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#1
03-28-2008, 09:08 PM
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Racing Post ratings
OK, we've been told to adjust Racing Post ratings down around 12-13 points or so for route races for older horses to get a Beyer equivalent.
One problem: they clearly don't use the Beyer beaten lengths chart. Take a look at the Godolphin Mile. The top three finishers from the race that Blackat Blackitten won are all running tomorrow. Blackat Blackitten (race winner) Racing Post rating 113+ Golden Arrow, 2nd beaten 3/4 of a length; Racing Post rating 106 Halkin, finished 3rd beaten 2 lengths, Racing Post rating of 97 We know they don't factor pace into races.....hell they don't even show fractional times. Are they adjusting for trip? I had never heard that they did. But outside of an EXTREMELY wide trip by Blackat Blackitten and a ground saving trip by Halkin, I don't see how two horses 2 lengths apart could finish 16 points apart. 
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#2
03-28-2008, 09:13 PM
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Racing Posts aren't even speed figs. . . I think weight is factored in but not sure what else. . .
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#3
03-28-2008, 09:15 PM
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#4
03-29-2008, 09:54 AM
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Blackcat Blackitten was conceding 4 lb to Golden Arrow, so 0.75 length should equate to a difference of 5 lb between the two. Guess the Post have just given BB a couple of extra on account of the fact that the margin of success underplayed his superiority. The fact that he failed to justify that extra 2 lb next time suggests he should be rated on the bare form of that success (115 in the case of Timeform).
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"Pound for pound the greatest sportsman Britain has ever produced." John Francome on A. P. McCoy.
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