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#1
11-17-2007, 09:44 AM
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11/17: Big A (C/O); CD (Late P4)
$25k carryover into Aqueduct 4th-9th today with card highlighted by some tough maiden sets and the Gr. III Stuyvesant. Very tough looking sequence for the sextet... Churchill features the Gr. III Cardinal and also has a modest carry for its' less popular P6... Hollywood has a $125k carry as well, and we may get to it later this a.m.
AQUEDUCT 4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3) Difficult to read maiden affair with all but three making career bows.. Best Value: #7 Put Him Back 12-1 8th Most Likely: #5 He's the Commander 9-2 4th Exotics Must: #4 Mint Lane 4-1 3rd Other Add: #10 Bang Bang Bang 3-1 5th 5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, G/S, Super) Also eligible Haze My Man the strong choice if he gets in.. Otherwise it's a spread race for multis.. Best Value: #9 Stormy Success 6-1 7th Most Likely: #12 SCR Exotics Must: #1 Highly Spoken 3-1 5th Super Add: #7 Dubliner 8-1 10th 6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, DD, Super) Best Value: #10 Final Resolution 8-1 8th Most Likely: #8 POST EXCHANGE 4-1 5th Exotics Must: #4 Walker's Cay 12-1 6th Super Add: #5 New York Style 15-1 10th .10 SUPER PLAY: 8 over 2-4-5-10 over 1-2-4-5-6-9-10-11 (1x4x7x6 = 168/10 = $16.80) 7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 7.5f (P3) Best Value: #4 DON'T KNOCK AMERICA 15-1 8th Most Likely: #6 Bayou Timber 5-2 7th Exotics Must: #8 Run With the Lark 3-1 4th 8th: 57th Stiyvesant H. (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD) Best Value: #7 Who What Win 12-1 4th Most Likely: #8 Barcola 5-2 6th Exotics Must: #2 SCR 9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super) Best Value: #11 SCR Most Likely: #5 VIVACIOUS VIVIAN 7-2 7th Exotics Must: #10 Kristi With a K 3-1 4th Super Add: #9 Eurodollar 8-1 8th <$150 P6 Play: 4: 1e-2e-4-5-7-10 5: 1-9 6: 8 7: 4-6 8: (2/SCR)7-8 9: 5 6x2x1x2x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72 <$50 P4 Play: 6: 2-4-5-8 7: 4-6-8 8: (2/SCR) 6-7-8 9: 5 4x3x3x1 = $36 CHURCHILL DOWNS 7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, O/U, Super) Best Value: #1 Cleverdale 8-1 10th Most Likely: #10 Even Tempo 7-2 4th Exotics Must: #8 SCR Super Add: #5 Lauren's Music 5-1 WON 8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, O/U, Super) Best Value: #3 CITY NUMBER 9-2 5th Most Likely: #6 Elite Squadron 7-2 WON Exotics Must: #4 Deputy Glitters 8-1 8th Super Add: #5 Carnack's Choice 5-1 3rd 9th: Cardinal H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD, O/U, Super) Best Value: #3 Nottawasaga 12-1 3rd Most Likely: #6 Argentina 2-1 2nd Exotics Must: #4 Criminologist 8-5 WON Super Add: #8 Love Handles 12-1 5th 10th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (O/U, Super) Best Value: #3 Cielo Song 10-1 2nd Most Likely: #1 Mama's Lil' Mon 4-1 3rd Exotics Must: #10 Chief Export 3-1 WON Super Add: #9 Delta Charlie 6-1 7th <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-5-(8/SCR)-9-10 8: 3-6 9: 6 10: 1-3-5-9-10 4x2x1x5 = $40 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-18-2007 at 05:55 AM. 
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#2
11-17-2007, 10:04 AM
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9th race aqueduct
Steve,
In your pick 6 and pick 4 for the 9th race you have singled #2, yet in your picks you don't have the 2 listed at all. Typo? By the way big fan of the webiste and appreciate all that you do for us racing fans. Thanks, John (Troy, NY)
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#3
11-17-2007, 10:07 AM
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Thx! Of course it's the 5.. The Mott filly.. Change made.. And thanks for the kind compliment though clearly as cited here, I have no idea what I'm actually doing!!!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
11-17-2007, 10:24 AM
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In the 9th race Kristi With a K, who's a half to Bit of Whimsy, was entered in one of these maiden turf races a couple of weeks ago and ran off in the post parade. As the horse was running off, and before the scratch was announced, she dropped from 6-1 to 3-1 in one flash.
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#5
11-17-2007, 10:34 AM
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#6
11-17-2007, 10:42 AM
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__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#7
11-17-2007, 11:40 AM
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Scratches
At Aqueduct, all the also eligibles and entered for MTO are scratched in Race 5. The 3, Come On Over is scratched in Race 6. Naughty New Yorker and Malibu Moonshine are scratched in Race 8. Also eligibles and MTOs are scratched in Race 9.
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#8
11-17-2007, 11:48 AM
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Steve,
Naughty New Yorker has scratched. With Naughty New Yorker out, do you see any possibility of Evening Attire getting into the mix. The race has a lot of speed in it and he seems to be the only deep closer. I know his form hasn't been great this year, but I'm hoping to get him at good odds.
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#11
11-17-2007, 12:33 PM
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#13
11-17-2007, 12:36 PM
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7th: 5,6,7 8th: 1,5,7 9th: 3,10
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#14
11-17-2007, 01:01 PM
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#15
11-17-2007, 01:08 PM
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Going a large with Pointman on late pick4. Maybe sniff out a couple prices...
Ticket #1 R6 - 1,2,4,5,6,8,10,11 R7 - 4,5,6 R8 - 5,6,7,8 R9 - 5,10 Ticket #2 R6 - 8 R7 - 1,4,6,7,8 R8 - 1,5,6,7,8 R9 - 5,10 Good luck!
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#17
11-17-2007, 02:38 PM
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Cardiff Road almost ensured another carryover. Nice ride by Alan Garcia on Dantastic.
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#20
11-17-2007, 02:54 PM
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Linear Mode
