Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-13-2008, 08:52 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 11/13: Churchill (Late P4)

Slippery slope Wednesday at Aqueduct. Couldn't get close to the winner of the 7th, and wasn't going to cash the Quad anyway with 'Exotics Add' Chestoria left off the play as well. Hope you did OK Wednesday...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Halton 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Getalong 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Siena Canyon 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Messa Nera 5-1 WON


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 SCR
Best Value: #6 Thor's Daughter 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Be Golden 5-2 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Interesting feature.. Howard favorite is OK to use, but seems heavily underlaid at 8-5..

Most Likely: #2 Park at Dark 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Diamond Song 6-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Diverse 8-5 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Kiss the Queen 10-1 2nd

$2 Exacta (9-5) Paid $19.00
$2 Trifecta (9-5-2) Paid $69.40



10th: MDN CLM ($15k), 3+, 6f (Super, Z-5 Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Lopaka Keoni 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Wisconsin Racer 15-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Laura's Jinsky 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Fort Denmark 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-8
8: 1-3-6
9: 2-7
10: 1-7-8-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-14-2008 at 07:49 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-13-2008, 11:10 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

CHURCHILL DOWNS


Race 7 -- LATE PICK 4 BEGINS

Jockey Change #4 Getalong - Bill Troilo


Race 8

Jockey Change #3 Be Golden - Julien Leparoux
SCRATCH #7 Control Systerm


Race 9

Jockey Change #5 Kiss the Queen - Shaun Bridgmohan
SCRATCH AE #11 Natural Tendancy
SCRATCH AE #12 Candy and Flowers
SCRATCH AE #13 Time Flies (MTO)


Race 10 - $10,000 guaranteed Z-5 (SUPER HI-5)

Jockey Change #1 Lopaka Keoni - Jamie Theriot
Late Workout #8 Wisconsin Racer - Nov. 9, JDM Training Center, 4F in :52b
SCRATCH #12 Baritone
SCRATCH AE #13 Sir Cat Dance
AE #14 Huxley Hall will run
SCRATCH AE #15 Reincarnation
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-13-2008, 02:07 PM
peetsa peetsa is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 135
Default

Race 4 is the 7 horse the only closer @47-1? any chance?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-13-2008, 02:18 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by peetsa
Race 4 is the 7 horse the only closer @47-1? any chance?
Peet,

Ran out to do a couple errands.. Didn't see the 4th. Replay about to come up on TV here though.... Did you play?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-13-2008, 02:32 PM
peetsa peetsa is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 135
Default

no , didnt play, but I think he ran5th after being down around 20 at the quarter. don't think he would be a playback.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-13-2008, 03:36 PM
alphanumeric1's Avatar
alphanumeric1 alphanumeric1 is offline
Suffolk Downs
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Clifton Park, NY
Posts: 105
Default

Steve,
Is it my imagination or did you have Aqueduct picks posted here this AM?
__________________
___________________
Woulda Coulda Shoulda
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-13-2008, 06:49 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alphanumeric1
Steve,
Is it my imagination or did you have Aqueduct picks posted here this AM?
Yes but when they came off the turf I didn't have a chance to rework the P4 so I abandioned it...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-13-2008 at 07:18 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-13-2008, 06:52 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

You have a lot of nerve including Mustang Fever who you didn't even pick originally and only threw in because I gave you sh it about it.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-13-2008, 07:11 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You have a lot of nerve including Mustang Fever who you didn't even pick originally and only threw in because I gave you sh it about it.
That's pretzel logic... Would it have been better I not include her after you rightfully brought her up? I missed her, you pointed out the omission, and I adjusted to include her. And I should be ashamed? Like the goalie in Slap Shot?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-13-2008, 07:21 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

"You feel shame..."

__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:50 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.