|
|
 |
|
#1
08-28-2007, 09:37 PM
|
|||
|
|||
NoBiz = No win Saturday
While I do not like this horse so I could be bias, I think this horse doesn't win, and possibly doesn't hit the board in this race at Delaware. First off, Delaware has some huge 'jump-ups' and I have little to no trust in the figs produced from there. 2ndly, I would have to think that Corny would be showing up if this horse was going to win, that is 30k out of his pocket. THIRTY GRAND. Now I understand that he is going for the Toga jockey title but is it worth 30k? Scav thinks not. This horse is a pain in the ass to handle and while Javy can get it done. I forsee a very fast pace in this race, horse is already a nut case, in an unfamiliar scene, probably will be too keen early. I will be playing Strike a Deal hard and boxing with Soldier's Dancer, Summer Doldrums, and Buddy's Humor.
|
|
#5
08-28-2007, 10:41 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
There's two G1's on Saturday -- The Forego for $250k and The Woodward for $500k. CV has calls in each. Now look at the rest of the card.
Regardless, strategically speaking, the Spa riding title is worth more than $30k, but it is not worth more than a client like Tagg. So, although I didn't talk to Richie DePass about it, I would think that very far in advance -- the moment Delaware became even a longshot of a remote possibility -- Richie was already talking to Barclay. Richie is one of the best and without question is one of the sharpest in the game. Winning the Spa title can mean more to CV than it does to other jocks. At this point in his career, specifically this year, this is a big notch on his belt is just what he needs and wants people to see. I think this was 100% Richie's call and if he made it, I would say it's the right one. He wouldn't make this call without every base covered and without understanding every single option, alternative, possibility, etc. I think Richie stays at the Spa, keeps Tagg as a client and gets to ride the horse back if he wants to. And, he takes his best shot at the title. OTOH -- maybe Richie didn't want to ride this horse at Delaware and set it up this way. These are the nuances that you never know and never find out. It's like playing Texas Hold'em, LOL. Eric
|
|
#6
08-28-2007, 11:11 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Who is he riding in the Forego and Woodward? He will have to win both to get that 30k..
I don't know much about riding titles and how much they are valued but I know that 30k is 30k, and it is 2 minutes, instead of having to win 2-3 races. Maybe he is really live on Saturday and that is why.
|
|
#8
08-28-2007, 11:32 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
In this setting, at this stage in his career, it's not a $30k decision. It's a strategic decision. But, as I said, who knows what, how, when, etc. the entire thing happened. I could easily ask, but you know what that means. Eric
|
|
#9
08-28-2007, 11:39 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Quote:
|
|
#10
08-29-2007, 12:10 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
if jerry(seattle) had started this thread would the whole board then bet the horse? LOL
__________________
PWNED
|
|
#12
08-29-2007, 09:02 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#13
08-29-2007, 10:12 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#14
08-29-2007, 10:12 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
I was with Barclay yesterday morning....while he was not thrilled that the rider let Show Biz go so quick in that last work...he was otherwise quite happy with how the horse is coming into the race.
|
|
#16
09-01-2007, 11:10 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26
|
|
#18
09-02-2007, 12:53 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
You are the cooler..Walked into AP today hotter than sh.., shook your hand and went 0 for Saturday.. thnx man
__________________
"but there's just no point in trying to predict when the narcissits finally figure out they aren't living in the most important time ever." hi im god quote
|
|
#19
09-02-2007, 12:56 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Horse may be slow...LOL, but has had an absolutely great year. Don't know what else to say about that.
__________________
The Main Course...the chosen or frozen entree?!
|
|
#20
09-02-2007, 01:00 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
And the sickest thing is that if I had Pinnaclesports.com still up and running (THANK YOU US GOVERNMENT) I would have went 3-3 on my college plays. I am going to see if I can go from tomorrow until Thursday with no PP's or videos or live racing, not a single look. Take a good run at that contest. Furthermore, I have learned a valuable lesson in the last couple months. You really have to play Saratoga and Del Mar like you are playing the Breeders Cup or Kentucky Derby Day. Spreading is ok becuase the exotic payoffs are there. I sometimes get trapped into playing exotics like you have to play Arlington exotics (a $6 ticket 20 times) but you really have to spread at Toga/Del Mar and play a $24 ticket 5 times. I should be the smartest person ever in the next 5 years with all these lessons I am learning.
|
Linear Mode
