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#1
05-31-2007, 07:14 PM
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Lone Star Thursday
Good/Off the Turf.
R2: 1 slow works, tr bad w firsters, unlikely 2 broke poorly debut, 1 2f work since, bet in debut, backup only 3 no pedigree, no works over 3f, no thanks 4 nice pedigree for going long but seems an underlay at 5f at 2/1, why 25k? 5 useful debut, see 2nd career performance by trainer, win early sire, open to statebred 6 exits same race as 5, arguably better race but clean break, using 7 highest fig in debut, but beaten 5L in debut, start trouble significant? R3: 1 reasonable posn for 1st try vs winners, but 1/14 not appealing, 5/1 fair value 2 drops a level, good move for this trainer, too slow? 3 the obv selection, but 1/14 not great with 2nditis, drifted out last a ?? 4 pretty hopeless even against these 5 pace factor unlikely to be around a long time 6 long layoff but a nice work 11 days ago, drops, lightly raced, not the craziest stab 7 drops from an ok allowance effort, no works since 4/24? Big chance R4: 1 nice back to back works, draws the rail, good pickup for only $2k if she's anything 2 debut nothing, took no money for normally hot trainer, pass 3 works just ok, but asmussen always tough with 2yos, backup ticket only 4 blocked midstretch but didn't have much, drop may help but nothing more than underneath 5 impossible post, productive race, nice work since, should make a big impact here @ a square price 6 only 3 works, none of which are good, trainer not good with firsters, unlikely 7 nice pedigree but sold for nothing, trainer poor with firsters, work 4/24 ok but 5/5 terrible, nothing since, pass 8 starting at manor not a great sign but did come out of decent race, drop will help, adds blinks, playable R5: 1 awesome turf pedigree, works ok, trainer 1ster on grass record good, dam was stakes winner, top choice 2 another useable type with decent grass pedigree, good works, tr 1ster record solid, big chance 3 hopeless at mcl sprints, no chance 4 sprint pedigree, nice return off the layoff, can't see her loving turf but trainer is money overall 5 don't buy the 8/5, very contentious field, using in p4 but prefer others at the price, had every right last 2 6 pretty mediocre efforts so far, shepherd hops off, not much to recommend 7 0-17 and just can't seem to get over the hump, run 5/13/06 solid but not good enough in this field 8 showed little in debut, would be a real put over 9 not much to recommend 10 off forever, would be a real shocker 11 much improved effort on turf as expected, but gets the dreaded outside post at 7.5F, would need to be much the best, backup ticket only Early pick 4: 2,4,5,6,7/3,7/1,3,5,8/4,5 $80 5,6/1,6/1,3,5,8/4,5 $32 5,6/3,7/1,3,5,8/1,2 $32 Total investment: $144
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you 
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#3
05-31-2007, 09:43 PM
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Anyways, the late pick 4 should offer more value. Can't be any worse. $1 1,4,8/3,5,6,7,9/1,2,5,6/5,7 and $2 1/3,6/1,5/5,7.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#5
05-31-2007, 10:07 PM
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Who do you have left?
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#6
05-31-2007, 10:10 PM
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#7
05-31-2007, 10:28 PM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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