Racetrack fatality update from Scollay study

[Riot]

bloodhorse.com

he revised figures released by The Jockey Club April 10 show 2.02 fatalities per 1,000 starts on dirt and 1.47 on synthetic surfaces.

[whodey17]

It is the beauty of revised figures. But this is a drastic revision in my opinion. Dirt goes from 1.96 to 2.01 and Synthetic goes from 1.95 to 1.47. I would think that a track should report two sets of numbers. A set of numbers after their live meet on injuries and fatalities for the meet. And a set of monthly numbers on injuries and fatalities if the track is open for training when it isnt open for live racing.

The the Jockey Club could run a live database.

[ateamstupid]

Ahem.

http://worstderbyever.blogspot.com/2...down-dart.html

[The Bid]

Thats not a significant enough number to implement these crappy tracks.

[Antitrust32]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Ahem.

http://worstderbyever.blogspot.com/2...down-dart.html

I laughed

[kgar311]

I was wrong, of course, about my prediction of a handle decrease, though. I guess we're not -- as a whole -- a very discriminating bunch.


They run DONKEYS at Delware park and people bet on them, im sure the surface isnt going to stop them.

[SniperSB23]

Did anyone actually read the article? They took data from 42 tracks for the initial numbers and then published revised numbers using 34 of them after they were "thoroughly reviewed". Of course the breakdown rates will increase when you selectively choose which tracks are going to be used by the study to make your point! And it looks like they reduced the time period on the study, presumably to not include a period where there were a lot of breakdowns on the synthetics (how else do you explain the decrease?). Coming out with a revision that is less statistically statistic and blatantly skewed to prove your point. Brilliant!

[Riot]

Did anyone actually read the article?

Coming out with a revision that is less statistically statistic and blatantly skewed to prove your point. Brilliant!

Naw, I don't think anyone read it, as once again this caveat accompanies the release of information:

“The revised statistics are based upon injury reports from a limited number of racetracks (34), and represent a reporting period of less than one year at some racetracks,” Scollay said in The Jockey Club release. “Therefore, it is important to remember that these fatality rates are just a snapshot in time from a less-than-statistically-significant number of tracks, and cannot be considered scientifically conclusive at this point.”