10/4: Belmont; Keeneland; Woodbine; ++

Kasept · #1 10-04-2008, 06:27 AM

Tough ending to strong Friday chasing the Belmont triple carryover and falling short in the last leg. Had plenty of opportunities to hit though at the 4 venues selected and hope you did well. On road this a.m. early and wiill feed selections out through the morning as best I can for the huge afternoon of action today..

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Oceanography 5-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Sir Jock 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Just a Warning 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Mischief 4-1 2nd

6th: 59th Jamaica H. (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Gio Ponti 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Ready's Echo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Roman Tiger 8-1 5th

7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Mr. Sam I Am 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Vision of Sunrise 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Hard to Believe 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Yario 10-1 WON

8th: 61st Frizette (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Sky Diva 9-2 WON
Most Likely: #10 Gemswick Park 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Persistantly 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Heavenly Vision 10-1 6th

9th: 137th Champagne (Gr. I), 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Absolutely terrific version of one of my favorite races.. Nearly all possible so take some price shots..

Most Likely: #10 Munnings 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Girolamo 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Brave Victory 6-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Ventana 8-1 10th

10th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Offshore 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sharif Al Medina 2-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Saint 30-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Raddical Sabbatical 8-1 WON

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-8-9-10
7: 1-5-10
8: 1-3-5-7-8-10
9: 1

4x3x6x1 = $72

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: 156th Phoenix (Gr. III), 3+, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Nakayama Arashi 30-1 9th
Most Likely: #5 Talent Search 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Pictural 10-1 10th

6th: 12th Woodford, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Bold Start 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Chamberlain Bridge 15-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Smart Enough 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Distinguish 15-1 9th

7th: 95th Breeders' Futurity (Gr. I), 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #9 Terrain 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #11 Advice 7-2 9th
Next Best: #6 Majestic Blue 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Square Eddie 10-1 WON

8th: 23rd Shadwell Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

Impossibly deep running of this important event.. Swing for fences as there are no bad plays here.. Cover faves like Shakis 2nd and Thorn Song WON defensively in your multis..

Most Likely: #6 War Monger 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Kingship 12-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Lovelace 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Buffalo Man 15-1 10th

28th TCA (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Indyanne 7-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Cash's Girl 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Wild Gams 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Sweet Hope 5-1 5th

WOODBINE

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: 56th Summer (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Jess Not Jesse 4-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Grand Adventure 6-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Utterly Cool 7-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Skipadate 5-2 2nd

8th: Nearctic (Gr. II), 3+, 6f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Heros Reward 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 True to Tradition 10-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Hellvelyn 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Storm Treasure 15-1 5th

9th: E.P. Taylor (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Toque de Queda 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Folk Opera 4-1 WON
Next Best: #2 J'ray 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Callwood Dancer 10-1 2nd

10th: Canadian International (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Doctor Dino 2-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Lucarno 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Quijano 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Marsh Side 15-1 WON

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-6-7
8: 2-7-8
9: 2-4-5
10: 3-9

4x3x3x2 = $72

HOOSIER PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

9th: Indiana Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (.50 Tri, .10 Super)

Terrific assembly of late developers and assorted oddballs..

Most Likely: #10 Acai 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Chris Got Even 10-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Pyro 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Power Game 5-1 5th

Good luck!
Steve

pb72vett · #2 10-04-2008, 09:24 AM

Hi Steve, thanks for your looks, i did not hear your show Fri. was Bogey on with his looks and is seaside in to deep at wood today? Peter B.

Kasept · #3 10-04-2008, 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pb72vett

Hi Steve, thanks for your looks, i did not hear your show Fri. was Bogey on with his looks and is seaside in to deep at wood today? Peter B.

Gus was not on yesterday as he is off for a long weekend... Michigan I think he said.

I don't think Seaside Retreat is a win candidate today among that group, but I think he is OK as a board-hitting price type... Prefer Marsh Side a tad more though.

G/L!

gales0678 · #4 10-04-2008, 09:41 AM

steve - ap cardinal hill could run huge in the champ. can he be used on top?

Kasept · #5 10-04-2008, 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678

steve - ap cardinal hill could run huge in the champ. can he be used on top?

Not sure he can be considered a win candidate. Would look more when they get to 2 turning. Rumored to be a nice horse. Cam Gambolati and are from the same hometown... Manchester, CT.

gales0678 · #6 10-04-2008, 10:08 AM

if this horse stays healthy watch out

blackthroatedwind · #7 10-04-2008, 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678

steve - ap cardinal hill could run huge in the champ. can he be used on top?

He will be last if everyone else finishes.

hoovesupsideyourhead · #8 10-04-2008, 11:31 AM

pyro lol..

rock1968 · #9 10-04-2008, 12:00 PM

Any interest in Wesley, crazy move by Castellano at Delaware Park in his loss to Adriano? Not sure he would have won, but certainly compromised his chances to place, plus really like the catch ride for Prado... Maybe not as good as Gio Ponti, but just as logical as the rest...

stevepopyak · #10 10-04-2008, 12:09 PM

#10 Gemswick Park was the winner of Aldebutante's debut race on 9-14 at BEL.

CSC · #11 10-04-2008, 12:19 PM

A horse under the radar could be Dysfunction in the Phoenix, watch his replay against Fatal Bullet on July 20. At a price he is extremely interesting.

jms62 · #12 10-04-2008, 12:29 PM

Shakis... A horse for the course.. And the course is Saratoga...

Scav · #13 10-04-2008, 03:12 PM

5: 5
6: 1,2,8,9,13
7: 1,5,8,10

philcski · #14 10-04-2008, 04:02 PM

HUGE hit on the 'Best Value' in the Woodford Steve. Well done, tough one to have.

pointman · #15 10-04-2008, 04:08 PM

Late pk4 at Belmont split with pmac

7- 3,9,12
8- 2,5,9,10
9- 3,5,7,9
10- 1,2,4

Good Luck!

docicu3 · #16 10-04-2008, 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski

HUGE hit on the 'Best Value' in the Woodford Steve. Well done, tough one to have.

Followed up by a nice 9-1 shot in the Lane's Futurity. P3 payoffs should be ridiculous again Steve. I hope your playing these...

Hooves had #8 Square Eddy on top as well. I guess great minds think alike!!

philcski · #17 10-04-2008, 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3

Followed up by a nice 9-1 shot in the Lane's Futurity. P3 payoffs should be ridiculous again Steve. I hope your playing these...

Hooves had #8 Square Eddy on top as well. I guess great minds think alike!!

I loved that #8 as well. Horse was crying out to go long, watching that 6F race @ Kempton, with that pedigree.

pointman · #18 10-04-2008, 04:39 PM

I am taking a shot with Gemswick Park in the Frizette. $20 WP 10.

jms62 · #19 10-04-2008, 05:17 PM

I like 8-Brave Victory and 3 Vineyard Haven in the Champagne

pointman · #20 10-04-2008, 05:18 PM

I am taking a shot with Gone Astray here. Good Luck!