At York, tomorrow.....

[my miss storm cat]

Red Clubs.

Come home safe, everyone.


Wednesday May 16 2007
York 15:15

Duke Of York Hearthstead Homes Stakes (group 2)
£100000.00 added, 3yo plus, 6f, Class 1, £56780.00 penalty
17 runners
Going: Good

1 (12) 280117- Les Arcs (USA) 227 7 9-9 T J Pitt J F Egan 118
2 (16) 851035- Moss Vale (IRE) 206 6 9-6 D Nicholls Martin Dwyer 116
3 (1) 025519- Red Clubs (IRE) 227 4 9-6 B W Hills M Hills 113 1
4 (9) 101820- Welsh Emperor (IRE) 214 8 9-6 T P Tate M Fenton 113
5 (3) 611211- Al Qasi (IRE) 236 4 9-2 P W Chapple-Hyam K McEvoy 107 4
6 (4) 543235- Amadeus Wolf 227 4 9-2 K A Ryan N Callan 114 4
7 (15) 39284-2 Assertive 27 4 9-2 R Hannon Dane O'Neill 106 1
8 (7) 042-223 Bond City (IRE) 10 5 9-2 G R Oldroyd T E Durcan 103
9 (11) 59435-3 Fayr Jag (IRE) 25 8 9-2 T D Easterby D Allan 109
10 (5) 09125-3 Fonthill Road (IRE) 4 7 9-2 R A Fahey J P Spencer 105
11 (10) 509070- Gift Horse 227 7 9-2 D Nicholls E Ahern 104
12 (6) 8086-76 Quito (IRE) 4 10 9-2 b D W Chapman T Eaves 111
13 (8) 43411-1 Rising Shadow (IRE) 46 6 9-2 T D Barron J Quinn 110
14 (13) 21114/ Soldier's Tale (USA) 678 6 9-2 J Noseda L Dettori 112
15 (2) 17095-6 Steenberg (IRE) 46 8 9-2 M H Tompkins R Hills 105
16 (17) 3/9F0-76 Tabaret 10 4 9-2 R M Whitaker Dean McKeown 98
17 (14) 252116- Conquest (IRE) 229 3 8-11 b W J Haggas J H Bowman 114

Betting Forecast: 6/1 Amadeus Wolf, 7/1 Al Qasi (IRE), 15/2 Soldier's Tale (USA), 8/1 Moss Vale (IRE), 8/1 Rising Shadow (IRE), 10/1 Red Clubs (IRE), 10/1 Assertive, 10/1 Fonthill Road (IRE), 14/1 Les Arcs (USA), 14/1 Steenberg (IRE), 16/1 Welsh Emperor (IRE), 20/1 Quito (IRE), 25/1 Bond City (IRE), 25/1 Fayr Jag (IRE), 25/1 Gift Horse, 25/1 Tabaret, 25/1 Conquest (IRE)


FORMWATCH
Les Arcs (USA) (9-0) Mid-division, effort 2f out, no impression, 7th of 16, 4l behind Takeover Target (9-0) at Nakayama 6f Grp 1 (1) frm in Oct.
Red Clubs (IRE) 7-1 (9-11) In touch, 5th halfway, weakened over 1f out, 9th of 14, 6l behind Desert Lord (9-11) at Longchamp 5f Grp 1 (1) gd in Oct.
Welsh Emperor (IRE) 22-1 (9-7) Prominent, every chance over 2f out, weakened over 1f out, 10th of 16, 8l behind Sleeping Indian (9-3) at Newmarket 7f Grp 2 (1) gs in Oct.
Al Qasi (IRE) 9-4fav (8-13) Chased leaders, headway to lead just over 2f out, ridden and went clear final furlong, driven out, won at Ascot 6f 3yo hcp (2) gs in Sept beating Burning Incense (8-12) by 2l, 16 ran.
Amadeus Wolf 6-1 (9-11) In touch, 6th and ridden halfway, headway over 1f out, stayed on, 5th of 14, 2l behind Desert Lord (9-11) at Longchamp 5f Grp 1 (1) gd in Oct.
Assertive 8-1 (9-4) In touch, ridden to challenge over 1f out, soon every chance, kept on same pace final furlong, 2nd of 12, 2 1/2l behind Asset (9-4) at Newmarket 6f lst stk (1) gf in Apr.
Bond City (IRE) 9-1 (8-13) Mid-division, headway 2f out, ridden and soon every chance, kept on inside final furlong, 3rd of 10, 1/2l behind Tax Free (8-13) at Newmarket 5f Grp 3 (1) gf.
Fayr Jag (IRE) 9-1 (9-12) Prominent, pushed along halfway, led briefly over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, kept on same pace, 3rd of 9, 2l behind Tax Free (9-10) at Thirsk 6f stk (3) frm in Apr.
Fonthill Road (IRE) 7-1 (9-0) In rear, outpaced halfway, switched right 1f out, stayed on strongly inside final furlong, 3rd of 8, 3/4l behind Sierra Vista (8-9) at Haydock 6f stk (2) gd.
Gift Horse 25-1 (9-11) Mid-division, ridden and one pace from over 2f out, 10th of 14, 7l behind Desert Lord (9-11) at Longchamp 5f Grp 1 (1) gd in Oct.
Quito (IRE) 11-2 (9-11) Slowly into stride, in rear, ridden over 2f out, never dangerous, 6th of 9, 5l behind Munaddam (9-7) at Haydock 7f lst stk (1) gd.
Rising Shadow (IRE) 13-2 (9-5) Raced stand's side group, slowly into stride, towards rear, headway over 2f out, soon ridden, stayed on to lead towards finish, won at Newcastle 6f lst stk (1) gs in Mar beating Sierra Vista (8-11) by 3/4l, 12 ran.
Soldier's Tale (USA) 4-1jt-fav (9-5) Raced stand side, chased leaders, edged left over 2f out, soon led stand side group, hard ridden entering final furlong, stayed on well, 4th of 19, 4 1/2l behind Pastoral Pursuits (9-5) at Newmarket 6f Grp 1 (1) gs in Jul '05.
Steenberg (IRE) 9-1 (9-2) Held up stand's side group, stayed on final furlong, no impression, 6th of 12, 11l behind Rising Shadow (9-5) at Newcastle 6f lst stk (1) gs in Mar.
Tabaret 20-1 (8-13) Mid-division, ridden halfway, edged left and kept on towards finish, 6th of 10, 3l behind Tax Free (8-13) at Newmarket 5f Grp 3 (1) gf.
Conquest (IRE) 5-1 (8-12) Held up in rear, ridden and not run on from over 1f out, last of 6, 22l behind Dutch Art (8-12) at Newmarket 6f 2yo Grp 1 (1) sft in Sept.

[NoChanceToDance]

Amadeus Wolf for me, he had a tough season last year, it is always hard for three year old sprinters, so it doesn't really bother me he failed to win last year, he ran some really good races in defeat.

His trainer recently did an interview/stable tour in the Racing Post and he sounded really bullish about this horse having a terrific season this year and this race looks the perfect start off point.

I'd expect him to be in the frame, with conditions to suit.

Red Clubs should run his race, he likes york and Al Qasi is expected to show plenty this year, he looked like a horse going places last season, not sure if he will classy enough to cope with a few group one sprinters in this field though.

My prediction:

1st - Amadeus Wolf
2nd - Soldier Of Fortune
3rd - Red Clubs/Al Qasi

Also it is the fillies oaks trial today where Oaks favourite Passage Of Time bids to show the world why she is Oaks Favourite. I don't really fancy her today, there are too many reasons why. I wouldn't be surprised to see her win (she is odds on) but i think Shorthand could take the honours today being a full sister to Alexandrova.

[brockguy]

done a lucky 15 today with Amadeus Wolf (like him alot today), Shorthand (negative reports about Cecil's), Blue Spinnaker and Im bowing to the hype with putting Greek Well into it..

[NoChanceToDance]

Originally Posted by brockguy

done a lucky 15 today with Amadeus Wolf (like him alot today), Shorthand (negative reports about Cecil's), Blue Spinnaker and Im bowing to the hype with putting Greek Well into it..

Oh god........ i'm really sorry Brockguy, but....


I have backed ALL of those. I just hope for both of us that i'm in the same sort of form i was in on Saturday!

Also, i wouldn't rule out a big run from Assertive today at a nice price. It usually pays to follow stats in these group race sprints and he is the only one that matches all of the important race stats.

[brockguy]

well they're all supported this morning which I see as a bad sign..

the Sprint looks a very difficult race as usual so I might need to spread my net further than just Wolf.. Ill keep my eye on Assertive..

[brockguy]

Amadeus finally gets a win he deserves so much. great run.. Passage of Time was rather work(wo)man like when winning the musidora.. dont quite know what to make of it, because i havent seen much of the fillies run so dont quite have a grasp of the oaks picture..disappointed i put Greek Well in my lucky 15 now, was either him or Dont Dili Dali this evening in Naas and went for the former Derby fancy..

[NoChanceToDance]

Yeah, i'm really glad he won. 3yo sprinters always have a tough time of things when campaigned like he was, but he looks like he will be a sprinter to follow this year and might be the best we have had for a while.

Will really quick ground suit him though?

I nearly got the tricast, but not quite.

What happened to Greek Well, i didn't see that race