7/11: BEL (P6 C/O); CRC (Summit); HOL (Cup; P4)

[Kasept]

Always challenging to come back off a significant hit, and successful negotiation of Belmont P6 Thursday qualified on that note with an $18,500 return (Plus $1,300 in consos) on the $192 suggestion. Congratulations to the 2 players that won with the 6 ticket and the many who did well on the P4 or sizable exotics that were laid out within the sequence. And sincere thanks to all who were kind enough to call ATR or write me with warm sentiments.

Will strive for a quality afternoon on this eclectic day of racing across the country before taking a much-anticipated vacation in advance of Saratoga. Belmont offers a carryover with the Gr. I Man o' War, Calder has Summit, Arlington the Million Preview and HollyPark the Gold Cup.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3e Pletcher entry 3-1 4th/6th
Best Value: #7 Novel Notion 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Dean's Kitten 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Mississippi Hippie 9-2 WON


6th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Top It 2-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Flat Bold 8-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Two Brash 5-2 2nd


7th: 51st Man o' War (Gr. I), 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Gio Ponti 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Chinchon 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Grand Couturier 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Marsh Side 8-1 6th


8th: Lottsa Talc-NYB, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Canadian Ballet 5-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Them There Eyes 8-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #3 Merriweather Jessica 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 SCR

9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Livin Large 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Rock and Rune 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Onzain 8-5 WON
Super Add: #7 Goodandacceptable 12-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Intercoastal 2-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Masterofthehouse 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Suite Ernie B 5-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Bartletts 20-1 6th


$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-7
6: 2-3-6
7: 2-4-6-9
8: 2-7
9: 2-3
10: 10

2x3x4x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-9
8: 2-7
9: 2-3-7
10: 1-7-10

4x2x3x3 = $72



CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Mr. Nighlinger 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Possetothemax 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Ron Bob and Dave 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Lord Robyn 8-1 6th


5th: 34th JJ's Dream, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Phone Marybe 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Get Your Shine On 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Miss Delite 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Dashing Debby 10-1 WON


7th: 35th Azalea (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Kays and Jays 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Going to the Sun 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Donttellmewhattodo 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 First Passage 8-1 WON


8th: 35th Carry Back (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Not for Silver 4-1 WON
Most Likely: #1 You Lucky Mann 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Truest Legend 3-1 6th


9th: 25th Princess Rooney (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Game Face 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Pious Ashley 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Dubai Majesty 5-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Keep the Peace 6-1 2nd


10th: 26th Smile Sprint (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Benny the Bull 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 How's Your Halo 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Ikigai 3-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5-6-7-9
8: 1-3-5
9: 5-6-7-8
10: 4

6x3x4x1 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 70th Hollywood Gold Cup (Gr. I), 3+, 10f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Parading 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Mast Track 20-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Life is Sweet 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Song of Navarone 12-1 11th
Super Add: #4 Bullsbay 8-1 10th


9th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Good Night Gyrene 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Coatcheck Girl 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Earstoyou 5-2 WON
Super Add: #8 Lavender Touch 6-1 8th


10th: 12th Royal Heroine (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Visit 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Gotta Have Her 7-2 3rd
Consider: #7 Lemon Chiffon 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Tuscan Evening 5-2 WON


11th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #8 Lion Princess 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Love Song Mellody 15-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Crafty Starlit 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 SCR
High 5 Play: #1 Beaudacious Lady 15-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-5-10
9: 1-2-5-6-8-10
10: 6-8
11: 7-8

3x6x2x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve, in your 3rd leg of Belmont Pk4 was that a typo and you meant to use the 1 instead of the 7? Good luck today

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by SundaySilence

Steve, in your 3rd leg of Belmont Pk4 was that a typo and you meant to use the 1 instead of the 7? Good luck today

No... That's the play. Actually tossing in the 7 there at 12-1. Don't particularly care for Onzain. Suppose he can win, but prefer Livin Large as likeliest winner and the bigger prices for 'juicyness' in the play...

[atolunch]

Steve, sorry, one other quick question. In HW P4, the last leg, do you mean , 7,8? Think the 6,7 may be a typo.

Thanks again for the monster Thursday, and all the inputs and efforts for this wonderful day of racing!

BOL, and keep 'em rolling!

[rontheman1964]

Originally Posted by Kasept

No... That's the play. Actually tossing in the 7 there at 12-1. Don't particularly care for Onzain. Suppose he can win, but prefer Livin Large as likeliest winner and the bigger prices for 'juicyness' in the play...

Steve, love Livin Large today. Hope to see him in the winners circle and me in line to cash a lot of tickets afterward.