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4th at DEL today
Ay Caramba!
4th Race Next Post 2:37 Off: 2:08 | 6 Furlongs | 3 Year Olds And Up | Maiden Claiming ($10,000) | Purse: $15,670 # Horse Jockey Weight Win Place Show 4 Windy Coyote Rivera G A 123 226.40 62.80 28.60 8 Salute the Moon Velez J G 119 8.00 4.60 6 Yankee Ridge Carmouche K 119 5.00 Finish Time: 1:13.90 Also ran: Pokeys Punch, Bald Island, Fish Fly Soup, Allen's Bullet, Hat City, Dyer Maker and Little Lightning Winning Trainer: Reyes Alejandro - Owner: Rangel Susana $2 Exacta (4-8) Paid $1,188.20 $2 Trifecta (4-8-6) Paid $5,331.00 $2 Daily Double (1-4) Paid $257.20 Daily Double Pool $11,277 $2 Pick 3 (1-1-4) 3 Correct Paid $315.00 Pick 3 Pool $9,479 $1 Superfecta (4-8-6-9) Paid $82,387.40
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#2
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#4
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The horse paid $226 and you think it was a putover? "They" only decided to hit the P3 pool and leave the win and exacta pools alone? Yes, that makes sense.
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#7
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So if your Pick 3 came back $315 with a 112:1 horse completing the wager you would be okay with it? Oh, and by the way, he is a 6YO Maiden with over 20 races, who hadn't run since May, when he, from what I can gather, ran 7th. Last edited by NoLuvForPletch : 09-17-2007 at 04:49 PM. |
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I play a lot of small pool tracks, P3s included. This is not really out of the norm, that is all I'm saying.
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I was mock playing and saw that result.....
you look at the PP's on that horse and just go..."what?"
I'm sorry, you can't tell me that there's no monkey business going on for a horse with that record and a 2% trainer who's run like 10 horses in his life.... I picked the 8...highly reasonable 2nd...that horse 1st....come on.. I/L
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"I got a home equity loan....every year I throw a big party and stick the house with the bill!" Homer Simpson |
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One day at PM it runs 5/2, 8/1, 15/1 and your tri pays $125, a week later the same sequence pays $1,500. I learned to just expect nothing rational, and early in the card at DEL it seems possible. While I don't think it was a putover in the least, it really does seem ridiculous that that so many ticket would come in correct when the horse was such a longshot. Basically, it just sucks to be the one sitting there with a P-3 ticket and no win money on that one. |
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#13
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No, like I said, I was just capping for the exercise..
but I think it is interesting, maybe just racing randomness, but you look at LRL and DEL and really look at some of the horses that have no logical chance and suddenly run their eyeballs out... like 0-53 and suddenly win against other horses with much better records and every right to win.....
How many $200+ win payoffs occur at BEL or SAR or any first line track? I think it would be an interesting study to look at $100 plus win payoffs and see how many of those horses ever win again, or win within the next 10 races. Granted, you can argue that there are more wiseguys following the bigger tracks, so fewer horses get missed. I'm not griping, I did not have anything on the race other than my time analyzing the card, but that horse was not pickable by any capping method or angle (other than throw a dart) and that frankly discourages me from wanting to play lesser tracks, not draws me to them chasing big payoffs..... I/L
__________________
"I got a home equity loan....every year I throw a big party and stick the house with the bill!" Homer Simpson |
#14
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i saw a dime super pay over 10k, and the one just after paid 12 bucks. funny things happen.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |