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Old 01-22-2010, 08:16 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default 1/22: Aqueduct ($25k C/O); Gulfstream (6th-9th)

Can simply not cash a meaningful ticket as seemingly certain Gulfstream P4 play -- live to 6 in the anchor leg -- went awry at the hands of Liz Grey's 40-1 wire job Thoth. A Malibu Moon (9% with turf starters) colt out of an un-raced Mountain Cat mare, Thoth had two nondescript main track tries where he had been beaten a combined 32 lengths coming into this lawn bow. He had no discernible grass breeding, hadn't been two turns, and had not shown speed in his first two starts, so he was certainly not an obvious candidate to wire a group of maidens with grassy pages and some notable tries in their PP's.

The $82 winner wasn't the only bulbous wire to wire surprise package of the day either, as ridiculous Most Happy Fella bested a good group of NY bred allowance foes at 45-1 at Aqueduct. In that Big A 6th, C. C. Lopez rode favored Shrimp Dancer as if he was Native Dancer, completely ignoring the dynamics of the race and failing to utilize any of his mount's tactical speed. Affable David Donk could not have been too pleased with the performance, which saw the $93 winner get away with a :48.3 half and three quarters in 1:13.4. By the time Lopez tried to engage the leader in deep stretch, he had run out of racetrack.

As had been discussed, the challenging sequence was going to be a difficult P6 to hit even without the Bill Badgett bomb, and sure enough there is a $25k carryover into a very weak So. Ozone Park card today. I had looked at the late Gulfstream action as well, and am willing to keep swinging until I can get back into a good rhythm.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Shamroge 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Moneyinthecuvee 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Citizen Bailey 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Mr. Paul K 10-1 6th


5th: NYB-CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Crazy Charlie 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Coney Island 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Senegal 5-1 4th


6th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 The Vin Man 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #9 Acclimate 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Crazy Coyote 3-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Laudable 8-1 5th


7th: NYB-CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Badgette 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Essex Ferry 6-5 8th
Best Value: #3 Hello Gold 10-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Western Decision 20-1 3rd


8th: S/ALW, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Kidstrong Fever 9-2 WON
Most Likely: #7 Gimmeanotherwink 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Run to Grande Ave. 4-1 6th


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Two Sons 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Paying Attention 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Hooligan's Delight 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Mom Proof 5-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-5
5: 3-8
6: 3-9
7: 5-6
8: 3-6-7
9: 3-4

2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-9
7: 5-6
8: 3-7
9: 1-3-4-5-7-8

3x2x2x6 = $72



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Runaway Diva 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Atomic Flea 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Mad Mambo 5-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Givonna Alyssa 4-1 4th

$1 Exacta (9-6) Paid $14.80
$2 Trifecta (9-6-8) Paid $141.10
$0.10 Superfecta (9-6-8-5) Paid $38.34



7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Colizeo 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Smart Sky 12-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Dreaming Blue 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Switching to Glide 15-1 10th


8th: OC/C, 4+, 9f-Outer Turf (DD, Super)

Wow... Not sure anyone in this field CAN'T win here..

Most Likely: #1e McLaughlin entry 5-2 5th/6th
Best Value: #8 Yate's Black Cat 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Staying On 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Wheels Up at Noon 20-1 4th


9th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (Super)

Most Likely: #5 B B Frank 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #12 Fair Weather Stan 6-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Keeping the Honor 10-1 WON


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-6-8-9
7: 5
8: ALL
9: 5-8/SCR-12

5x1x7x2 = 70 x .50 = $35.00


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-22-2010 at 05:47 PM.
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  #2  
Old 01-22-2010, 11:18 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
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AQU SCR/CHG'S


4TH

4 Fire the Bullet Early


5TH

4 Flo's Honor Early NO SUPERFECTA
7 Gargantua Early


6TH

1 Decadent Man Early
1A Mr. Serious Early
5 J J's Prophet Early


8TH

5 Tutor Early NO SUPERFECTA


9TH

5 Brynnie's Mr. Smee Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 01-22-2010, 11:23 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Good luck today, Steve.
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  #4  
Old 01-22-2010, 11:37 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Good luck today, Steve.
Thx. U2... I can barely get out of my own way.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 01-22-2010, 11:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
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GP SCR/CHG'S


Race: 6 Changes Time Posted
#4 Fancy Fact Jockey - Luis Jurado changed to Luis Saez 10:39 AM ET

Race: 7 Changes Time Posted
#9 Platinum Hunter Scratched - Trainer 10:39 AM ET
#13 Buzzin Ready Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:39 AM ET
#14 Mine N Gems Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:39 AM ET

Race: 8 Changes Time Posted
#3 Society's Chairman Scratched - Trainer 10:39 AM ET
#4 Pickapocket Scratched - Trainer 10:39 AM ET

Race: 9 Changes Time Posted
#13 Swingman Scratched - Also-Eligible 11:07 AM ET
#14 Bernulli Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:39 AM ET
#15 Mmm Possibilities Scratched - Also-Eligible 11:07 AM ET
#16 Tango Ridge Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:39 AM ET
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 01-22-2010, 12:44 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
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Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
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Luis Jurado for those who may care has gone to Saudi Arabia to ride
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  #7  
Old 01-22-2010, 12:45 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 19,762
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Thx. U2... I can barely get out of my own way.
The Homers will come in bunches.. Hang in there
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