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  #1  
Old 08-16-2008, 06:06 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 8/16: Saratoga (Alabama; Sword Dancer)

Surprisingly beautiful but very chalky afternoon at the Spa. Unless you found Backseat Rhythm, as did Andy Serling, it was the kind of afternoon where you hit P3's regularly and made no money. Fun day nontheless. 'Bama-Sword Dancer features include great horses though neither event a particularly terrific betting affair. Hope you did well Friday...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Against favorite National Pride WON here..

Most Likely: #4 Posse Cat 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Run With Me 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Joppa Flat's 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Pewter 15-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Light Green 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Northern Harbor 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Cats 8-1 6th


3rd: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Fanfire 2-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Gift of Giving 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 SCR
Super Add: #1 Patti Tiff 15-1 6th


4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Super tough turf sprint.. Will be spreading wide in multi-race plays..

Most Likely: #3 Mrs. Holden 6-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Doree Daze 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Miss Dolan's Rose 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1e Rice entry 7-2 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

SCR #7 Take the Points who ran Friday..

Most Likely: #8 Girolamo 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Western Legend 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Blue Whistler 12-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Great Crusade 15-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-7
3: 1-2-3-4-6-9
4: 3-6
5: 5-8-9

2x6x2x3 = $72


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Arrrr 7-2 WON
Best Value: #4 Spider Rock 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Honor Evening 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Hepcat 12-1 5th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Quick to Charm 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Monsooned Malabar 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Hard to Explain 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 SCR


8th: 33rd Sword Dancer (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

With SCR of Red Rocks and Champs Elysees, ML's don't really apply..

Most Likely: #2 Grand Couturier WON
Best Value: #5 Precous Passion 4th
Next Best: #6 Better Talk Now 2nd


9th: 129th Alabama (Gr. I), 3yo, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Proud Spell 6-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Sweet Vendetta 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Godolphin entry 1-1 2nd/3rd


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Forest Trail 2-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Goo Goo Eyes 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Higher Incentive 12-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Queens Full 5-1 6th


<$100 P4 Play:

7: 5-6-7
8: 2-5-6-7
9: 1-2
10: 3-6-8-9

3x4x2x4 = $96


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-17-2008 at 06:40 AM.
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  #2  
Old 08-16-2008, 08:21 AM
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Default

Is it safe to assume that they'll be ON THE TURF today?
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  #3  
Old 08-16-2008, 09:12 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I haven't called but I would say yes.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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  #4  
Old 08-16-2008, 09:24 AM
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Heard anything about Music Note scratching to run in the Travers?
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  #5  
Old 08-16-2008, 09:38 AM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I haven't called but I would say yes.

Who you gonna call???
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  #6  
Old 08-16-2008, 10:11 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geeker2
Heard anything about Music Note scratching to run in the Travers?

drf.com says she's running today.



http://drf.com/news/article/97311.html
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  #7  
Old 08-16-2008, 10:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
drf.com says she's running today.



http://drf.com/news/article/97311.html

Although it would have added something special to the Travers...but Proud Spell is no push over...
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  #8  
Old 08-16-2008, 10:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Races ON TURF and labeled GOOD...
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 08-16-2008, 10:33 AM
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Amen!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Races ON TURF and labeled GOOD...
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  #10  
Old 08-16-2008, 12:01 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Byk, you really think that Proud spell is the most likely winner of the Alabama?
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  #11  
Old 08-16-2008, 12:37 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Byk, you really think that Proud spell is the most likely winner of the Alabama?
Who do you think is the most likely winner? If your answer is Music Note, what is there to discuss? The odds on both will be miniscule.
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  #12  
Old 08-16-2008, 01:14 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Early Pick 4

2 - 2
3 - 3
4 - 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9
5 - 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,9

GL
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  #13  
Old 08-16-2008, 01:41 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Pick 3

3 - 3
4 - 2,3,6,7
5 - 4,5,6,8

GL
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  #14  
Old 08-16-2008, 01:52 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Love getting a defending champ at fair odds in the Sword Dancer.
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  #15  
Old 08-16-2008, 02:10 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
Love getting a defending champ at fair odds in the Sword Dancer.

Better hope he gets the rail skimming ride he got last year.
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  #16  
Old 08-16-2008, 03:58 PM
mclem0822 mclem0822 is offline
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Default Late Pick 4.......

2-3-5-6-7
2-5-7
1
3-6-8-9
$60
Good Luck All!
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  #17  
Old 08-16-2008, 04:22 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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split with pmac, good luck!

7- 2,3,5,6,7,8,9
8- 2,5,6,7
9- 1,2,5
10- 3
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  #18  
Old 08-16-2008, 04:34 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
split with pmac, good luck!

7- 2,3,5,6,7,8,9
8- 2,5,6,7
9- 1,2,5
10- 3
I couldn't decide what to do with this P4.

So....I went

7 - 6,7
8 - 1,7
9 - 1,2
10 - 3,7 and banged it a few times.

GL boys.
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  #19  
Old 08-16-2008, 04:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I couldn't decide what to do with this P4.

So....I went

7 - 6,7
8 - 1,7
9 - 1,2
10 - 3,7 and banged it a few times.

GL boys.
Better play than ours, we can really chalk out on this one. Didn't get the value in the first leg. Good luck in the last few, but this could be a chalkfest.
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  #20  
Old 08-16-2008, 05:07 PM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Better play than ours, we can really chalk out on this one. Didn't get the value in the first leg. Good luck in the last few, but this could be a chalkfest.
Not anymore. GL the rest of the way.
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