8/16: Saratoga (Day 17; $253k C/O)

[Kasept]

Crazy Saturday at Spa produced one improbable result after another crowned by Telling's stunning shocker in the Gr. I Sword Dancer. The Steve Hobby trainee earned his first stake win (!) eclipsing a veteran group of black type turfers at 33-1. 10yo Better Talk Now and 8yo Brass Hat rounded out the $9,000 tri while Gentleman Chester, from Hobby pal Ralph Nicks and out of the same Arlington H. prep, tripped the $80,000 super.

Earlier, Ferraro's Heavenly Blaze ($51) and Gyarmati's Prince Dubai ($57) lit the board with a $1,400 DD that guaranteed repeat carryover of $253,000. It was the kind of day where you needed just one of the kooky prices to stay healthy. I hope my analysis of the 7th, the only decent insight I provided on the day, might have pointed you in the right direction. Prince Dubai (27-1 off 15-1 ML) and the $231.50 ($1) exacta with Sciacca's Tobruk were saving graces. Hope you did OK and are anxious for Sunday's big C/O sextet which should blow past $1,000,000.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 City Spirit 7-2 2 nd
Best Value: #1a (POE) Rizzi's Twist 5-1 8th
Next Best: #2 R Betty Graybull 3-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #1 Marabelle..

Most Likely: #4 Bonita Donita 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Touching Beauty 5-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Capitalism at Risk 7-2 2nd
Exotics Add: #2 Christmas Trip 10-1 6th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 All the Bases 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #4 Fitzaslew 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Top It 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Pressure Point 5-1 6th


4th: Addison Mallery (R), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Thunders Dove 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Reata's Quik Punch 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 J Z Warrior 2-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

SCR #2b Hurricane Heat..

Best Value: #7 Loquacious Lover 10-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 Fuhrever Dancing 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Check It Twice 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Starforaday 10-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-8
3: 1-2-4-5-6-8
4: 4
5: 2-3-7-9

3x6x1x4 = $72


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 One Note Samba 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Mineswept 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Make Note 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 SCR


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Steve's Kitten 6-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Strategic Mission 8-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Chairman Now 5-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Epicurus 7-2 7th


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 (POE) Whisked Away 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #8 Catigo 3-1 5th
Next Best: #2 (POE) Siren Serenade 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Aquitaine 12-1 6th


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Can't Refuse 20-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 SCR
Next Best: #1 (POE) The Zipster 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Citifest 10-1 WON


10th: NYB-West Point H., 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Banrock 2-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Hangingbyathread 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Dantastic 20-1 10th
Super Add: #6 Pennington 12-1 2nd


11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #8 Latest Secret 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 Private Battle 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 We're Hooked 5-2 9th
Super Add: #4 Miss Redoubled 10-1 2nd


$200 P6 Play:

6: 4-5-8
7: 6-8
8: 1-8
9: 5-6/SCR
10: 2-7
11: 7-8

3x2x2x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-8
9: 1-5-6
10: 2-3-6-7
11: 7-8-9

2x3x4x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Bogey]

PK6 - 1 4 5 6 7 8 / 2 6 / 2 3 / 4 10 / 7 / 8 9 = $192

Good Racing Luck

[Kasept]

Marabelle a SCR from 2nd for Adirondack Wednesday.. (Owner's call)

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Kasept

The Steve Hobby trainee earned his first stake win (!) eclipsing a veteran group of black type turfers at 33-1.

It was also Hobby's first Grade 1

Good luck today, Steve. I tried but that dirt course is complete garbage.