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#1
11-28-2007, 09:29 AM
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11/28: AQU Inner Opener
Big A action moves to the quirky inner track today for a long run; Grass still an option at least for a few days. The inner is not always as ridiculously speed-favoring as it's made out to be, though recent seasons have shown there will be stretches where cheap frontrunners hang on and on and on for days, or weeks, at a time... What is most consistant about the inner, is the way some campaigners succeed over it year after year. Horses that are ordinary at Belmont and Saratoga, and even the Aqueduct main, regularly become Citations on the 'inner tube'.
Opening Day of the Winter Session has a tough P4 sequence as the $25k/NW3L 7th looks particularly like a trap race with many seemingly capable of upsetting. AQUEDUCT POST SCR/CHG'S... 6th OFF THE TURF... Inner labeled Fast... 6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, DD) OFF THE TURF.. SCR 1, 2, 8, 9... Best Value: #2b Mustand Cali 5-1 4th Most Likely: #1a In for a Dime 5-2 2nd Next Best: #4 Make It Come True 9-2: Hennig Spa maiden-breaker working steady for return.. 5th Exotics Add: #6 Miss Buddhafull 4-1 3rd 7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-70y, (P3, Super) Consider adding #'s 6-8 for deeper multi-race wagers.. Best Value: #5 Unbridled Danger 10-1: Class edge looking back; Zippy drills.. 5th Most Likely: #7 Too Risky 3-1: Levine has had time to adjust 5yo.. WON Next Best: #10 Tahoe Warrior 5-1: Expect Rice acquiree to send under CC.. 4th Exotics Add: #4 Six Gun 15-1: Dunham winless on year; Bay sharp this strip earlier.. 3rd 8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) Best Value: #4 Lady Limit 6-1: Badgett bay prefers 'fast' surfaces.. 7th Most Likely: #1a (POE) Rizzi's Twist 2-1: State-bred owns fig edge but will need rally.. 5th Next Best: #2e McLaughlin entry 5-2: 1a Wild Hoots cuts back, goes T2D.. 3rd Exotics Add: #3 Fearless Leader 8-1: Lerman namesake aced Swamp MSW, but no drill since.. 2nd 9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (Super) Best Value: #6 Chernobyl's Hero 12-1: Odinitz going well; Gelding ITM 4 of 5 this strip.. 4th Most Likely: #1a (POE) SCR Next Best: #7 Love Abroad 8-1: Hertler bay has done best running this oval.. WON Exotics Add: #8 True Wood 7-2: Wide drawn colt was used early last; Faces similar issue here.. 3rd Main considerations for P4 Play: 6: 1-2-4 7: 5-7 8: 1-2-4 9: 1-6-7 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-28-2007 at 05:21 PM. 
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#2
11-28-2007, 09:47 AM
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Thanks Steve! Glad to have your input at AQU.
The "Inner Track Lovers" you mentioned is something I really keyed in on last year. Also found it especially useful when those type went off the Inner and got overbet. . Any thoughts on how the inner track changes once the ground freezes? Is that when certain horses really outperform on the inner, or is it just a function of the surface in general?
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#3
11-28-2007, 11:05 AM
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The 6th is off the turf ( which is a blessing if you really liked the Hennig horse ).
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#5
11-28-2007, 11:24 AM
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Here's the complete SCR/CHG... http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
11-28-2007, 03:24 PM
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Sickened.. Got off Survived with the move from the grass.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
11-28-2007, 03:43 PM
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#9
11-28-2007, 04:52 PM
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That is mindboggling. The parlay was around $1300. It was obviously because the 8th winner was 20-1 or so in the Pick-4 ( hell I had the other 3 on a $48 play....hardly genius ). That was a tough horse to like. The main speed stumbling badly at the start certainly helped make her a winner.
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#10
11-28-2007, 05:18 PM
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$21,500 carryover too....
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
11-28-2007, 05:41 PM
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#12
11-28-2007, 05:43 PM
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#16
11-28-2007, 06:38 PM
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They sort of have to keep at least the first one on unless we get rain.
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