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#1
03-31-2008, 07:14 PM
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Weekend BSF's
Floriday Derby-BIG BROWN 106 (Smooth Air 98; Tomcito 85)
Next Move-WOW ME FREE 98 Shirley Jones-SUGAR SWIRL 94 Bonnie Miss-SHES ALL ELTISH 90 Palm Beach-SPORTING ART 89
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans 
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#2
03-31-2008, 07:46 PM
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109 for Electrify
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#3
04-02-2008, 10:22 AM
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*Forever Whirl (GP): Electrify (E. Plesa Jr./J. Lezcano) - 109
*Florida Derby (GP): Big Brown (R. Dutrow Jr./K. Desormeaux) - 106 *Carousel (OP): Graeme Six (T. Amoss/E. Razo Jr.) - 102 *Orchid (GP): Hostess (H. Bond/J. Velazquez) - 99 *Next Move (Aqu): Wow Me Free (K. McLaughlin/A. Garcia) - 98 *Tokyo City (SA): Niagara Causeway (L. Powell/J. Court) - 97 *Fort Bend County (Hou): Gold Coyote (W. Calhoun/B. Walker Jr.) - 94 *Shirley Jones (GP): Sugar Swirl (B. Lynch/J. Castellano) - 94 *Hillsborough (BM): Unspoken Word (J. Hollendorfer/R. Baze) - 94 *American Beauty (SA): Diamond Diva - GB (J. Cassidy/M. Smith) - 92 *Harrison E. Johnson Memorial (Lrl): Arcata (H. Motion/J. Rose) - 90 *Budweiser-Tondi (Fon): Bevys Best (L. Staroscik/Y. Yaranga) - 90 *Bonnie Miss (GP): Shes All Eltish (M. Wolfson/E. Castro) - 90 *San Miguel (SA): Salute the Sarge (E. Guillot/M. Baze) - 89 *Palm Beach (GP): Sporting Art (C. Clement/J. Castellano) - 89 *Cocodrie (DeD): Bandido (K. Bourgeois/G. Melancon) - 88 *Gardenia (DeD): Coach Mike (T. Richey/D. Saenz) - 87 *Langhorne (Pha): Jet Away Jane (T. Miller/A. Rodriguez) - 86 *Santa Paula (SA): Lethal Heat (B. Abrams/G. Olguin) - 86 *Fairway Fun (TP): Princess Composer (R. McGee/J. Camejo) - 86 *Mt. Cristo Rey (Sun): Frankenbean (E. Burelsmith Jr./M. Perez) - 83 *Manor Downs Distance Cup (Man): Aggies Rule (C. Bronstad/P. Boxie) - 80 *Tempe (TuP): El Mirage (K. Lewis/V. Guerra) - 80
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
04-02-2008, 10:47 AM
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Quote:
Tell us more~! May have missed it elsewhere, but would love to hear your riff a little on the pace scenarios from the three late 9f races Saturday and their potential after effects...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
04-02-2008, 11:12 AM
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I did talk about it after saying that the track definitely sped up big time. I think it was the "How good is BB thread".
Given that this was the first route of the day, and the other two were run on a clearly much faster surface, the only real way to make a figure for the race is to look at the horses in the race. You have lightly raced 3yo fillies that have shown a decent amount of talent. The pace was moderate, not slow so that it would have had a big influence on the final time. On the scale I use, the pace time was actually rated about a length higher than the final time. So, this wasn't some crawl fest. Given that, I looked at the winner blowing away the field and the horses behind her. Since I know they weren't cooked by a fast pace, I just don't see a 90 being feasible. It means not only did the winner do nothing special (and probably regress), every other horse in the field ran well below previously displayed ability for no apparent reason. It just doesn't make sense. I'm giving the race about a 98 and won't be surprised if that winds up being a tad low.
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