8/27: Saratoga (Day 26); Del Mar ($777k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 2nd/6th
Best Value: #5 Longing for Malibu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lofty Banner 7-2 4th


2nd: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Uncle Pat 4-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Ten Carrot Nikki 9-5 5th
Next Best: #5 Spencerific 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Malibu Gardens 8-1 6th


3rd: NY Turf Writers Cup H. (Gr. I), 4+, 19f-Hurdles (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sermon of Love 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Mixed Up 8-5 5th
Next Best: #1 Slip Away 4-1 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Cableknit 9-5 5th
Next Best: #6 Lalique 4-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Queen Ann 12-1 7th
Super Add: #7 J Z's Revenge 8-1 WON


5th: CLM/N2Y, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Prince Woodman 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #2B Sextant 3-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Indian Ashton 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Straight Romance 15-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 4-5-8
3: 1-2-4
4: 1-3-6-7
5: 2-5

3x3x4x1 = $72


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 El Commodore 6-1 9th
Most Likely: #6 Vamos a Ver 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 King Rock 12-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Ulterior Motive 5-1 8th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Tobruk 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #4 Woodrunner 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Joey's Chance 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Three Bridge Road 12-1 9th


8th: NYB-OC/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Southside Babe 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #5 Absolute Heaven 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Motor City Mama 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Mine Or Who's 5-1 5th


9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Inti 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Indymine 8-1 10th
Next Best: #7 William T 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Risque 3-1 7th


$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-6-7
5: 2-5
6: 2-6
7: 3-4
8: 4-5-9
9: 2

4x2x2x2x3x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-6
7: 3-4-9
8: 4-5-9
9: 2-9

4x3x3x2 = $72



DEL MAR


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Only Be Cause 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Tap Tap I Win 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Thunderfrmdownunder 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Catalina Fog 6-1 6th


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Recess 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Mean Heat 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Wondrous Event 7-2 8th
Super Add: #9 Forest Miss 15-1 5th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Warren's Jitterbug 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Forbidden Paradise 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Go Ask Alex 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Imperatriz 5-2 5th


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Lemon Supreme 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Free Flying Soul 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Supermodel 4-1 WON
Super Add: #3 Irish Gypsy 6-1 5th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Coatcheck Girl 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Dextera 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Minute Limit 9-5 WON
Super Add: #2 Over Andover 7-2 2nd


8th: MDN CLM, Cal-bred F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1e Harris Farm entry 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Makit Till Midnite 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Lady Alex 5-2 WON
Super Add: #8 No Due Diligence 4-1 6th
High 5 Play: #4 Abandoned Gold 20-1 7th


$300 P6 Play:

3: 3-4-9
4: 3-4
5: 5-6-8
6: 1-3-4-6
7: 4
8: 1-11

3x2x3x4x1x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 5-6-8
6: 1-3-4-6
7: 4-5
8: 1-7-11

3x4x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[joeydb]

$777,000+? Muddone! Gotta play this one.

[ibet2win]

Steve, SAR Race 8 in the P6 you have 5-6-8-9 but in the P4 4-5-6-9. On purpose?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ibet2win

Steve, SAR Race 8 in the P6 you have 5-6-8-9 but in the P4 4-5-6-9. On purpose?

No.. Fixed it.

[ibet2win]

great, thanks, you know stuff like that bothers us bean counters. good luck today!

[lemoncrush]

Steve,
I'm putting together a late pk 4 play for today at Toga, and wanted to ask you about the 6th race. It looks like a puzzle to me.

In addition to the 4 you mentioned, any thoughts on the Lukas horse (yesterday on ATR, you discussed Lucas' success 2nd time out, and it appears the horse gets the surfact and distance she wants).

Also, what about the Wesley Ward Kitten's Joy filly trying turf for the 1st time.

Thanks and good luck! Glad to have you back.

[fantini33]

I will be singling Sermon of Love today. Just giving a possible auto-toss.

[Kasept]

SCR'S: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/SAR-changes.asp

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

Steve,
I'm putting together a late pk 4 play for today at Toga, and wanted to ask you about the 6th race. It looks like a puzzle to me.

In addition to the 4 you mentioned, any thoughts on the Lukas horse (yesterday on ATR, you discussed Lucas' success 2nd time out, and it appears the horse gets the surfact and distance she wants).

Also, what about the Wesley Ward Kitten's Joy filly trying turf for the 1st time.

Thanks and good luck! Glad to have you back.

Very happy to be back.. Thx.

Not sure about this DWL 2nd timer... I thought the A. Dutrow stretchout was a preferable price inclusion. And though the Ward KJ baby may like the added ground, it seems to me to be a 'running out of options' move by WW. If his babies don't win first or second, they usually don't win any time soon.

The 2-6 seem a cut above...

G/L!!

[tdtony]

steve in the 8th race i think southside babe is the 4 horse

[Kasept]

Thx for the heads up Tony... Used the odds as the number.

[lemoncrush]

Tough sequence.
Won't elaborate much.

Race 6: Don't trust this group.

2) El Commodore
1) Ulterior Motive
6) Vamos a Ver
4) King Rock

Race 7:
3) Tobruk
4) Woodrunner
2) Double Domino

Race 8:
5) Absolute Heaven

Race 9)
10) Maintowish Waters
1) Maccarib Pass
2) Inti

$36 for $1

Good luck!

[dagolfer33]

I thought I was doing great leading off the pk4 with a $21 horse, and then.............so I was wondering if they could go ahead and add a jump race in the later pk4 so they could f*ck me up there too.

[dagolfer33]

Saratoga program in the trash, get out DM program............

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

the 4 in the last at delmar looks great on paper and on the track..20-1 right now..will see how he goes..
up da track..