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  #1  
Old 05-08-2009, 07:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 5/8: Belmont; Churchill (Late P4's)

Scored out for $1,040 on Belmont late P4 Thursday, a day where the capping may have been ordinary but the ticket structure and some overlaid winners made up for it. Air Lord was oddly underbet at 6-1 in the quad opener before Roger Horgan's MTO Motor Patrol went largely ignored at 13-2. Playing against Delosvientos was an absolute must in the featured Nasty and Bold, and Atoned got the nod for $9.80. When 2-1 fave Runnin on Guilt laughably won the nightcap, 'one large' was wrapped up with a bow... Hope you did well. Belmont and Churchill late 4's to look at today...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 To Tell the Truth
Best Value: #8 Perfect Precision


7th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lucky Revival 3-1
Next Best: #6 Holistic 5-2


8th: Three Coins Up, 3+, 10f-OFF THE TURF (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dry Martini
Next Best: #9 Even Raise 7-2


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #2 The Big Dunkin
Best Value: #4 Movie Magic
Next Best: #8 Concorde's Crown


<$30 P4 Play:

6: 11
7: 1-4-6
8: 7-8-9
9: 2-4-8

1x3x3x3 = $27



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Treasure Hunter 3-1
Best Value: #6 G SCR
Next Best: #5 SCR
Super Add: #7 Pinpoint 4-1


8th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-OFFTHETURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Victory Notion 7-2
Next Best: #7 SCR
Best Value: #8 Sea Admiral 8-1
Super Add: #1 (POE) Cedros 15-1


9th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Quick Notice 8-5
Next Best: #3 Nursery Rhyme 5-2


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1 Positive Cat 8-1
Best Value: #7 Devils Betty 12-1
Next Best: #2 Rememberyourplace 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Pic a Chic 20-1
High 5 Play: #8 Silver Doll 7-2


<$25 P4 Play:

7: 3-7
8: 1-2-8
9: 5
10: 1-2-5-6-7-8-9-10

2x3x1x8 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-08-2009 at 12:25 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-08-2009, 08:46 AM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Default Quick Notice

I dont know what Wayne 'the cat' has that David Kassen doesnt but, it's some good $hit.
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Old 05-08-2009, 08:56 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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steve - with you on Winloc Big d

i'll see what Gander has to say about Colonial Kid , they like him a lot in that barn

keep it rollin today in Elmont
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Old 05-08-2009, 09:05 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678
steve - with you on Winloc Big d

i'll see what Gander has to say about Colonial Kid , they like him a lot in that barn

keep it rollin today in Elmont
Both the 6th and 9th are odd assemblies of horseflesh. Colonial Kid is taking a precipitous drop, but there are 3-4 in there that are good enough. At anything near 8-1, Colonial Kid is inviting.

The nightcap is trickier than it looks, and I can see getting upended in there by a horse like The Big Dunkin or Scorper. I'd like to work them in if I can after scratches. Haven't Winloc and He Struck It Rich had enough chances? I don't like the race.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-08-2009, 09:10 AM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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I applaud all those with the time/energy to handicap NYRA turf races before getting the changes.
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  #6  
Old 05-08-2009, 09:15 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Both the 6th and 9th are odd assemblies of horseflesh. Colonial Kid is taking a precipitous drop, but there are 3-4 in there that are good enough. At anything near 8-1, Colonial Kid is inviting.

The nightcap is trickier than it looks, and I can see getting upended in there by a horse like The Big Dunkin or Scorper. I'd like to work them in if I can after scratches. Haven't Winloc and He Struck It Rich had enough chances? I don't like the race.

yup - gotta maybe use the 1st in their as well- straight flash , it's a spread in my opinion - let's see what the scratches are
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Old 05-08-2009, 09:22 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I applaud all those with the time/energy to handicap NYRA turf races before getting the changes.
"Thank you.. I'll be here all week. Please tip your server..."
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 05-08-2009, 11:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Belmont is OFF THE TURF again according to website.. SCR's should be out shortly. Main track starting out GOOD.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 05-08-2009, 11:53 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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6

2B Carry the Day Early OFF TURF
3C Pavlov's Dog Early
4X Elder Skatesman Early
6 Brite Gin Early
7 Beneath the Crown Early
9 Marl Early
10 Manitowish Waters Early


7

1 (poe) Dicey Girl Early
2 Sherine Early


8

1 Prince Rahy Early OFF TURF / NO SHOW, PLACE, TRIFECTA , or EXACTA
2 Mission Approved Early
3 Richard's Kid Early
4 Southwest Early
5 Grand Couturier (GB) Early
6 Nergal (FR) Early


9

1 Winloc's Big D Early OFF TURF / NO TRIFECTA or SUPERFECTA
1A Turbo Tim Early
3 Scorper Early
6 Fair Catch Early
9 He Struck It Rich Early
10 Marscaponi Early
11 Straight Flash Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-08-2009, 12:15 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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CHURCHILL


Race 7- LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER)

SCRATCH #1A (part of entry) El Poco Diablo (#1 Variant will run)

SCRATCH #5 Seneca Summer

SCRATCH #6 G Areyoukidding


Race 8 - OFF TURF/1 1/16 miles on main track


SCRATCH AE #1A (part of entry) Little Lizard (#1 Cedros will run)

SCRATCH #3 Atomic Force

SCRATCH #4 Calimonco

SCRATCH #5 Sunshine Rambler

SCRATCH #6 Mizzen's Wake

SCRATCH #7 Relvado

AE #11 Citizens Brigade (main track only) will run

AE #12 Blue Whistler (Main track only) will run


RACE 9

NO CHANGES


RACE 10 - SUPER HI-5 (NO CARRYOVER)

NO CHANGES
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #11  
Old 05-08-2009, 01:54 PM
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Mike Mike is offline
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In the 3rd here, I'm going with the smartly named All Of Her Twist

Why?

No need or purpose to explaining one's handicapping reasoning. Not no more.

Thanks to Mine That Bird
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