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  #1  
Old 01-28-2008, 10:46 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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Default TAMPA TUESDAY 1/29/08 LATE p4



I probably should leave this for the real adults who crush this place but the sequence had interest with Chester House potentially being key if successful.



Race 7-10

Ticket for the "Littles" Tony would be proud...

4/6,8,10/3,6/2,8 (small ticket)

Ticket for the outliers

4,10,11/6,8,10,14AE/3,6,8,9/1,2,3,6,8 (big ticket)

Good Luck DT'ers and especially those Kickin and Screaming
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  #2  
Old 01-29-2008, 04:30 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3

I probably should leave this for the real adults who crush this place but the sequence had interest with Chester House potentially being key if successful.



Race 7-10

Ticket for the "Littles" Tony would be proud...

4/6,8,10/3,6/2,8 (small ticket)

Ticket for the outliers

4,10,11/6,8,10,14AE/3,6,8,9/1,2,3,6,8 (big ticket)

Good Luck DT'ers and especially those Kickin and Screaming
Look at the good Doctor weighing in. I am still trying to formulate my ticket into something managable. I think the two turf races are very wide open.

Could be a nice P4 (of course now that I say that, it'll go chalk/chalk/chalk/chalk and pay about $80).

GL Doc.
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  #3  
Old 01-29-2008, 05:36 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Thanks for chiming in Doc. Always good to have others playing TBD.

Big Ticket $192 pays $73.90

1,4,7/3,6,8,10/,3,6,8,9/3,4,6,8

Small Ticket $48 Pays $73.90

4,7/6,10/,3,6,8,9/4,6,8

Last edited by GPK : 01-29-2008 at 04:43 PM.
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  #4  
Old 01-29-2008, 07:30 AM
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infield_line infield_line is offline
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Smile My Pass at the Card...

R1
2 3rd
4 4th
7
10 2nd good call on the 9 Bigs

R2
2
6 2nd
7
8 won ex $6.5

R3
4
5
6 won $5.20
8

r4
1 2nd
2
5
6 won ex $23.10

r5
2 3rd
4
1 2nd winner 5 paid $36.60
9

r6
1 won chalk....ex $11.50
3
5
7 2nd

r7
4 won 9 2nd..dang it I love Partner's Hero but passed for some unknown reason...
6 3rd
7 4th
10

r8
3 2nd
6 3rd
8 4th
10 won lol prices too pitiful to post

r9
1
2
3 2nd
6 won ex $8.40

r10
3 3rd
4 4th
6 won ex $11.30 tri $29.20
8 2nd

Good Luck I/L
__________________
"I got a home equity loan....every year I throw a big party and stick the house with the bill!"

Homer Simpson

Last edited by infield_line : 01-29-2008 at 04:47 PM.
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  #5  
Old 01-29-2008, 07:43 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Small Ticket:

4/3,5,6,8,10/3,6/1,2,3,4,6,8 = $60 = $73.90

Big Ticket:

1,4/3,5,6,7,8,10/3,6,9/1,2,3,4,6,8 = $216 = $73.90

GL to all playing today.

Last edited by Bigsmc : 01-29-2008 at 06:39 PM.
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  #6  
Old 01-29-2008, 07:51 AM
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Spot play in today's first race. A truly bad MCL 8k so I look for anyone making changes or reasons they may improve today because there isn't much to beat here.

9 - Zaam Time has a few factors that make her stand out to me. The first thing I saw was a major jockey change from HQ Rodriguez (one of the worst on the grounds) to Pablo Morales (16% winners at the meet). Second, she breezed a 36 and 3 last friday, MCL 8k horses do not breeze that fast so it tells me she is on go. She's also making her third start off a six month layoff for fans of that angle. Finally, sprinkle a little first time Lasix on top and you have today's value play at 10-1 M/L. Not sure if you'll get 10-1, but Proctor (10) and Scace (7) should take most of the money and help us get some value here.

Good luck.
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  #7  
Old 01-29-2008, 08:41 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Race 1
10 Once More 2nd
7 Rainbowis Gold
4 Fresh Call
9 Zaam Time
WON $2 ex 59.40

Race 2
8 Dennis's Dream WON
2 Jammin in the Sand
6 Halrose 2nd
10 Williwagcanfly
$2 ex box 13.00

Race 3
6 Buddah Past WON
3 Ifyousnoozeyoulose 2nd
5 Down Range
8 Driftwood Run
$2 ex box 14.80

Race 4
6 Cape Monerko WON
1 Smooth Wind 2nd
7 Eight Frames
3 Gary's Boomer
3rd $2 ex 46.20 $2 tri 223.00 P3 44.00

Race 5
4 Shoal Water
2 Art of Diplomacy 3rd
3 Scruples In
9 Minnamana


Race 6
7 Carolina Belle 2nd
1 Claudia's Flame WON
3 This Smoke Did It
2 I'llthinkofsumthin
3rd $2 ex 23.20 $2 tri 124.60

Race 7
4 Moment of Song WON
7 Sure As Shootin
10 Little Paper Boat
9 Smart Partner
2nd $2 ex 26.60
Race 8

10 R Vicarious Girl WON
6 Kickin N Screamin DH 3rd
8 Golden Celebrity DH 3rd
3 Hurricane Nikki
2nd

Race 9
1 My Privileged SCR
6 Ravencliff WON
3 A Fleet Prospector 2nd
5 Taxicab
3rd

Race 10
8 Weigelia 2nd
6 Prosico WON
1 Not Acclaim SCR
3 Salute the Count
3rd

P4 looks very chalky with an obvious single of Moment of Song in the first leg and the two stand outs in the last leg. Can't see chasing with a big ticket, so I'll go for the chalk and hit it a couple of times:

P4 play - 4//3,6,8,10//1,3,5,6//6,8 = 32.00 73.90

Good Luck Everybody and especially Dee Tee Stables! - for those in town, I'll see ya at the Downs!

Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 01-29-2008 at 08:59 PM.
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  #8  
Old 01-29-2008, 09:26 AM
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tiggerv tiggerv is offline
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My ticket today.

Race 7
4 Moment of Song

Race 8
10 R Vicarious Girl
6 Kicking N Screamin
3 Hurricane Nikki
8 Golden Celebrity
5 Siempre Verde

(Will also include AE12, AE14 if draw in)

Race 9
6 Ravencliff
3 A Fleet Prospector


Race 10
8 Weigelia
6 Prosico
2 Hold The Salt
3 Salute The Count
4 Bucky's Prayer


$50

Good luck to all especially Dee Tee connections.

Edit ticket for scratches.

Last edited by tiggerv : 01-29-2008 at 02:22 PM.
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  #9  
Old 01-29-2008, 09:28 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
P4 looks very chalky with an obvious single of Moment of Song in the first leg and the two stand outs in the last leg. Can't see chasing with a big ticket, so I'll go for the chalk and hit it a couple of times:

P4 play - 4//3,6,8,10//1,3,5,6//6,8 = 32.00

Good Luck Everybody and especially Dee Tee Stables! - for those in town, I'll see ya at the Downs!

Couldn't disagree with you more on the last race (that's why I love this game). I think there are several capable of knocking off your top two. Too many things can happen in a 5f turf dash (bad break, traffic, wide trip, etc...) that leave the horse with too much work to do and not enough distance to get there.

1 - Not Acclaim - Will be flying from the outset for Kirk Zaidie. 5f specialist will try to take them the whole way.
2 - Hold the Salt - Recently won a 100k Stake at KD.
3 - Salute the Count - Is dangerous for Dutrow. Blazing PmM work. 2nd in the Jaipur to Ecclesiastic and beat Weigelia. Listed Stake winner at Med.
4 - Bucky's Prayer - Horse for the course. Former track record holder here.

Last edited by Bigsmc : 01-29-2008 at 10:11 AM.
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  #10  
Old 01-29-2008, 09:55 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Couldn't disagree with you more on the last race (that's why I love this game). I think there are several capable of knocking off your top two. Too many things can happen in a 5f turf dash (bad break, traffic, wide trip, etc...) that leave the horse with too much work to do and not enough distance to get there.

1 - Not Acclaim - Will be flying from the outset for Kirk Zaidie. 5f specialist will try to take them the whole way.
2 - Hold the Salt - Recently won a 100k Stake at KD.
3 - Salute the Count - Is dangerous for Dutrow. Blazing PmM work. 2nd in the Jaipur to Ecclesiastic. Listed Stake winner at Med.
4 - Bucky's Prayer - Horse for the course. Former track record holder here.
There are some very interesting horses in here and this is probably the nicest race we've seen here this meet (including the stakes)...That said, IMO Trombetta's horse is in a class by itself - solid string of works coming in so the lay off is not a concern; Velez up; 7-2-1-2 the distance over turf - could make a case to include Salute the Count, but This is all the 8. I hope your right so I get a better price
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  #11  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:10 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
There are some very interesting horses in here and this is probably the nicest race we've seen here this meet (including the stakes)...That said, IMO Trombetta's horse is in a class by itself - solid string of works coming in so the lay off is not a concern; Velez up; 7-2-1-2 the distance over turf - could make a case to include Salute the Count, but This is all the 8. I hope your right so I get a better price
I am scratching my head as to why Weigelia is even in this race. This is a pretty tough field and he's running for a measly $21,200 purse. There is a race this Sunday at GP that he is eligible for (6f dirt) with a purse of $59,000.

TENTH RACE ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Purse $59,000. (Plus $5,000 F.O.A. Winner Supp.) For Four Year Olds And
Upward Which Have Not Won $25,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming
Or Starter Since August 2, 2007 Or Claiming Price $100,000.
Weight 124 lbs.
Non-winners Of Two Races Since January 3 2 lbs.
A Race Since Then 4 lbs.
(Maiden , Claiming, And Starter Races Not Considered In Allowances)
SIX FURLONGS

If the horse was doing well and ready to go, why not run for the bigger purse? The bullets he has shown indicate that he is okay with the GP dirt surface, so why run here today?

I could be way off base, but it just seems odd to me.
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  #12  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:13 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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race 7 4/6/10
race 8 6/5 kns has the late kick gl
race 9 9/2/3
race 10 8/2 lox n kippers ran great yesterday to get 3rd at gs

cant believe noone is using pp 5 siempre verde.. 2nd off the layoff

Last edited by hoovesupsideyourhead : 01-29-2008 at 02:22 PM.
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  #13  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:24 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
race 7 4/6/10
race 8 6/5 kns has the late kick gl
race 9 9/2/3
race 10 8/2/1 lox n kippers ran great yesterday to get 3rd at gs

cant believe noone is using pp 5 siempre verde.. 2nd off the layoff
I did.

Are you posting from your vehicle while driving down US19?
GL Matt.
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  #14  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:30 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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not gonna make it this time...gl and have a blast!
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  #15  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:38 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I am scratching my head as to why Weigelia is even in this race. This is a pretty tough field and he's running for a measly $21,200 purse. There is a race this Sunday at GP that he is eligible for (6f dirt) with a purse of $59,000.

TENTH RACE ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Purse $59,000. (Plus $5,000 F.O.A. Winner Supp.) For Four Year Olds And
Upward Which Have Not Won $25,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming
Or Starter Since August 2, 2007 Or Claiming Price $100,000.
Weight 124 lbs.
Non-winners Of Two Races Since January 3 2 lbs.
A Race Since Then 4 lbs.
(Maiden , Claiming, And Starter Races Not Considered In Allowances)
SIX FURLONGS

If the horse was doing well and ready to go, why not run for the bigger purse? The bullets he has shown indicate that he is okay with the GP dirt surface, so why run here today?

I could be way off base, but it just seems odd to me.
Blue Pepsi Lodge?
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  #16  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:44 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Blue Pepsi Lodge?
will prob scr..
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  #17  
Old 01-29-2008, 10:51 AM
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viscount26 viscount26 is offline
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quote from todays NY Daily News
Tampa Bay analysis by Tom Cavanagh
Race 8
Hurricane Nikki saved second Placing 1 3/4 out moving to Tony Wilsons barn in from Laurel; advances. Golden Celebrity led by a head; came up short 3/4's; up $25,000 off Jim Hartleys claim; on the Board in last six.
Kickin N Screamin got blocked; closed fastest missing by 3/4's; the Red hot Rosie h stays; can upset.
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  #18  
Old 01-29-2008, 11:07 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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For what it's worth and I know there are far, far better trip handicappers in here than myself, but #6 RAVENCLIFF in Race 9 had quite the trip last time out, breaking slow, racing wide, wider, wider and then fighting through the stretch to come up just short all the time while rallying into a slow pace. You have to figure that one's between him and Michael Catalano's horse on the rail.

NT
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  #19  
Old 01-29-2008, 11:09 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
will prob scr..
Matt- was wondering if they (the connections of Weigelia) were looking to duplicate a similar plan to BPL...He came in here on 1/18 from GP, blew an alw field away by open lengths then ran back at GP 4 days later for a meatier purse and won that as well....
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  #20  
Old 01-29-2008, 11:25 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Matt- was wondering if they (the connections of Weigelia) were looking to duplicate a similar plan to BPL...He came in here on 1/18 from GP, blew an alw field away by open lengths then ran back at GP 4 days later for a meatier purse and won that as well....
very well could be but is a 7 year old..trombetta is a good trainer so i cant second guess anything.. good luck today
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