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  #1  
Old 10-19-2007, 03:21 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Default Sat. - Lexus Raven Run Stakes (G2)

This looks like a really good betting race.
Past Performances: http://www.drf.com/row/pps/07lexusravenrun.pdf

9th (5:15)
Lexus Raven Run S. (G2)
7 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $300,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 High Cholesterol Lanerie C J Margolis Steve 117 L 30-1
2 2 Jibboom Melancon L Frankel Robert 117 L 12-1
3 3 Exciting Justice Thompson T J Cain Joe 117 LA 8-1
4 4 My Fair El Guidry M Dutrow, Jr. R E 117 L 30-1
5 5 Her Majesty Leparoux J R Biancone Patrick L 117 L 10-1
6 6 Super Freaky Albarado R J O'Neill Doug 119 LA 6-1
7 7 West Coast Swing Graham J Ritter Shannon 117 L 4-1
8 8 Over the Edge Bridgmohan S X Arnold George R II 117 LA 10-1
9 9 Shesa Little Flirt Theriot H J II Werner Ronny 117 LA 30-1
10 10 Swiss Diva Delgadillo A Gallagher Patrick 117 LA 15-1
11 11 Mini Sermon Douglas R R Pletcher Todd A 117 LA 5-1
12 12 Seaside Affair Migliore R Sadler John W 119 LA 6-1
13 13 Look Deep Borel C H Tomlinson Michael A 117 LA 8-1
14 14 Quota Mena M Mott William I 117 LA 10-1
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  #2  
Old 10-19-2007, 06:10 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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swiss diva will be a good value.
shes good at this distance and first off a break, & the last work says she's ready.
i'm playin her across.
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  #3  
Old 10-19-2007, 06:13 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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hey sean,
there is already a thread about this race.
http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=17462
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  #4  
Old 10-19-2007, 06:29 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by avance2000
hey sean,
there is already a thread about this race.
http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=17462
Oops.
I looked, but somehow missed it.
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  #5  
Old 10-19-2007, 10:55 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
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scratch Super Freaky - she ran today on the turf @ KEE
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  #6  
Old 10-20-2007, 11:07 AM
westcoastinvader westcoastinvader is offline
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Default Quick question, Exciting Justice ownership change?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
scratch Super Freaky - she ran today on the turf @ KEE
I note the change of ownership for Exciting Justice in today's changes at Keeneland.

#3--Exciting Justice--Owners are Double S Stable and Brous Stable



Any way to know how recently the change might have taken place. Very recent? Or is it just a correction that should have been listed this way initially?
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  #7  
Old 10-20-2007, 11:24 AM
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Mike Mike is offline
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I'll throw out a tri box prayer here-Exciting Justice,Her Majesty and West Coast Swing
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  #8  
Old 10-20-2007, 12:12 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by westcoastinvader
I note the change of ownership for Exciting Justice in today's changes at Keeneland.

#3--Exciting Justice--Owners are Double S Stable and Brous Stable



Any way to know how recently the change might have taken place. Very recent? Or is it just a correction that should have been listed this way initially?
I would guess that Justice Farm may have recently sold or partnered Exciting Justice with the people at Double S and Brous. Double S and Brous seem to have had a piece of Atilla's Storm.
Justice farm has some mares and they seem to love to go to Glitterman(glittergem,colonial glitter..).
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  #9  
Old 10-20-2007, 12:31 PM
westcoastinvader westcoastinvader is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
I would guess that Justice Farm may have recently sold or partnered Exciting Justice with the people at Double S and Brous. Double S and Brous seem to have had a piece of Atilla's Storm.
Justice farm has some mares and they seem to love to go to Glitterman(glittergem,colonial glitter..).
Thanks for the response. Anytime I see an ownership change just before a higher profile race I take note.

A cursory check shows those new owners have some broodmare action.


No worries about the Double S guy....Joe Sweedler....losing his shirt on this investment. (he made his money largely in men's apparel...and shirts!)
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  #10  
Old 10-20-2007, 12:31 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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I've got it down... to 8 win contenders.

Seaside Affair probably as the top selection. West Coast Swing visually the most talented, still isn't automatic to give Arlington form a free exchange onto Keeneland. Mini Sermon is absolutely expected to be well placed and professional. Her Majesty runs big at home. Look Deep has run well on every synthetic known to man. Exciting Justice is sharp and versatile. Quota and Jibboom should love the course and distance.

Really haven't decided what to do here
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  #11  
Old 10-20-2007, 12:44 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike
I'll throw out a tri box prayer here-Exciting Justice,Her Majesty and West Coast Swing
Me like.. I can't seperate Justice & Swing at the top of the ticket..
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  #12  
Old 10-20-2007, 01:25 PM
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Tossing Mini Sermon may be a mistake. Could easily hit the board and West Coast Swing's my top pick (horse was a monster in the 7F race at AP).
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  #13  
Old 10-20-2007, 02:08 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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  #14  
Old 10-20-2007, 07:59 PM
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Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
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what a tough race. Where was Seaside Affair?

Jibboom ran big. I made a whopping $9.40 on a bet I probably shouldn't have wagered. (ex box: Seaside Affair,West Coast Swing, Mini Sermon,Her Majesty, Look Deep WITH/ Seaside Affair,West Coast Swing, Mini Sermon,Her Majesty, Look Deep,Exciting Justice, Quota,Jibboom = $70 paying $79.40 )



In hindsight I wish I would have also played the .10 superfecta I had in mind
- using Seaside,West Coast, and Mini Sermon as the key on 2 of the 4 slots, and using the other 8 on the other 2 levels. All 6 combinations would cost $108 and have paid $443. I just didn't want to burn my BC bank, and was scared someone like Swiss Diva would crash the party.

Keyed Super pattern
11xx = $18
xx11
1xx1
x11x
1x1x
x1x1
$18*6=$108 (payout $443)
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