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  #1  
Old 11-23-2008, 09:13 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 11/23: Aqueduct ($45k C/O)

Have been taking a bit of break from the capping, but a day trip to Churchill Saturday produced a couple of nice hits that got the juices flowing... Sequence for Aqueduct carry looks like it's worth trying.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

PEDIGREE BITS: Days after the sad breakdown of SHAKIS, note that a half-sister, MUIR STATION, debuts today for Shug and Gainesway.. Jolley's MIRACLE BABY is out of the wonderful race mare HERITAGE OF GOLD.. Weaver firster WALTON PLACE is half to many grass winners including the excellent AUD.. Mott AE candidate GOLD D'ORO is a half to ADRIANO..

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Deputy Empress 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Muir Station 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Walton Place 6-1 7th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Kamboo Man 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Slade 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Hedge Fund 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

All eyes may be on Zenyatta's sister TREASURE TRAIL, but note that speed has been tough for closers to reel in of late on the Big A main and the top two below are just faster than she is..

Most Likely: #9 Sheik's Serenade 5-2 WON
Best Value: #4 Cherokee Gem 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Treasure Trail 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Reforestation 15-1 2nd


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Fleet Appeal 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #11 Ground Hero 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Makaan 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 True Dancer 8-1 2nd


8th: Itaka, NYB-3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Stormin Normandy 8-5 DNF
Best Value: #6 South Fourth St. 15-1
Next Best: #5 SCR


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hangingbyathread 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Different Drummer 12-1
Next Best: #10 Ea 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Yield Bogey 6-1 DH-WON


<$250 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-4-7-8
5: 1-4-7-10
6: 4-6-9
7: 7
8: 1-6
9: 7

5x4x3x1x2x1 = 120 x $2 = $240


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-6-9
7: 6-7-11
8: 1-6
9: 1-2-7-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-23-2008 at 04:26 PM.
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  #2  
Old 11-23-2008, 09:36 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Thanks for the capping Steve. Just to be nitpicky, MUIR STATION is actually a three-quarter brother to Shakis.

Another interesting tidbit in the sequence is the rider change on TRUE DANCER in the 7th, especially considering the ride last time out.

Good luck today!

NT
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  #3  
Old 11-23-2008, 11:18 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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4

1A Miss Catalyst Early
2B Strike the Bell Early
11 Queen Caribees Early
12 Outstanding Henny Early
13 Venado Early
14 Gold d'Oro Early


5

1 (poe) Nkosi Reigns Early
11 Peperoni Early


6

5 Oh Yes I Pray Early


7

1A Couth Early
12 Leadwithyourchin Early
13 Good Going Darl Early
14 Red Demon Early
15 Ecru Egret Early


8

5 Dr. D. F. C. Early


9

1A Sigh You Early
11 Moon Ala Mode Early
12 Plenty Coups Early
13 Ready to Play Early
14 Evenings End Early
15 Our Royal Affair Early
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Old 11-23-2008, 11:23 AM
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CSC CSC is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Thanks for the capping Steve. Just to be nitpicky, MUIR STATION is actually a three-quarter brother to Shakis.

Another interesting tidbit in the sequence is the rider change on TRUE DANCER in the 7th, especially considering the ride last time out.

Good luck today!

NT
Ditto yes.. you both beat me to it. Excellent race and it's fantastic N.Y still is racing on turf in Nov.
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  #5  
Old 11-23-2008, 01:01 PM
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Mike Mike is offline
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3rd: Destry
5th: box Kamboo Man/Hedge Fund
6th: Reforestation
7th: box Makkan and Three in the Bag
8th: Icabad Crane tri key over Stormin Normandy and South Fourth St.
9th: Different Drummer
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  #6  
Old 11-23-2008, 03:49 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Another interesting tidbit in the sequence is the rider change on TRUE DANCER in the 7th, especially considering the ride last time out.
And why was today's ride any better? What a ****in joke at 8:1. Prado needs to be drug tested after every race and given an IQ test.
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Old 11-23-2008, 03:57 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Wednesday carry, yes?
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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  #8  
Old 11-23-2008, 04:08 PM
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Unless I'm reading this wrong, they are ALL covered in this last race.
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  #9  
Old 11-23-2008, 04:10 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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looks that way to me also
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  #10  
Old 11-23-2008, 04:20 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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Rogue Victory needed room on the fence...


Last edited by Payson Dave : 11-23-2008 at 05:52 PM.
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  #11  
Old 11-23-2008, 04:24 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Pays $60,000. 2 tickets, 3?
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #12  
Old 11-23-2008, 04:38 PM
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Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
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Probably three.....it appeared there were some that were paying nearly 180k


Aqueduct 9th Race


Off: 4:13 , 1 Mile (Turf) , 3 Year Olds And Up , Allowance , Purse: $46,000
# Horse Jockey Weight Win Place Show
1DH-Yield Bogey Samyn J L 120 7.80 7.90 4.60
5DH-Blues Street Velazquez J R 120 15.00 13.60 8.30
7Hangingbyathread Coa E M 122 3.00

$2 Exacta (1-5) Paid $103.00
$2 Exacta (5-1) Paid $133.50
$2 Pick 6 (4-7-9-3-7-1/5) 5 Correct Paid $279.00
$2 Pick 6 (4-7-9-3-7-1/5) 6 Correct Paid $59,832.00 Pick 6 Pool $241,616

Aqueduct Attendance: 3094

Last edited by Payson Dave : 11-23-2008 at 06:20 PM.
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  #13  
Old 11-24-2008, 07:45 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Have been taking a bit of break from the capping, but a day trip to Churchill Saturday produced a couple of nice hits that got the juices flowing...
I guess you got out of going to the football game , I have to admit I was a little envious How cool was that!
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  #14  
Old 11-24-2008, 08:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by herkhorse
I guess you got out of going to the football game , I have to admit I was a little envious How cool was that!
It was a very fun day.. Didn't get to see Chuck as he was busy moving horses around all day, but saw a gaggle of friends/associates, etc. Was very cool...
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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