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#1
05-19-2007, 04:22 AM
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5/19: Belmont ($124k Carry)
Curiously similar positive performance Friday at Belmont to Thursday, as the 5th race winner is the only one that eludes again.. Terrible decision by me to start the P4, using the 1st and 3rd choices in the 6th omitting 2nd choice Limoncella. The move cost us all a $2,090 payout, though the P3 out of the skein still returned $377.00. But back to back sweeps of the 6th and 7th were highly lucrative, with the Tri in the 6th bringing home $442.75, and the 7th race exotic boxes/keyes scoring out with overlaid 2nd choice Pangburn paying a crazy $48.80: EX-$83.00; TRI-$250.50; SUPER-$861.00.. Hope you did well..
Double carryover of $124,000 into Saturday's card.. BELMONT PARK: 4th-9th POST-Scratches/Changes.. 4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3) 1. #5 Winaway 5-2 WON 2. #7 Our Brave Hobbit 4-1 3rd A. #4 Papershoes 3-1 7th B. #2 Seittam 8-1 2nd $1 Ex: $19.50 $1 Tri: $48.75 5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3) 1. #6 Appealing Spring 6-5 2nd 2. #9 Norman's Good Boy 12-1 3rd A. #7 Dontess 5-2 WON B. #2 Baltic 10-1 4th $1 Ex: $6.60 $1 Tri: $40.75 6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, DD, Super) 1. #3 Gentle Touch 5-2 3rd 2. #2 Defrereoftheheart 2-1 WON A. #1 In the Spotlight 10-1 B. #4 Stormy Success 15-1 4th 7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, Super) Wide open Empire turf mile that could produce 8-9 different winners.. Day hinges here to a large extent.. Leaving ML favorites #9/#11 out of race picks looking for a score with value horses, but inclined to cover them in multi-race plays.. This is an impossible race.. 1. #8 Bayou Timber 6-1 2nd 2. #7 Big Bad Monster 12-1 4th A. #2 SCR SUB #3 Gold and Blue Box 12-1 5th B. #5 Time Piece 15-1 7th LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #6 Lorccan 20-1 6th 8th: 32nd Shuvee (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m (DD) 1. #6 Silmaril 12-1 2. #1 Swap Fliparoo 9-2 3. #3 Sugar Shake 7-5 9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (Super) 1. #5 What a Tale 5-2 2. #9 SCR SUB: #8 Bold Jeweller 8-1 A. #6 Premium Wine 3-1 B. #2 Call Me Larry 9-2 <$200 P6 Play: 4: 4-5-7 5: 6 6: 2-3 7: 5-7-8-9 8: 1-6 9: 5-8 3x1x2x4x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$50 P4/P3 Plays: Offering odd approach here looking for big ticket singling Silmaril in the Shuvee and using as many as posible in the 7th.. "ALT" play offers more traditional approach for $54.. 6: 2-3 7: 3-4-5-6-7-8-9-11 (ALT: 2-SCR-8-9) 8: 6 (ALT: 1-3-6) 9: 5-6-8 2x8x1x3 = $48 (ALT: 2x2x3x3 = $36) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-19-2007 at 04:52 PM. 
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#2
05-19-2007, 09:23 AM
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Steve in your BEL Pick 4 in the last leg did you mean to include Bold Jeweller # 8 or # 6 Premium Wine? In your selections you didn't mention the 8 but the 6 is your second pick.
Just curious. HH
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#3
05-19-2007, 09:45 AM
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Quote:
Thanks for noticing though.. I have a history of transcribing them badly on days like this where I've looked at and written up far too many races! Good luck today HH!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
05-19-2007, 10:43 AM
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Quote:
using underneath the "other" two scratched horses from yesterday also!  Like your "super" box in the finale also...
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#5
05-19-2007, 10:58 AM
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In addation to pick6 and pick4, I am going to take a shot on two value horses. Race #5 Baltic (10-1) and Race #7 Timber Bayou Timber (6-1).
Hope someone here brings home the Carryover... Good Luck Today!!
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#7
05-19-2007, 12:14 PM
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A couple minor changes made to Belmont plays with scratches...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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