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#1
06-27-2007, 10:38 AM
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6/27: Belmont (4th-9th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES.. A thoroughly entertaining set of races from at least the 4th onwards today on Long Island! 4th: NYB-OC/C, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, Super) 1. #8 Square Dancing 6-1: Galluscio mare 3rd off break; Came wide last.. 2. #7 Whateverwillbwillb 2-1: C. Martin 4yo sharp in '07 return.. 4th A. #4 Against the Grain 5-1: Merits big shot if lawn to her liking.. 3rd B. #2 Higher Incentive 3-1: 3rd off layoff for Contessa (as 'Laudatti').. 2nd LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #6 Inca is Calling 8-1 5th 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Grand Slam, P3) 1. #3 Innovator 3-1: Bond's Behrens bay better and better this year.. 2. #5 Meadow Belle 10-1: 'Super G' still seeking duck-breaker at meet.. A. #4 Leaveitinthering 5-1: Lostritto mare earned checks in 10 of 11 career.. B. #1e Gullo entry 8-1: Respectable pair from GG.. 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-T (P4, DD) 1. #11 Ivory Star 3-1: Seems at right level.. 2. #4 Granny Franny 2-1: Dogwood giving up on $120k Grand Slam miss? A. #9 Morereadythannot 12-1 B. #3 Fast Read 12-1 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3) Very good turf ALW here with Prince Rahy (#4) a bet-against in our mind.. Passing on Snowstalker (#6) as well.. 1. #7 Compromise 4-1: Mott Point Given red came out running in debut.. 2. #3 Mister White Socks 3-1: KMc turns to new 'go to' guy Garcia.. A. #5 Dancing Tin Man 10-1: Soph debut very solid; Threat with any progress.. B. #8 Kris Angel 8-1: Chased Red Giant last pair; Sciacca 4yo in form.. FYI NOTE: #1 Pick Six: Phipps runner bred nicely for lawn.. 8th: The Stage View, NYB-F&M, 3+, 7f-T (DD, Super) Super competitive grass sprint with a variety of possibilities.. Could well blow the multi-race plays apart.. SCRATCH NOTE: #13 Iron Goddess draws in and is worth using as a cover in multis.. One option is keying her in Doubles as a safety.. 1. #6 Sabellina 5-1: Back to racing after shed try failed; May lay over on class.. 2. #5 Willshefire 8-1: Instantly ran career best 'first time Tagg'.. A. #10 Artistic Express 6-1: Chased big time gals in Beaygay.. B. #12 Wild Berry 6-1: Gorham has been dangerous with his NYB ship-ins.. LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Homerette 12-1: Kelly stake winner may be lost on the board; Owns win this trip and a threat with return to best.. 9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super) 1. #8 He's Tough 5-1: May be appropriately named versus these.. 2. #10 First Expression 4-5: Serpe going well but this one is 11x loser.. A. #7 Passing Dream 10-1: As eligible as any for underneath.. B. #2 Housebid 20-1: Bailes poor in NY since Scrappy T; Could improve off claim.. <$50 P4 Play: 4x2x3x2 = $48 <$100 P6 Play: 3x2x2x2x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 06-27-2007 at 02:41 PM. 
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#3
06-27-2007, 11:59 AM
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Looking at the changes I notice that in the 8th Sabellina is now marked INFOAL. I've never seen this before but of course I may have overlooked it in the past. I can't view this as a positive. What have others expierence with betting on prego horses ?
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#4
06-27-2007, 12:00 PM
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#5
06-27-2007, 12:04 PM
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Both Sabellina and Iron Goddess are listed 'in foal.' And I also read this as part of a bloodhorse article, which makes me like Sabellina even less..(in this race anyway). She may be among the best running, but it looks like a prep for her:
"Sabellina, the two-time champion New York-bred female turf horse, will run in foal to Pulpit. Trainer Joe Aquilino said he is using this race as a training tool for longer races. "I expect her to run good," said Aquilino, who has Edgar Prado to ride. "We don't have to send her. Hopefully, there's a lot of pace, and she should make a nice closing run." "
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Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#6
06-27-2007, 12:31 PM
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Last edited by Bigsmc : 06-27-2007 at 12:49 PM.
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#7
06-27-2007, 12:35 PM
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Belmont changes: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp
Had spoken to Chuck earlier about Sabellina whom he has shared with Aquillino for several years. He said that she was doing well.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
06-27-2007, 01:14 PM
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#11
06-27-2007, 01:19 PM
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Ahh, makes sense now that I see some have the "Previously trained by Contessa." Thanks.
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#13
06-27-2007, 01:43 PM
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R3
Featherbed is getting the attention (and should), but currently getting a nice price on the 7 Cherokee Sheik - 8/1 up from ml 4/1....throw out the 4 wide nightmare over the polytrack and he fits here...I'm not going to be shocked if the Forrestry filly (5) has something to say as well...
Dutrow's entry (6 Starship Cruiser) at 7/5 is a huge bet against imo...big jump from state bred opt 30 to OC opt 75
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#14
06-27-2007, 02:01 PM
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I actually like Dutrows horse here, against a not so star stellar field. I think there is something not right with Featherbred, who has tons of gaps in her form as well as the Cherokee's Run filly coming off a sept. layoff. We shall see -bt-
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#16
06-27-2007, 02:04 PM
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and thats why i have been stuck on this iceberg for a month with picks like that, Featherbred look impressive, and it looked like the Cherokee's Run filly needed more distance -bt-
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#18
06-27-2007, 02:40 PM
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C-AK-AH!!!!
Get ready for Sciacca-Mania!!!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
06-27-2007, 02:48 PM
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R4
Wow....don't think I saw one single thing to like about that horse...good for Gary...
as long as everyone's dead in the early P4, I'll root on the 9 for an $11,530.00 Pick 4 payout on a buck...
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#20
06-27-2007, 02:53 PM
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