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  #1  
Old 06-17-2009, 05:42 AM
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Default 6/17: Belmont (1st-9th)

A very difficult card of races at Belmont to open the week. With a lousy weather forecast looming through Sunday, it may be the most complete day of racing on the East Coast for a while.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 The Truffle Man 9-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Benlayla 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Ziptronic 4-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Late SCR
Best Value: #5 Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Annie's Dream 2-1 3rd


3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Todd Got Even 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Elixir 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Taum Sauk 10-1 5th


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Truly Devine WON
Next Best: #6 Rock Candy Mt. 3rd


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Lemon Shore 4-1 WON (P4 pays $242.70)
Best Value: #4 Thunder Minister 12-1 2nd (P4 pay $723.05)
Next Best: #10 Snowstalker 6-1 (P4 pays $463.40)
Super Add: #9 Prime Obsession 15-1


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 3-4
4: 1-6
5: 4-8-10

4x2x1x3 = $48 P4 (5-3-1-4) pays $242.70


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pick Six 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jacobson entry 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Justenuffhumor 2-1 WON


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Good Prospect 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Movie Magic 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 D'Wildcard 4-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Excellent Soldier 15-1 8th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Super tough bunch featuring several with back class..

Most Likely: #5 New Member 7-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Executive Fleet 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Laysh Laysh Laysh 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Digger 12-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Chick in Slacks 5-1 2nd (DQ'd)
Best Value: #3 American Prayer 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Pea Stone 5-1 WON (on DQ)
Super Add: #8 Nurse Kiki 6-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5
7: 7-9-11
8: 1-4-5-9
9: 3-7

3x3x4x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-17-2009 at 04:47 PM.
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  #2  
Old 06-17-2009, 10:42 AM
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BELMONT SCRATCHES


Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY 63
Track: FAST
Turf: YIELDING

Turf Races: 5, 6, 7, 9 et at 0 Ft *** RACE # 4 OFF TURF ***

SCRATCHES

4TH

1A As Promised Early OFF TURF / NO SHOW or TRIFECTA
2 Miss Saul Early
3 In Spite Of Early
5 Twointheroom Early
8 Shesa Bud Girl Early


5TH

1 Egyptian King Early
1A Spicy Vow Early
2B Boyfriendontheside Early
13 Wonderous Day Early
14 Pop Panebianco Early


6TH

2 Rogue Victory Early
7 Lord Snowdon Early


7TH

8 Woodruff Ridge Early


8TH

6 Gimmearoutine Early NO SUPERFECTA
7 Bill Place Early


9TH

11 Precision Farming Early
13 No Means Yes Early
14 I'm Not Crying Early
15 Crafty Gem Early
16 Purses and Shoes Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 06-17-2009, 12:33 PM
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Race 2

$2 tri box Lost $12
1,2,4

Last edited by knickslions2 : 06-17-2009 at 01:25 PM.
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  #4  
Old 06-17-2009, 12:38 PM
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Race 3

$2 tri boxWINNER paid $148 net $136


1,3,4

Last edited by knickslions2 : 06-17-2009 at 01:26 PM.
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  #5  
Old 06-17-2009, 01:25 PM
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Race 4

Sticking with $12 bet/race (lost $12)

$12 exacta

6,1

Last edited by knickslions2 : 06-17-2009 at 01:57 PM.
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  #6  
Old 06-17-2009, 01:48 PM
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I am at work today and cannot watch Belmont, can anyone venture an opinion as to whether the main track is favoring speed today?
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  #7  
Old 06-17-2009, 01:51 PM
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Kicking myself for being so unsure about the Contessa winner that I wasted a multiple in that third leg... Coverage of three more here in the anchor would have been really sweet given the bonus will-pays out there.

G/L to those who played along!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 06-17-2009, 01:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman
I am at work today and cannot watch Belmont, can anyone venture an opinion as to whether the main track is favoring speed today?
Appears to be helping them along, but certainly the winners completely figured...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 06-17-2009, 01:57 PM
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Race 5

$2 tri box (lost $12)

7,8,10

Best of luck in this race Steve. It's a tough one.

Last edited by knickslions2 : 06-17-2009 at 02:22 PM.
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  #10  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:02 PM
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I'm riding with you Steve.

Cashed the early P3, races 1-3 using top 3 picks, $81 for a $27 wager

This 5th race is crazy. Can't figure why 20-1ML shots are 8-1, and 4-1 ML shots are 8-1. Should be some nice exotics this race!

Played a .10 Super here as well, 4,7,8,9,10

Thanks again, and BOL with this one and the rest of the Afternoon!
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  #11  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:07 PM
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Most Likely: #3 That's How I Roll 8-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Annie's Dream 2-1 3rd


Steve:

The Mcglaughlin charge was scratched at the gate, she did not run 5th as you indicated above. You scratched into the $11 winner!
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Old 06-17-2009, 02:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Kicking myself for being so unsure about the Contessa winner that I wasted a multiple in that third leg... Coverage of three more here in the anchor would have been really sweet given the bonus will-pays out there.

G/L to those who played along!
I'm on board.
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  #13  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:16 PM
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Steve Slyk
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  #14  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:17 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Appears to be helping them along, but certainly the winners completely figured...
Thanks, Steve! Nice job on the early!
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  #15  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Most Likely: #3 That's How I Roll 8-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Keep It a Secret 6-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Annie's Dream 2-1 3rd


Steve:

The Mcglaughlin charge was scratched at the gate, she did not run 5th as you indicated above. You scratched into the $11 winner!
Tim,

Thanks... I was at the market and figured 5th when I checked results on Xpressbet and the other 4 were 1-2-3-4!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #16  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:21 PM
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Nice job on Pick 4!!
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  #17  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:25 PM
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Race 6

$2 tri box (winner 13.80, Bet $12 net$1.80

1,3,5

(staying with contest pick)

Last edited by knickslions2 : 06-17-2009 at 02:57 PM.
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Old 06-17-2009, 02:29 PM
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Thanks again Steve. Win or lose I always appreciate your insight.
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  #19  
Old 06-17-2009, 02:49 PM
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Thx all... Glad it's going good for everybody. Nice triple Knickslions in that 3rd! About to go on the air so we'll be playing the 7rth-9th plus Nicanor's race at Delaware... G/L the rest of the way!!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #20  
Old 06-17-2009, 03:10 PM
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Race 7

$2 tri box

2,6,11
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