5/4: Churchill-Oaks Day (Carryover)

Kasept · #1 05-03-2007, 10:04 PM

Oaks Day and a $100,000+ carryover on top.. Weather turned poor Thursday with prospects not looking bright for the big weekend.. Expect wet/yielding Friday..

CHURCHILL DOWNS

Rolling Doubles; Supers in all..

4th: Alysheba (Gr. III), 3+, 8.5f (P3)

BOTH Wanderin Boy and Half Ours going here as of now...

1. #2 Wanderin Boy 5-2 WON
2. #4 Brother Bobby 12-1 5th
A. #1 Perfect Drift 9-5 4th
B. #5 Student Council 10-1 3rd

5th: Edgewood, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

1. #5 MOONEE PONDS 8-5 4th
2. #9 Good Mood 3-1 3rd
A. #4 Nice Inheritance 6-1 7th
B. #1 Striking Tomisue 12-1 8th

6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

1. #2 Gem Sleuth 15-1 2nd
2. #6 Graeme Six 4-1 9th
A. #9 Meredith Bee 8-1 4th
B. #10 Thru n' Thru 6-1 6th

7th: Aegon Turf Sprint (Gr. III), 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3)

1. #5 Unbridled Sidney 3-1
2. #4 SCRATCHED
A. #6 Gaff 4-1 WON
B. #10 Chief What It Is 30-1

8th: Louisville BC (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3)

1. #4 Indian Vale 2-1
2. #2 Baghdaria 20-1
3. #1 Asi Siempre 5-2

9th: American Turf (gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3)

1. #5 Marcavelly 7-2 4th
2. #2 Whatsthescript 4-1 2nd
A. #11 Cobrador 20-1
B. #3 Jazz Quest 15-1 3rd

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #10 Delightful Kiss 15-1

10th: 113th Kentucky Oaks (Gr. I), 3yo-F

1. #11 Rags to Riches 5-2 WON
2. #10 Autobahn Girl 15-1
A. #4 Octave 6-1 2nd
B. #7 Dreaming of Anna 5-1

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #5 Cotton Blossom 8-1

11th: MSW, 3+, 7f

1. #6 Codio 7-2 WON
2. #4 Leveraged 12-1
A. #5 SCRATCHED
B. #12 Sly 6-1

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 5-9
6: 1-2-5-6-9-10
7: 5-6
8: 4
9: 2-5
10: 11

2x6x2x1x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 5-6-10-12
8: 1-2-4-6
9: 2-4-5
10: 11

4x4x3x1 = $48

Good luck!
Steve

Rootdog1 · #2 05-03-2007, 10:57 PM

Steve - our tickets are very very similar. that makes me feel better. Quick question, what are your thoughts on BirdBird in the 9th? I see you excluded.

Thanks, and good luck tomorrow. I am going to try to come by and say hello tomorrow.

Scav · #3 05-03-2007, 11:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

Steve - our tickets are very very similar. that makes me feel better. Quick question, what are your thoughts on BirdBird in the 9th? I see you excluded.

Thanks, and good luck tomorrow. I am going to try to come by and say hello tomorrow.

Byk is nuts to leave off Duveen. That being said, the ground will have alot to do with some of the results tomorrow

Rootdog1 · #4 05-03-2007, 11:39 PM

Whats up Scavs! I dont care for Duveen, his last two were good going 9f but the pace was SLOW...same with his Maiden breaker race. My guess is that he cant keep up in the early goings tomorrow. Just my $.02

hoovesupsideyourhead · #5 05-04-2007, 12:00 AM

now you show up...........AAAAAAAHHHHHIHHHT

Rootdog1 · #6 05-04-2007, 12:41 AM

KY Killa....you talken to me? Are you in the ville this weekend?

Sorry to change topics, I didnt know O'Neill was removing the blinks on Liquidity......interesting. Is this new news?

Kasept · #7 05-04-2007, 03:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

KY Killa....you talken to me? Are you in the ville this weekend?

Sorry to change topics, I didnt know O'Neill was removing the blinks on Liquidity......interesting. Is this new news?

Been known for a while actually. Also importantly, going to a Sur-Win Bit..

Good luck Root.. Am in the Paddock Pavillion being used as Media Center...

And Scavs.. I vacillated on Duveen. Probably worth including underneath because Romans is hot, but Root is dead on.. He's slow. Will save ground though.

TheSpyder · #8 05-04-2007, 05:04 AM

Steve,

Nice to see you got a full 4 hours of sleep. Also, great seeing you and JJ yesterday.

Spyderific in Louuisville

Bigsmc · #9 05-04-2007, 08:15 AM

I know this looks like crap. You can go to http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...m_changes.html to get a better view.

Code:

Date: 5.4.2007  Kentucky Oaks Day 
Main: SLOPPY  Turf: YIELDING (Lane 1, ON THE HEDGE)  Last Updated:  7:45 a.m. (EDT)
Pick 6 Carryover - $102,304  

 

Race #  Scratches  Jockey Changes  Overweights  Other  
1   Post time 11:00 a.m. (EDT)
 #2 Raedonald       
2            
3    #1A Chekhov
#9 Fresado
       
4            
5            
6  Pick 6 Begins
 #11 Tessa Blue
AE #13 Orange Crush
AE #15 Bobby's Babe
AE #16 Golden Gallant     AE #13 Lady Takum will run 
7 $150,000 Aegon Turf Sprint (GIII)  #2 Mighty Beau
#9 Chosen Chief       
8  $300,000 Louisville Breeders' Cup (GII)/$500,000 Guaranteed Pick 4  #7 Sugar Shake       
9 $150,000 Crown Royal American Turf (GIII)          
10 $500,000 Kentucky Oaks (GI)          
11  AE #13 Quick Assets
AE #14 Steve's Double
AE #15 Righteous
AE #16 Vicarian

nwaryas · #10 05-04-2007, 08:46 AM

Kasept, you left out the 7 in the 10th race for Pick 4. Dreaming of Anna is going to win.

declansharbor · #11 05-04-2007, 09:00 AM

Why no love for High Heels in the Oaks?? I think she's dangerous and can't be overlooked...

Scav · #12 05-04-2007, 09:01 AM

The infamous Nick the Kid finally commenting on something else other then the contest. Welcome to the board and behave

Scav · #13 05-04-2007, 09:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Been known for a while actually. Also importantly, going to a Sur-Win Bit..

Good luck Root.. Am in the Paddock Pavillion being used as Media Center...

And Scavs.. I vacillated on Duveen. Probably worth including underneath because Romans is hot, but Root is dead on.. He's slow. Will save ground though.

Don't disagree with the slowness BUT here is my thought process.

Fact is that if Script runs his number, he wins this easily BUT that is if you aren't of the opinion that Cali numbers compared to other areas are inflatuated, which I do. It is my opinion that when cali horses travel out of Cali you need to take a second look at their number. If you believe this, and that Duveen improves which he should, you have a winner at more then his morning line because of the possible action that Scipt will take. The double up from Duveen tells me he is ready for a decent sized top, which I am guessing in the 5 to 6 range, and if you think that Cali number is a little juiced, then you have a winner

Late Fires · #14 05-04-2007, 09:10 AM

Can anyone confirm when the pick 6 begins? I thought it was the 5th race, as Steve's picks indicate, but per the program changes from churchilldowns.com, the 6th race is listed as the beginning of the pick 6.

Kasept · #15 05-04-2007, 09:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nwaryas

Kasept, you left out the 7 in the 10th race for Pick 4. Dreaming of Anna is going to win.

Had Catalano on the show Wednesday. Hope she runs well. Her shot is to wire it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor

Why no love for High Heels in the Oaks?? I think she's dangerous and can't be overlooked...

D/H,

Loved her in the Fantasy and we had Red Dog on.. Would be a great story. Worried she reacts to the big effort there though... Can't fault anyone using her..

Quote:

Originally Posted by Late Fires

Can anyone confirm when the pick 6 begins? I thought it was the 5th race, as Steve's picks indicate, but per the program changes from churchilldowns.com, the 6th race is listed as the beginning of the pick 6.

Was just handed an Oaks program and it has 5th-10th..

Bigsmc · #16 05-04-2007, 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Late Fires

Can anyone confirm when the pick 6 begins? I thought it was the 5th race, as Steve's picks indicate, but per the program changes from churchilldowns.com, the 6th race is listed as the beginning of the pick 6.

As usual, Steve is correct. It starts in Race 5.

Late Fires · #17 05-04-2007, 09:22 AM

Thanks, Steve. Always appreciate your insights on ATRAB and this forum.

whorstman · #18 05-04-2007, 09:28 AM

So Half Ours is in the 4th Alysheba? I think that gives Student Council a better shot.

Kasept · #19 05-04-2007, 09:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whorstman

So Half Ours is in the 4th Alysheba? I think that gives Student Council a better shot.

Is cross-entered, as is Wanderin Boy, in Saturday's 5th (the CD H'cap at 7f).. I am guessing 'Boy' goes today and 'Ours' goes Saturday... We'll know shortly with SCR/CHG's due...

jaripeo · #20 05-04-2007, 10:15 AM

I like Whatthescript and also DUVEEN This last may go for all.