Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-25-2009, 07:30 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default 5/25: BEL (P4); LS (Stakes P4); HOL (P6 C/O); CD (Stake)

Had winner some where in the selections of the last 6 at Belmont, but it was the kind of day where stringing them together for the P6 ($11k) or P4 ($1,600) was a challenge. Was happy with the runs I made because Smart Engagement wasn't going to be near the top of my 8th race plays no how, and while I liked Giant Mover enough, the 7th was just too deep.

Well ahead for the Holiday Weekend and fun racing coast to coast again today with many stakes live on 'At the Races' later. Please remember the fallen this Memorial Day, and keep badly injured Rene Douglas in your thoughts as well...

Talk to you tonight at 4pm on Sirius 126/XM 104...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Eldoktori 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Lemon Shore 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Snowstalker 3-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Marq of Love 7-2 6th

$1 Exacta (4-7) Paid $28.25


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Relatively Ready 5-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Scorch the Torch 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Piazza Di Spagna 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Pavlov's Dog 30-1 8th


10th: 116th Metropolitan H. (Gr. I), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

What this edition of the handicap standard lacks in headliners, it makes up for in solid stakes performers looking for a career-defining win..

Most Likely: #11 Bribon 3-1: Tremendous last and typically better 2nd/break.. WON
Best Value: #12 Driven by Success 20-1: Big price on fast NY-bred; Held own in Carter.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Smooth Air 4-1: Got time after Gr. II GP score and colic scare.. 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mr. Sidney 10-1: Gets chance to show mettle on main; May leap forward.. 11th

$1 Exacta (11-2) Paid $16.10
$1 Trifecta (11-2-12) Paid $159.00



11th: CLM/N2L, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Manitowish Waters 2-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Hint 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Clever Martini 8-1 6th
Super Add: #8 High On Candy 10-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-4-7-11
9: 2-5-6-7-8-10
10: 11
11: 4-5-11

4x6x1x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (4-6-10/11-3/4/6/9/13/14) 4 Correct Paid $170.75



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


10th (5:29pm): 6th Winning Colors (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #5 Dubai Majesty 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Lady Chace 10-1 2nd-DQ'd to 3rd
Next Best: #1 Keep the Peace 5-2 3rd-Up to 2nd

$1 Exacta (5-1) Paid $8.10
$1 Trifecta (5-1-6) Paid $53.10




LONE STAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 13th Dallas Turf Cup H. (Gr. III), 3+, 9f-T (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Seaspeak 6-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Red Rock Creek 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Ernesto 6-1 2nd


8th: 13th Valid Expectations, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 P.S.U. Grad 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wrenice 20-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Pious Ashley 5-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Stealth Cat 6-1 4th


9th: 11th Ouija Board Distaff H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Flibberjibit 3-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Superior Storm 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Wasted Tears 20-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Rustic Flame 9-2 5th

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $107.70


10th: 13th Lone Star Park H. (Gr. !!!), 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 It's a Bird 1-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Z Fortune 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Magnum 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Jonesboro 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-4
8: 1-2-4-5
9: 1-4-5-6
10: 1-7-8

2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,4/5/4/7) Paid $204.75



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Fire Break 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Magna Cum Laude 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #12 Seven Below 12-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Noble Courage 6-1 4th


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Midnight Crush 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 My Maloof Rocker 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Kicken Vixen 7-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Pericia Fina 6-1 5th


7th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 SCR
Best Value: #10 Nene 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lunch Time 7-2 8th
Super Add: #3 Self Insured 8-1 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Temple City 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seminole Native 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Fiery Trippi 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Heroi Do Bafra 5-1 6th


9th: 66th Showmaker Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

SCR #4 Ventura

Best Value: #6 Thorn Song 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Whatsthescript 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 U S Ranger 5-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Hyperbaric 4-1 2nd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 SCR
Best Value: #13 Candy Coat 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Truly a Delight 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Box Office Star 6-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #7 Domestic Gold 9-2 6th


Very challenging sequence of races.. P6 and P4 both will be difficult to navigate today..


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1
6: 3-6
7: 4-10
8: 2-3-4
9: 2-6
10: 7-9-13-14

1x2x2x3x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-10
8: 2-3-4
9: 2-6-7
10: 7-9-13-14

2x3x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-25-2009 at 09:00 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-25-2009, 09:02 AM
infield_line's Avatar
infield_line infield_line is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: People's Republic of Connecticut
Posts: 358
Default Steve, did you mean to use the 5....

in the first leg of your Lone Star P4? You had the 4 as most likely....

thx for the fine pic's of late
__________________
"I got a home equity loan....every year I throw a big party and stick the house with the bill!"

Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-25-2009, 09:05 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by infield_line
in the first leg of your Lone Star P4? You had the 4 as most likely....

thx for the fine pic's of late
Chris,

Thx and thx for the heads up Chris.. Fixed it.

G/L today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-25-2009 at 01:16 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-25-2009, 11:42 AM
beemerhauler beemerhauler is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 29
Default

In the 1st race at CD today is a 2 yr old Wesley Ward owned and trained named Mississippi Hippie. I just laughed out loud when I read it. Steve, thanks again for all you do for us. You're discussing races online after 4:30 in the morning and your FREE selections for the following day are up before 8 am. And you have Derby Barbie to keep happy. You need to sponsor a line of vitamins or something. Thanks. - Art
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-25-2009, 01:00 PM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,219
Default

The 5 is a scratch in the 10th at Hollywood!

That really mixes up the 10th, and the Multi wagers. Potential faves scratched in back to back races.

BOL to all today!!
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-25-2009, 01:29 PM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,219
Default

The 6 is a scratch in the 7th as well!! Ton of scratches today



Race 1 #7 Girl of Pangaea (GER)
Race 5 #13 Razor Cut, #15 Utah Beach, #14 No Grande
Race 6 #5 Always Auditioning
Race 7 #6 Cape Hatchet, #8 Waive Liability, #12 Swiss Ski
Race 9 #4 Ventura
Race 10 #5 Benjamin Z, #6 Boomtown, #3 Fire Scout, #10 Downtown Banker, #1 Sovereign Lord
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-25-2009, 01:56 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Relatively Ready 5-2
Best Value: #10 Scorch the Torch 15-1
Next Best: #8 Piazza Di Spagna 8-1
Super Add: #5 Pavlov's Dog 30-1

Like this one today at a price.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-25-2009, 01:57 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default

BELMONT P4 SCR'S

8

10 Golden Caesar Early
13 My Golden Opinion Early


9

4 Triste Doble Q Early
11 Theartofcompromise Early
12 Buy a Personality Early
13 Goodbyeandgoodluck Early
14 Pretty Boy Freud Early
15 Captain Sword Early


10

10 Mr. Fantasy Early


11

6 Carry the Day Early
9 Bold Vindication Early
13 Chinese Whisper (IRE) Early
14 Key Victory Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-25-2009, 02:00 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Like this one today at a price.
Who do you like in the Whittingham?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-25-2009, 02:01 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default

LONE STAR STAKES SCR'S

Race 7: No Superfecta Wagering
#1 Song of Navarone

Race 8:
#10 R Charlie's Angel
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-25-2009, 04:44 PM
beemerhauler beemerhauler is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 29
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Like this one today at a price.
Steve had 6 horses in this race 9, so I'm doing a Race 8 Double with 1,7,11/5 for $2.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-25-2009, 06:05 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

Bring it home Steve - I am along with you on the 11 in Bel 11 - but the 5 would be sweet for you.

gl
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-25-2009, 07:32 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 1,412
Default

lol my heart has finally slowed done from the final at belmont. $3600 would have been great but settling for $300 ya cant complain. great handicapping steve. made for a memorable day at the track
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 05-25-2009, 07:34 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

and let's not forget the P4 at Lone Star - great work Steve - that one I rode the full Byk Train!

Thanks!
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 05-25-2009, 08:43 PM
South Beach Luv's Avatar
South Beach Luv South Beach Luv is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Chicago W Burbs
Posts: 2,630
Default

Big ouch to whomever held that lone P6 ticket on the 12 horse at Hollywood, hope it was none of you guys, I probably would be in cardiac arrest right now if I didn't have the 8 included.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 05-25-2009, 09:02 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default

beemer, geeker, tanner,

Thanks guys! It's been a lot of fun. Hope you had a great weekend...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 05-25-2009, 09:29 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Steve, nice call on Thorn Song at 9-1!
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 05-25-2009, 10:37 PM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,219
Default

Steve,

Another day, another couple of P4's!! Amazing, this roll is insane.

Great job, thanks,and hope you had a wonderful Holiday!!
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 05-26-2009, 06:22 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
Steve, nice call on Thorn Song at 9-1!
pt.,

Thanks... That was a home run. Holly was as tough as advertised yesterday, but that price covered everything with a simple, old fashioned win play. Did you hit him?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 05-26-2009, 06:28 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch
Steve,

Another day, another couple of P4's!! Amazing, this roll is insane.

Great job, thanks, and hope you had a wonderful Holiday!!
Thanks... It was a great weekend overall, and I've heard from a bunch of people that did particularly well. I appreciate the warm sentiments from those that used the plays to their benefit.

Definitely seeing it pretty well and feel like I'm giving myself a chance to 'get paid' with the mulri-race plays... Of course, there was 'the one that got away' (the BEL P4 where I left Joey's Chance off), and the one yesterday where Hint getting up means $1,700 instead of $170, but I'm not complaining.

Hope everyone did well over the Holiday...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:12 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.