7/3: MTH (7th-10th); CD (8th-11th)

[Kasept]

Pretty dreadful day and evening all around Thursday. Hope you did OK despite my poor direction.. Monmouth with two stakes and Churchill with the Bashford look interesting today to start the great Holiday Weekend.


MONMOUTH PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: ALW/N1X, F7m-3+, 6f (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Chit Chat Cat 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Behold a Lady 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Summus 7-2 7th
Super Add: #6 Arctic Rain 5-1 4th


8th: Miss Liberty, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Captain's Lover 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 All is Vanity 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Quiet Meadow 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Cozzi Capital 12-1 8th


9th: Mr. Prospector, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Crazily wide open and terrific betting race. Virtually everyone eligible for any slot on the ladder..

Most Likely: #4 Timely Advice 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Actin Good 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #8 Who's the Cowboy 12-1 5th


10th: NJ-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (Siper)

Most Likely: #3 American Romance 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 False Idol 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Punchin' Chudy 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Spicy McHaggis 12-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-6-7
8: 1-2
9: 2/SCR-4-6
10: 2-3-9

4x2x2x3 = $48



CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: CLM, 3+, 5f-T ((P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Free Brave 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Orphan Bridge 4-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Lord Robyn 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ebbtide 8-1 3rd


9th: ALW/N1 X, F+M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Susie's Gal 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #3 Past Twilight 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Elizabeth Park 3-1 WON


10th: 108th Bashford Manor (Gr. III), 2yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Backtalk 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Soundman 6-1 5th
Next Best #3 Brassy Boy 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 SCR


11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Custer County 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Ethics Reform 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Knockout King 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Kicky Tune 15-1 6th
High 5 Play:: #9 Monkeyinthemiddle 10-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-5
9: 2/SCR-3-6-10
10: 3-5-7
11: 1-2-4-6

2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve