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#1
08-15-2007, 05:50 AM
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8/15: Saratoga (Day 19-Carryover)
First half of meet closed out Monday with good enough day featuring large exotics hit in the 4th. Find my own bankroll down $200.00 after 3 weeks necessitating a post-halftime rally. Carryover of $60,000 to start Week Four.
SARATOGA Selections Key: 1. "Best value win candidate" 2. "Most likely winner" A. "Possible winner/Exotics include" B. "Exotics include" 1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD) 1. #6 Queen Amira 8-1: Runback to 5/25 stake hit would score for Kent D.-Mott.. 2. #3 Zaynab 5-2: Clement-Gomez bay tactical, always around money.. A. #2 Astronomia 10-1 WON B. #7 Flankers Lady 15-1 2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, P4) 1. #1 Happening 6-1: Bromans have been making hay with Hook and Ladder babies.. 2. #5 Dana Dew 3-1: $280k Sugar Maple FuPeg has advantage of bow under belt.. A. #2 Winning Punch 4-1 B. #7 Desaloot 15-1 3rd: OC/C, 4+, 6f (P3) 1. #2 Fleet Valid 4-1: "Pork Chop" off last three; Appears the controlling speed.. 2. #1 Will He Shine 3-1: Reacted to huge True North (Gr. II) win; Rebound likely.. A. #6 Roman Candles 15-1 B. #7 Council Member 5-2 WON 4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, P6) 1. #6 Macho Again 10-1: West Point baby half to Rojo Toro; has even drills for bow.. 2. #3 INNER LIGHT 5-2: Mott-Desormeaux no secret; firster cost $650k.. A. #7 Devereux 5-1 B. #8 Paint 3-1 WON 5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, GS) VERY contentious Empire-bred grass mile.. 1. #4 Stormy Success 8-1: 2. #5 Tobruk 4-1: Caught in gate at break last; Sciacca live here, 9th.. A. #6 I'll Make It Up 5-1: Schettino 9/0-0-0 meet; red draws better; 3rd lifetime stat eye-opening.. B. #3 Typhoon Tycoon 2-1: Looks underlaid from trainer who 'doesn't win'.. LONGSHOT/EXOTICS USE: #9 A Rose Like Us 10-1: Last OK v. these; gets plus jock switch.. <$50 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-5-7-8 3: 1-2 4: 3 5: 3-4-5-6-9 5x2x1x5 = $50 6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, DD, Super) 1. #5 Palace Episode 8-1: bin Suroor a stunning 9 for 18 these layoffs.. WON 2. #3 Electric Light 5-2: Win shy 5yo from Reynolds well-spotted; Chased Shakespeare.. A. #1 Stream of Gold 8-1: Lightly-raced KMc acquiree attracts Edgar.. B. #8 Yate's Black Cat 3-1: ML 2nd choice loses ground, won't get target; underlay.. SUPER ADD: #9 Salinja 6-1 7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3) If Cliff Meadows flops, this becomes impossible heat to decipher.. 1. #10 Sultry Approval 4-1: Live Oak homebred from Clement gets lawn, drops.. 2. #3 Cliff Meadows 2-1: $300k Melnyk War Chant being given away.. WON A. #8 Out of Aces 15-1 B. #1e Serpe entry 12-1 LONGSHOT: #5 Tu Sandy 20-1: Bulleted 'round 'dogs' prepping first under Barbara; intriguing.. 8th: The Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super) 1. #4 Sky Mom 5-1: Three poly runs but best try by far came on dirt.. 2. #6 MORE HAPPY 2-1: A female Maimonides? Baffert; Vindication; Bejarano; Sikura-Gentry-Gaines.. A. #7 Yonagucci 15-1: Grab tab on Azpurua bay being showcased for sale.. B. #8 Phantom Income 4-1: Klaravich-Violette ran off in debut.. 9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Super) 1. #2 Josefina's Pride 8-1: Schosberg red popular tagger; threat on best under Prado.. 2. #3 Ohbeegeewhyn 6-1: Sciacca tabs Kent D.; solid 6yo mare 2nd/break, saves ground.. A. #8 Broken Treaty 5-1 B. #7 Madam Manguy 7-2 LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #6 Irish Ballerina 15-1 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-5 7: 3-5-8-10 8: 4-6 9: 2-3-8 3x4x2x3 = $72 <$150 P6 Play: 4: 3-6 5: 4-5-6 6: 3-5 7: 3-8-10 8: 4-6 9: 3 2x3x2x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-16-2007 at 05:23 AM. 
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#2
08-15-2007, 07:00 AM
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In the Adirondack, look out for Passion ....
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
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#3
08-15-2007, 08:35 AM
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Agree
Quote:
PSH
__________________
"Everybody's honest, when they can afford to be." Benny Binion
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#4
08-15-2007, 08:38 AM
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Thanks Steve!
Just playing one race today (7th). I will be betting Cliff Meadows is damaged goods. This is some spot for a $310K purchase who put up an 83 Beyer last time off long layoff. By posting this, he is sure to romp... Like Sultry Approval a lot. Gets Turf and class drop after getting washed off / slop run in debut. Potential for big triple if Cliff doesn't fire. R7 - Triple 10 / 1,3,5,7,8,9 / 1,3,5,7,8,9 Good Luck Today!!!
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#5
08-15-2007, 08:41 AM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#6
08-15-2007, 09:07 AM
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Quote:
Guess that is always a concern with MSW/Mcl. To me Sultry Approval's drop looks well intentioned after washed off debut. Cliff Meadows' drop looks panicky. If they were looking to steal one with Cliff, why not run him with a tag right off the bench. Have to think claiming risk would have been less with 4YO dropping in off year and a half layoff. Now that supposed cat is out of the bag with 83 Beyer in last, they drop in for tag? As I said, could be wrong based on trainer numbers. Right or wrong, I will make hime beat me. Last edited by pmacdaddy : 08-15-2007 at 10:02 AM.
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