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Old 07-25-2008, 06:49 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 7/25: Saratoga (Day 3-Twilight)

Interesting second day as rain continued but at least there was time to adjust for it. Got stronger as day progressed catching several winners before stringing together Late P4 score of $236.75 ($1) which was available for a meager $24 after scratches! Know several jumped aboard, so I'm glad you did well.

May take several weeks of meet to find crazier overlay than Frankel-Live Oak MTO runner LOVING VINDICATION who inexplicably went off at 4.20-1... Stunner of the day was of course Jim Corrao's career maiden Worth a Shot winning the 4th at 35-1.

Twilight card Friday.. 2:45pm first post. Turf only for the featured Lake George.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES..


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Clemens 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 By Proxy 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Super Add: #7 At Attention 4-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-OTT (P4, P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #2b-MTO Pious David 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Musca 10-1 9th
Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 2-1 WON/
Exotics Add: #6 Unbridle's Dream 3-1 7th


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #1a Iron Butterfly 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Mushka 2-1 3rd


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Looking at firsters here and there isn't anyone necessarily "more likely" than any other...

Also, for those that may not be aware, sire Spanish Steps is the unraced full b rother of Unbridled's Song. This is his first crop, and he got his first winner Thursday at Del Mar..


1. #6 Vinnie's Wild Tale 6-1 4th
2. #7 Nightmare Alley 6-1 8th
3. #9 Midtown Bullet 8-1 WON
4. #5 The Spanish Life 50-1 7th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-OTT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #1a-MTO Osceola Prince 10-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Jump It 8-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Crossing the Atlantic 10-1 4th
Super Add: #15-MTO Last Tram 6-1 5th


<$100 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4-8
3: 1-4-5-6
4: 6-7-9
5: 1-7

4x4x3x2 = $96

$1 P4 (1-5-9-7) Paid $4,674.00


6th: OC/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Real Estate 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Shekinah 20-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Visible Truth 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Hometown Boy 5-1 5th


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 War Ruler 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Call Tiger 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Ecton 5-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Fort Apache Star 6-1 WON


8th: 14th Lake George (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Expect turf to be no better than yielding..

Will include the Euro invader in multi-race wagers and play against within the race..

Most Likely: #4 Mousse Au Chocolat 2-1 6th
Next Best: #2 My Princess Jess 8-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Zee Zee 5-1 3rd


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OTT

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #15 Sashay Renee 4-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Sweet Bama Breeze 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #16 Token Special 6-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Mrs Holden 5-1 11th

ALTERNATE HORSE IF ONE ABOVE SCRATCHES:
#7 Intoxicatingbeauty 12-1 4th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4
7: 1-5
8: 2-4
9: 1-3-15-16

3x2x2x4 = $48

Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-25-2008 at 09:21 PM.
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