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  #1  
Old 10-09-2008, 07:13 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,477
Default 10/9: Belmont ($41k C/O)

Wild afternoon at Belmont Wednesday results in nice $41,000 carryover on a tricky card. I found a way to take three maddening beats in .10 Superfectas as part of the undertaking yesterday, and I'm going to keep working at the dime bet to find the best formula... At $10.00, or so, a throw, it's worthwhile, as the $300, $200 and $100 returns demonstrated Wednesday. Hope you did OK yesterday...


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Red Cognac 5-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Speed Dating 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2b (AE-POE) Paraiba 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Synchronicity 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-2) Paid $16.50
$1 Trifecta (7-2-12) Paid $130.50



5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Arroyo entry 3-1 WON/4th ($5.50)
Best Value: #7 Silver Ferrari 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 West Coast Flier 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Final Story 15-1 6th

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $18.30
$1 Trifecta (1-8-7) Paid $109.00



6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Smax 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Wicked Rich 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Trusting Heart 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Mesa Sunrise 2-1 3rd


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Ms. Freightshaker 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hollywood Classic 9-5 eth
Best Value #4 Point Me to It 12-1 WON ($18.20)
Super Add: #5 Wild Holly 12-1 6th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD, Super)

Confusing and utterly wide open affair.. Admit to having no firm feel for how this unfolds..

Most Likely: #10 Tourism 6-1
Best Value: #9 Megadeed 12-1
Next Best: #11 According to Plan 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #7 Platinum Plus 15-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (11-7) Paid $94.25


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

We're all probably forced to cover ML favorite #4 Bar City (3-1) in the P6/P4, but I'm against her and would really like to exclude her.. #1 Fairway Drive (5-1) turns back and wheels back in less than a week, and Carlos Martin is far better at that than Linda Rice..

Most Likely: #1 Fairway Drive 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Northern Storm 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Bar City 3-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Karakorum Tornado 10-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-7
5: 1-7
6: 6-9
7: 1-4-8
8: 10-11
9: 1-4

2x2x2x3x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-9
7: 1-4-8
8: 10-11
9: 1-3-4-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-10-2008 at 08:03 AM.
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  #2  
Old 10-09-2008, 12:48 PM
hrfan
 
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I cant use Bar City in the last, not cover or anything at all. I just cant see her winning, right now im leaning with the 4 and 10, but also think the 2,3,6 all have legit chances at big prices.
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  #3  
Old 10-09-2008, 01:06 PM
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Handicappy Handicappy is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Larchmont, New York
Posts: 516
Default Pic 6 on the Cheap

2,3/1/6,7/1,8/11/5,10
$32

Wish I had the roll that Mr. Carolina BBQ Man has but it's fun anyway.
Good luck to all but expecially to me.

Dam, three wins, 2 seconds and a third.
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Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.

Last edited by Handicappy : 10-09-2008 at 06:04 PM.
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  #4  
Old 10-09-2008, 02:22 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hrfan
I cant use Bar City in the last, not cover or anything at all. I just cant see her winning, right now im leaning with the 4 and 10, but also think the 2,3,6 all have legit chances at big prices.
wow. i think she is a standout.bar city she pulled back in last dont think she loses here maybee the 8..
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  #5  
Old 10-09-2008, 03:21 PM
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oilertige oilertige is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 146
Default

Back to Back Tri's in R 4 & 5 for Steve

R4 - 7-2b-12 $1Tri pd $130.50
R5 - 1-7-8 $1Tri pd $109.

Works for me - and keep it going! Thanks!
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