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#1
11-10-2007, 07:00 AM
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11/10: AQU/HOL Carryovers
Pair of large carries into Saturday with Big A starting at $118,000 and Inglewood at $364,000.. And Churchill has a $53,000 bulge starting the sextet! New York sequence is particularly challenging with glut of state-bred affairs muddying the waters. Hollywood no picnic either, but a pair of shorter field tests at least help narrow the possibilities.. Weather a non-factor at major circuits today.. My views below (Calder/Churchill seperate thread.
AQUEDUCT 4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, Super) Came OFF THE TURF... Best Value: #5 Electric Mayhem 20-1 12th Most Likely: #8 SCR Exotics Use: #3 SCR Super/Other: #7 Sir Cryptomite 4-1 7th 5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, GS) Best Value: #7 Caller Appeal 12-1 9th Most Likely: #5 Makin Me Famous 3-1 WON Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Al's Lark 4-1 2nd Super/Other: #9 Woodmere 6-1 8th 6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, DD) Best Value: #13 SCR Most Likely: #1 (POE) The Truffle Man 7-2 WON Exotics Use: #10 Ring Bernadette 6-1 5th Super/Other: #11 Wise Mountain 9-2 12th 7th: The Lady Tak, 3yo-F, 6f (P3) Best Value: #7 Sea the Joy 12-1 5th Most Likely: #9 YOUR FLAME IN ME 2-1 WON Exotics Use: #6 Dixie Dawn 4-1 7th Super/Other: #3 SCR 8th: 48th Red Smith H. (Gr. II), 3+, 11f-T (DD, Super) A wildly competitive bunch with no standouts and few throwouts.. Best Value: #6 Operation Red Dawn 6-1 Most Likely: #5 Golden Strategy 10-1 Exotics Use: #3 Bee Charmer 5-1 Super/Other: #7 Precious Passion 10-1 9th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (Super) Best Value: #5 Baxter 15-1 Most Likely: #6 SCR Exotics Use: #11 Zipperoo 7-2 WIN Super/Other: #10 Stonewood 8-1 P6 Play: Didn't get back with scratches/Off Turf adjustments.. Sorry.. @$50 P4 Play: Post-scratches.. 6: 1-10-11 7: 7-9 8: 3-5-6 9: 5-10-11 3x2x3x3 = $54 HOLLYWOOD PARK 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #10 True Bella 8-1 Most Likely: #8 Twelve Twenty Two 9-2 Exotics Use: #2 Distorted Passion 5-2 WON Super/Other: #1 Harmony Creator 8-1 5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Soul City Slew 3-1 2nd Most Likely: #4 Silver Stetson Man 7-5 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Ever a Friend 2-1 4th 6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #11 Sky Patriot 8-1 Most Likely: #7 SCR Exotics Use: #3 Signature Move 5-2 3rd Super/Other: #10 Tiz Now Tiz Then 12-1 4th 7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Barclay Drive 8-1 Most Likely: #9 Dr. Einstein 9-2 Exotics Use: #3 Desert Sea 3-1 Super/Other: #2 Americanrevolution 4-1 8th: 5th Audrey Skirball-Kenis, 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD) Best Value: #2 Lavender Sky 5-1 Most Likely: #6 Model 3-1 Exotics Use: #5 Big Bertha 7-2 9th: CA-bred MDN CLM, 2yo, 7f (Super) Best Value: #15 Simulcast 8-1 Most Likely: #13 Captain Solis 7-2 Exotics Use: #9 Cavanaugh 5-2 Super/Other: #12 Dirty Dish Mitch 4-1 <$150 P6 Play: 4: 2-8-10 5: 4-6 6: (7-SCR) Rec'd 3 7: 6-9 8: 2-5-6 9: 13-15 3x2x1x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$50 P4 Play: 6: 3-(7-SCR) SUB 11 7: 2-3-6-9 8: 2-5-6 9: 13-15 2x4x3x2 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-10-2007 at 06:25 PM. 
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#2
11-10-2007, 11:03 AM
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Holly 6th
Although he looks like the best single of the day, the thought of singling Zetterberg is skeeving me out.
He chased runaway winners in his first two starts and actually lost ground to those winners in the stretch. I can't get over the feeling that one of these (Signature Move on the rail?) is going to bust out and Zetterberg will chase and may not catch. The other problem is finding a single elsewhere, which is not looking good.... Last edited by Bigsmc : 11-10-2007 at 11:40 AM.
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#3
11-10-2007, 11:51 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
11-10-2007, 02:38 PM
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Going to pass on pick6 stabs today. Split AQU pk4 tix with Pointman / Ltj.
Ticket #1 R6 - 1,4,6,10,12 R7 - 2,9 R8 - 1,3,5,6 R9 - 1,5,9,10,11 Ticket #2 R6 - 1,10,12 R7 - 9 R8 - 1,3,5,6 R9 - 5,8,11 Good Luck!
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#9
11-10-2007, 03:52 PM
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I regret throwing Dave out of my ticket. Didn't think the NY Bred could get it done today.
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#12
11-10-2007, 04:13 PM
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Quote:
I had been out with Mrs. Dyl and just read results through five legs. Still got shot at consos with 10 & 11. May eek out some return from chalkfest this afternoon. With my luck lately, I should play All // 10,11 // 10,11 // All ; All // 10,11 // All // 10,11; and All // All // 10,11 // 10,11 just for kicks. No need for WIN coverage... Hahaha!
__________________
@wire2wirewin Turf Economist since 1974
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#15
11-10-2007, 05:38 PM
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Quote:
Good Luck with your Late P4. Big Bertha, your single, was my third choice in that race with young, talented Louisianian Smokin' Joe Talamo aboard.
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@wire2wirewin Turf Economist since 1974
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#16
11-10-2007, 05:45 PM
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Damn 3 in the 2nd leg at Hollywood knocked everyone out. grrrrrrrr
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