8/18: Saratoga (Day 22)

[Kasept]

Continue to leak money with little but small exotics to show for efforts and an inability to string winners together.. Bankroll drops another net -$40 Friday to bring total to -$340.00 for the meet.. Nothing a big trifecta or good P4 can't fix, but hard to bet with confidence right now.. Alabama Day not particularly inspiring either..


SARATOGA


Selections Key:

1. "Best value win candidate"
2. "Most likely winner"
A. "Possible winner/Exotics include"
B. "Exotics include"


1st: CLM, 3yo, 7f (DD)

1. #4 Mount Wilson 5-2: "For Sale" sign on another Melnyk-Reinstedler.. 3rd
2. #8 Nerve 9-5: Funny how Contessa not getting it done up here.. WON
A. #7 Deputy General 6-1 5th
B. #6 Our Call 20-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, P4)

1. #2e Klaravich-Lawrence entry 4-1: From Tagg/Violette.. 2nd/3rd
2. #6 Commandeered 5-2: Mott-Desormeaux winning with everything they send.. 6th
A. #1e Zito entry 8-1 4th (3rd mutuels)
B. #3 Slew's Tiznow 6-1 WON

$1 EX $46.75
$1 TRI $192.25


3rd: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3)

1. #1 Path of Perfection 8-1: Circling back to a good effort.. 7th
2. #5 Beneath the Crown 5-2: Voss tabs Edgar; 21f of drills since last.. 4th
A. #9 SCR
B. #7 Trickanometry 10-1 7th


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 16f (P3)

1. #1e Contessa entry 6-1: Barn has excelled at marathon events.. 6th/9th
2. #3 Nite Light 7-2: Evans' bred seems well-suited for 3 turns.. 2nd
A. #6 Winemaster 3-1 3rd
B. #2 Touchdown Peyton 12-1 WON

$1 EX $122.00
$1 TRI $435.50


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, P6)

1. #2 SUNSHINE FOR LIFE 5-1: Trying her again after nice 3rd @ 32-1.. 2nd
2. #12 AE SCR
A. #4 Fancy Fusaichi 2-1 3rd
B. #6 Ten Bolts 4-1 5th

NOTE: Should AE Stormy Winter NOT go, toss in #8 Fearless Leader (12-1)for exotics.. 9th


@$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-6
3: 1-5-9
4: 1-3-6
5: 2-4 (Use AE #12 should she get in..)

3x3x3x2 = $54


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, GS, DD)

Brutally tough race with 5-6 here eligible.. And pair of AE's (#2-POE Mister White Socks/#12 Codeword) also look attractive should they get in.. And why would this not be a Superfecta race???

1. #1-POE Biggerbadderbetter 3-1: McPeek bay consistantly tough.. 8th
2. #6 Parading 5-1: Phipps 4yo merits look stretching in turf debut.. 2nd
A. #4 Giant Chieftan 4-1 4th
B. #9 My Michael 7-2 5th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #10 Laser 15-1


7th: MSW, 3+, 9.75f-T (P4, Super)

1. #5 Terror on Track 3-1: McPeek poised for big day? 2nd
2. #7 Holiday Trip 5-2: Hough Trippi colt running out of chances.. WON
A. #2 Riz Sauvage 12-1 3rd
B. #3 Nationbuilder 6-1 4th

$1 EX $14.70
$1 TRI $146.25
$1 SUPER $1,045.00


8th: 28th Yaddo H., NYB-F&M, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, Super)

1. #2 Symphony of Psalms 6-1: Nice price on most logical alternative to fave.. 3rd
2. #7 J'RAY 5-2: Pletcher homebred from Goichman looks VERY imposing.. 6th
A. #10 Factual Contender 7-2 2nd
B. #5 Latitude Forty 12-1 WON

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #4 Homerette 15-1 10th

$1 EX $138.75
$1 TRI $1,035.00


9th: 128th Alabama (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)

Despite absense of Rags to Riches, an intriguing version of this famed filly standard..

1. #7 Lady Joanne 3-1: Nafzger too dangerous pointing for races.. WON
2. #1 Mooncatcher 6-1: Ritchey filly has gears; Fastest, and had time since DEL Oaks.. 4th
A. #4 Octave 5-2 3rd
B. #2 Panty Raid 4-1 5th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (Super)

1. #6 Al's Lark 9-2: Oft-sidelined Violette gelding working steadily for return.. 2nd
2. #4 IRISH ACE 5-2: Potentially nice Farmer bay was hurt; broke MDN here.. 6th
A. #8 Hot Sunrise 7-2 WON
B. #9 SCR

$1 EX $20.70


@$50 P4 Play:

7: 5-7
8: 2-7
9: ALL
10: 4-6

2x2x7x2 = $56


Good luck!
Steve

[onebadbeast]

You Are On A Roll! Cause Im Watchin And Not Playin!

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

byk on fire..congrats...

[docicu3]

This was what was written at 730 Am but didn't post for some reason!!!! Who knew how true it would be!!



So you lost a couple of bucks on the toughest meet of the year.

I'll send you some meds with the DT agreement......

Hooves accidentally left Toga with your MoJo boss but he promises to give it back. Hang in there and we'll be celebrating your "Karnak" capabilities in no time. Your still the best capper in the game......you need a few days off take 'em!!!

[onebadbeast]

Wow-hose This Guy Off! He Is Too Hot!

[onebadbeast]

Can You Possibly Cap Del Mar Sunday? You Could Be Deadly.........

[onebadbeast]

Grand Slam Byk! Wish I Played The 8th.

[SentToStud]

Borel,,, how many can he cut off in one race? I'd take him down.

Calder Race 12... #1, Zafin, to win
Calder Rce 13.... #3, Fayerweather to win

[onebadbeast]

John V, Have The Balls To Come Through On The Rail You Puss!

[SentToStud]

Originally Posted by onebadbeast

John V, Have The Balls To Come Through On The Rail You Puss!

one too many falls in the starting gate.

[Rootdog1]

I love it....Oatsee worth a pretty penny now.

[rgustafson]

Steve, if you would stay away from those pick four and pick six bets you would be way ahead for the meet. Same thing happens to me, but I never learn.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by rgustafson

Steve, if you would stay away from those pick four and pick six bets you would be way ahead for the meet. Same thing happens to me, but I never learn.

I know what you mean, but I'm ahead for the meet now...

Even though I didn't get every bet in that I'd have liked, this was the day that was overdue..

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

great job stevo..a very nice day ..thanks for the capping

[Zaf]

Steve,

Thanks for everything today. You are the King of Saratoga, thanks for hooking me & my buddy up today ! See you next Saturday for the Travers !!!

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by peetsa

Even a blind squirrel can get lucky if he picks 4 horses each race. Gonna lose a ton of money in the long run betting that way playing every race. Sorry to be so negative, but thats not my style of betting the horses. No offense Steve.

What keen insight you have here.....perhaps you could post your plays for tomorrow at Saratoga and enlighten us to how a real handicapper like yourself gets the job done.

Hopefully your not far from home this morning, as driving as drunk as you have to be may lead to serious injury for us all.

Why don't you get some sleep and come back and read some of the posts that outline Byk's public track record handicapping horses over the last few years.

The blind squirrel may find a morsel now and then, but Byk's free lunch of picks has been a banquet so consistent in results, it is a promise that you will never starve playing along following the instructions

You might want to explore the concepts of courtesy and appreciation when you visit here though as this site is not a place to disparage the host.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by peetsa
Even a blind squirrel can get lucky if he picks 4 horses each race. Gonna lose a ton of money in the long run betting that way playing every race. Sorry to be so negative, but thats not my style of betting the horses. No offense Steve.

I wouldn't call the above 'negative'. A cheap shot maybe, but not negative. The selections are simple to follow.. There's a horse I think is the best value; a horse that's I see as the most likely winner; and 2 that are ones that have shots and I like as exotics includes. It's a roadmap. You can key one of the top two selections with the other three (as I frequently do), or box them up, or build pyramid tickets using them. Considering that P3/P4's, exactas, tris and supers are the only place for horseplayers to beat takeout and make money, offering people 4 horses in races with 7 or more entrants is an imperative.

I'm sorry you have such a low opinion of how I approach the game. I'll stand by what I consider a solid track record of selecting races. Based on the feedback I receive here and from "At the Races", I seem to have made a number of people a good deal of money over the last several years.

[jms62]

You crushed it today... Congrats.

[Rootdog1]

This guy has no clue you are providing a service with these picks. Many people actually charge $ for this type of info.

Peetsa - It is not a contest, or Steve would pick specific plays.....and would crush you by the way.

[cmorioles]

Considering that P3/P4's, exactas, tris and supers are the only place for horseplayers to beat takeout and make money, offering people 4 horses in races with 7 or more entrants is an imperative.

While some may find the only way to beat the takeout is through exotic wagering, remember nothing is one size fits all in this game.

This is certainly not a knock on Steve's approach. There are certainly benefits to playing exotics. It just isn't the only way, and the approach has some negatives as well.