Curlin is upset, either by CQ or a 30/1 (or more) longshot.

If CQ wins the Derby:
He'll come back and dominate the Preakness as Curlin sits out the race. In the Belmont, CQ is upset by a longshot, either Tiago or that McGaughey horse that ran second in the Wood.

No TC winner this year.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 04-24-2007, 06:55 PM
TheSpyder's Avatar
TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Nothing could be finer
Posts: 5,130
Wink

Far more likely we'll have a triple crown number repeat 8-8-8. I'm really leaning towards 3-3-3. I've been following this number all season long and it looks very strong.

Spyder from SC
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 04-24-2007, 07:16 PM
my miss storm cat's Avatar
my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 22,025
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
Great Hunter or Zanjero wins the Derby while the other runs second. Now that we've established that much, let's examine the possibilities of a TC winner.
.
... fixed it for you.

Back to the original question? No chance this year..... what GPK said.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:02 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.