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Calder Friday 5.11.07
What the hell. Up early, dog sleeping in and I like a few spots on the card.
Race 1: MCL 12.5K 8.5F 4,6,7 4, Mr Chocolate, looks best here but if 6, Hightecwonder goes 10-1 or better, he's worth a look to win and in ex boxes with the other two. Race 2: MCL $20k 8.5F Turf 5,7,3 5, French Social showed speed in her first race, makes the biggest drop, gets the biggest jockey change, has a very good trainer and looks fit with two works since her race. I'll play her to win at anything over half the ML of 12-1. The other two are logical 2d and 3d betting favorites to the 2, Show Me Some, who I don't care for today. Race 3: CLM 10k 5F 4,2,1 Highly ruinous 10kN2L as they all went off at 14-1 or higher in their last starts, save the 8 (which finished last). Horrid race makes the early P-4 unplayable or at best a stab. Race 4: CLM $40K 8.5F Turf 5,2 5, So in Love, ML 8-1 and 2, Golden Cities, look best to me here. They should be the front-end of this race and that's where I want to be in this. Race 5: CLM $25k Mile & 70 2,6 2, Musical Prelude, ML 8-1, could go off higher and I like him to win at 6-1+. A bit of buried dirt form and and I expect him 1-2 today at a decent price. Race 6: OCL N1X/$16k 6.5F 5,2, 3 5, DL Renzo (ML 12-1), is my best of the day at 6-1+. Tons of speed in here and I've got his last race rated higher than any of the others lasts. The 2, Fortunate Buy, looks pretty logical. I do not care for the 1, True Genius today and he's the likely 2nd favorite. Race 7 OCL N2X/$25k Mile & 70 1,5, 8 1, Dukes Flying Tiger (ML 15-1), playable for me at 8-1+. His 2-turn dirt races are al very good and he's going to be a decent price in this. I don't care at all today for 6, Letters Legacy, claimed twice straight and showing just one work in seven weeks. Race 8: MCL $12.5k 5F 6,9,8,1 Much like the 3rd race, makes the P-4 hard to play. Race 9: CLM 10k 1 Mile 7,2 Two-deep here is deep enough. Race 10: MCL $12.5k 6.5F 10,1,11 10, Wise Alert, looks pretty solid but I'll toss in 1, Jiggermast (12-1 ML) who halves as Ritvo jettisons Lopez for Manny C and also the 11, Falmouth if for no other reason than I'll be there next week. good luck. |