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#1
05-31-2007, 10:05 PM
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DOGWOOD: Nafzger/Borel Tops at Downs..
girls pearls and moonie ponds in...
$150,000 Dogwood Breeders' Cup Stakes (gr. III, Race 9, 5:21 p.m.), 3-Year-Old Fillies, 1 Mile 1. Lady Joanne (KY), 123, Calvin H. Borel, 3/1 2. Silverinyourpocket (KY), 117, Ramon A. Dominguez, 7/2 3. Moonee Ponds (KY), 121, Jamie Theriot, 6/1 4. Upcoming Story (KY), 117, Julien R. Leparoux, 6/1 5. Suaveness (FL), 117, Rafael Bejarano, 5/1 6. Looky Yonder (KY), 117, Robby Albarado, 15/1 7. High Again (KY), 123, David R. Flores, 9/2 8. Girls Pearls (KY), 117, Larry Melancon, 12/1 9. Gatorize (KY), 117, Shaun Bridgmohan, 15/1 Last edited by Kasept : 06-01-2007 at 06:02 AM. 
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#2
05-31-2007, 10:09 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
05-31-2007, 10:14 PM
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#5
05-31-2007, 10:16 PM
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Hey guys do we know what TGH number thet gave "somewon" from the last saturdays race.
My guess is Steve and Chuck are using this opportunity as a training session rather than thinking she belongs in this class race. Perhaps by running with classes above, when she is in a properly slotted race her confidence Zooms when she overtakes her own .......Is it something close to that guys??
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#6
05-31-2007, 10:16 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
05-31-2007, 10:26 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
05-31-2007, 10:38 PM
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I haven't looked at the PP's yet but 12-1 on Girls Pearls seems awful generous. It's not like High Again is a monster...
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#10
06-01-2007, 01:22 AM
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Sumwon was aided by the 46.28 half mile, by comparison claiming males went 45.02 at the same distance later on in the card--and the final time of the males race was 0.32 seconds slower. While Girls Pearls wasn't far off in 5th place after a half mile, as you know, slow fractions tend to work against closers, even if they can secure a decent spot not far off of them. Perhaps a little more favorable pace situation caused GP to run a real nice number and upset that alw race at 8/1 next out. Still, Sumwon is razor sharp off her last two races, and very few kind of horses can positively surprise like a sharp 3yo filly can. I hope she stays sharp and breezes through the alw condition for you guys...and than you can really entertain the ideas of finding a spot to take a stab at some black type, and enhance the broodmare value. That would be sweet.
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#11
06-01-2007, 01:28 AM
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This race is very tough. I'm entertaining the possibility of betting Looky Yonder. She got slammed pretty hard after the start last time and still ran OK.
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#12
06-01-2007, 05:58 AM
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Did you do Girls Pearls' ALW score? She was the easiest kind of winner that day sitting well off a contested pace and then swooping around in the stretch and drawing off. I spoke to McPeek last week and he said exactly what you do above: Girls Pearls was in sharp form and he ran her back on 11 days to take advantage. Your plan for Sumwon is pretty much dead on, though there isn't anything in the CD book for her in the near term. The minor stake at MTH 6/23 looks like a spot to try...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#13
06-01-2007, 06:05 AM
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#14
06-01-2007, 07:19 AM
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Looking at Girls Pearls ALW win, it looked really legit. She tripped out ok, and the pace was contensted like you say...but it really wasn't all that fast of one. She did run an excellent race, and nicely beat some horses who were certainly very well thought of at age 2 anyway. The 2nd place finisher was 2/1 in a Grade 1 stake (albeit perhaps the worst running of the Frizette I've ever seen) and the 4th place finisher was a $2.4 million RNA at KEE April '06. Girls Pearls could certainly outrun her odds in the Dogwood. I've really been tremendously impressed with how well everything has worked out with the partnership. I really liked the reasoning you gave for buying this horse...and thought she was just an excellent choice by you guys. Although, I really have to admit, that I thought if she was going to be competitive in Churchill Downs allowance races...they'd have been turf races off the pedigree projection. I've really enjoyed watching her develop in her races anyway....and watching everything pan out so well for the stable.
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#17
06-01-2007, 12:14 PM
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I'll let Chuck respond for us, but I'd say their results will be 'interesting' to see only. How the filly herself is acting leading up to a next start will influence where that effort will be...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#18
06-01-2007, 12:16 PM
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I wouldn't put anything past the McPeek barn right now.. He's hot. If she duplicates her effort from three weeks ago, she's right there with the top choices. Haven't looked at PP's close enough to get a read on pace scenario, but from a pure speed standpoint, she's an overlay. Remember that McPeek has Lansdon Robbins' nice filly in here too.. Looky Yonder. Also looks to be a major player...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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