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  #1  
Old 09-30-2008, 09:15 AM
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Default 9/30: Meadowlands (15% T/O-Late P4)

Huge Saturday of play was largely successful thanks especially to the utter demolition of Turfway Stakes as the engine on the train. The $364.00 ($1) Kentucky Cup Sprint trifecta covered all misfires and then some when near sure thing Fatal Bullet romped over the big prices I offered beneath him. Hope you scored out here... Curiously, my multi-race plays were derailed by the stunning upsets in both of the other big sprints with the upsets at Belmont and Santa Anita. Black Seventeen and Cost of Freedom were very hard to figure against the fields they faced, so congrats to anyone that had them. Hope you did well over the weekend!

The Meadowlands opens up for its' decent meet today, and take note of the attractive takeout on The Swamp's exotics and multis.. Well worth looking over..


MEADOWLANDS


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: NJ-CLM, 3+, 6f (P4)

Most Likely: #5 Playmelancholybaby 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Go Perfect 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 On Time Sometime 5-2 WON

$2 Exacta (4-1) Paid $16.70
$1 Trifecta Paid $39.40



6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Perfect Arrival 5-2 WON
Next Best: #6 Network 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Meadow Blue 6-1


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Broad Acres 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Slade 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Bonding 3-1
Super Add: #2 Value Driver 7-2 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Queen Joanne 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Naughty Nina 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Double Dinghey Day 3-1
Super Add: #11 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-3-4-5
6: 5-6
7: 5-7
8: 2-6-7

5x2x2x3 = $60


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-30-2008 at 04:15 PM.
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  #2  
Old 09-30-2008, 09:59 AM
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I'm against Slade in the seventh. I count all of one good race he's run outside of the Wild Wild West (DEL), and with the race basically starting on the turn in MED miles, he's going to be wide at least once unless he drops back early. I think he'll be much shorter than 5-2 at post time, and prefer Value Driver and Broad Acres. Bonding worries me a little bit, but I think he's got a lot of speed to deal with up front.

Glad you pointed out the 15% takeout on the Pick 4, as it's something that I'll be putting a lot of effort into this meet.
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  #3  
Old 09-30-2008, 02:31 PM
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$1 Pick 4

1,2,3,4,5,7 / 5,6,8 / 2,5 / 7

$36

Last edited by ateamstupid : 09-30-2008 at 04:10 PM.
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  #4  
Old 09-30-2008, 02:43 PM
Coach Pants
 
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$2 pick 4
1,3
5,6,8
7
1,2,7
$36
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  #5  
Old 09-30-2008, 02:56 PM
hrfan
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
$1 Pick 4

1,2,3,4,5,7 / 5,6,8 / 2,5 / 7

$36
i went 5 6 10 in here, trying to beat contessa.... also left mott off in the last, used garcia and matz, hoping to cash a big 1
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  #6  
Old 09-30-2008, 02:58 PM
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Nice $40 ($!) triple in the 5th to kick off the afternoon... I really liked the 1 there with Morales and keyed around him...
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:33 PM
Coach Pants
 
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double 3,7/1,3,6 $12

ex box 3,5,7 $12
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  #8  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:40 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
double 3,7/1,3,6 $12

ex box 3,5,7 $12 5-3 exacta $125.20
I'll take it!
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  #9  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I'll take it!
Good call. Slade wasn't as short as I thought he'd be, but I still got the longer of my two horses in, so no complaint. Pick 4 payout is actually BELOW the parlay though if I hit it. 15% takeout, huh?

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  #10  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
$1 Pick 4

1,2,3,4,5,7 / 5,6,8 / 2,5 / 7

$36
Good luck in P4 OOOey... 7 gets something for both of us.

2: $191.90
6: $338.80
7: $96.90
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #11  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:53 PM
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In the sixth race at the Meadowlands today, can anyone tell me how Quick Comeback[#8 horse], from Gary Contessa, can be M/L'ed at 9/2 go off at 5/2 and come in 3rd but at the last race at the Spa go off at 41/1 - oh and lead the whole way? Dont get me wrong, as Steve will atest, my son got the 41/1 win at the Spa that day.

Who didn't see Quick Comeback's potential or shortcomings? Saratoga or Meadowlands?
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  #12  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Good luck in P4 OOOey... 7 gets something for both of us.

2: $191.90
6: $338.80
7: $96.90
If my chalk can't get it done, hope one of yours does. A few small savers.

$.10 Super - 2,7 / 2,3,6,7 / 2,3,6,7 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 = $4.80
$1 Exacta - 3,6 / 2,7 = $4
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  #13  
Old 09-30-2008, 03:56 PM
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I dime supered too!

6, 7
2, 6, 7, 9
2, 6, 7, 9
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9

$7.20


G/L
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #14  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:01 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Change the name to Lezcanolands.


I'll watch the rest of the meet.
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  #15  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:02 PM
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the 9??? unbelievable.
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  #16  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:03 PM
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can't beat Lezcano.
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  #17  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:03 PM
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next time lets do an all lezcano Pick4 and see what comes out.
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  #18  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:12 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
I dime supered too!

6, 7
2, 6, 7, 9
2, 6, 7, 9
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
That G-D Matz horse scared me this morning.. Used him 2nd on down in the Super.

$0.10 Superfecta (9-7-1-6) Paid $328.63

Stupid. Stupid. Stupid... Was worth at least a saver win bet. Come away with nothing except the triple in the 5th..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #19  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:20 PM
hrfan
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rkinnin
the 9??? unbelievable.
why ? i will take it
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  #20  
Old 09-30-2008, 04:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
That G-D Matz horse scared me this morning.. Used him 2nd on down in the Super.

$0.10 Superfecta (9-7-1-6) Paid $328.63

Stupid. Stupid. Stupid... Was worth at least a saver win bet. Come away with nothing except the triple in the 5th..
Don't be so hard on yourself.. Yes, if you keyed off her Gulfstream form, she fit, but her three races since the January layoff all stunk.
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