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Old 06-27-2009, 07:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 6/27: BEL (P4); PrM (P4); MTH-PHA-WO Stakes

Another fun Friday of action. While there were some solid hits (Churchill R4-7 P4 - $243), a lot of money was left on the table missing the anchor legs of the late Churchill and Prairie Meadows Quads. Including $29 Iowa Derby winner DUKE OF MISCHIEF was a plus when he was left largely ignored and MOONPORT was being heavily overbet. Belmont and Prairie P4's again today and a couple of interesting stakes. Hope you did OK 'late night'...


NOTE: No changes possible today...


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Piazza Di Spagna 4-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Relatively Ready 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 System Restore 30-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Pegasus Tommy D 3-1 4th

OFF THE TURF: 12-8-9-11


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Parc des Princes 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #10 So It Goes 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Big Al 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 North Country 12-1 11th

OFF THE TURF: 12-6-2B-14


9th: 53rd Mother Goose (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rachel Alexandra 1-5 WON
Next Best: #5 Flashing 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 SCR


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Separatist 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Saratoga Steve 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Western Connection 8-1 2nd-DQ'd from win
Super Add: #12 Wiseacre 12-1 9th

OFF THE TURF: 15-1A-12-13


<$75 P4 Plays:

$2 Main (Rachel Alexandra single):

7: 2-6-7-9
8: 3-4-10
9: 3
10: 4-7

4x3x1x2 = 24 x $2 = $48


$1 Back-up (Flashing single):

7: 2-6-7-9
8: 3-4-10
9: 5
10: 4-7

4x3x1x2 = $24



MONMOUTH PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th (4:50pm): 33rd Boiling Springs (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Three top choices (3, 5, 7 and all under 7-2) are NO BETTER than the rest.. Demand square prices on whomever you use. Chaotic result will be no surprise here..

Best Value: #8 Blind Date 8-1 7th
Most Likely: #5 Bluegrass Princess 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Sandi's Ready 8-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Mary's Follies 6-1 WON



PHILADELPHIA PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: Donald LeVine Mem. H., 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kodiak Kowboy 8-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Cassoulet 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Acting Zippy 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Whistle Pig 7-2 4th



WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: 107 King Edward H. (Gr. II), 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3)

#3 Rahy's Attorney (2-1) looms likely, but #1 Sterwins is a vulnerable second choice at 5-2. Using two square prices under top choice..

Most Likely: #3 Rahy's Attorney 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Wollemi Pine 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Balletti 6-1 3rd



PRAIRIE MEADOWS


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: Iowa Sprint H., 3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Native Ruler 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Silver Edition 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Semaphore Man 9-2 3rd


8th: Iowa Distaff, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Euphony 6-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Day of Victory 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Bear Now 9-5 2nd


9th: Cornhusker H. (Gr. II), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Stonehouse 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #2 My Pal Charlie 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Jonesboro 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Shadowbdancing 5-1 2nd

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-2 over 1-2-5-6-8 over 1-2-5-6-8 over All (2x4x3x5 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


10th: IA-CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #5 The Cliff's End 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Six Gun Smokin 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Friendly Glide 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Broken Connection 12-1 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3
8: ALL
9: 1-2
10: 3-4-5-6-7

2x5x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-28-2009 at 04:44 AM.
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