5/22: Belmont (7-10); Monmouth (5-10); Arlington (8-11)

Kasept · #1 05-22-2010, 06:10 AM

Challenging but fun day Friday at Belmont, and came away with 4 of 6 in the Belmont double carryover as Pletcher 6th race MSW winner the horse that was hardest to find. Hunter's Bay was dreadful in his debut but miraculous Friday jumping to an 89 BSF on the stretchout and squashed the P4 play while scuttling the sextet. The good news in getting beat in the quad opener was a bargain P3 play for the 7th-9th returned a nice $120 which defrayed the day's expenses thanks to $22 Mesa Fresca in the 7th. Hope you did well.

Monmouth season starts today with meet that will be heavily scrutinized. The .50 P5 is a terrific play as I've discussed on ATR, and well worth tracking. Arlington stakes are good inside that P4 today, and Belmont guaranteed quad is highlighted by the good Sheepshead Bay with yesterday's surprise visitor Tommy Proctor featured prominently.

Should be a great day of racing!

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Perserverance 9-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Tuscana 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Sneakin Up 10-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Chernobyl Princess 12-1 3rd

8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Nobody Like Mike 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Fit 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Burnished Copper 4-1 11th
Super Add: #10 Cardiff Road 8-1 6th

9th: 52nd Sheepshead Bay (G2), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ballynoe 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Nehantic Kat 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Pari 10-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Bubbly Jane 4-1 3rd

10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 Lubash 12-1 WON ($35.40)
Next Best: #2e Rice entry 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Fortissi More 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 E. P. Bombay 7-2 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 7-8-9
8: 5-8
9: 1-4-5-6
10: 2-7-9

3x2x4x3 = $72

MONMOUTH PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: Decathlon, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Congressional Page 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 Go Go Shoot 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lit'sgoodlookinggray 5-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Mr. Fantasy 3-1 2nd

6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (.50 P5, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Reptillian Smarts 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Lonely Highway 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Catch Rikki 6-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Stungbythestorm 4-1 5th

7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Morning Line 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sea of Liquidity 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Jadal 3-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Winaholic 6-1 WON ($12.20)

8th: NJ-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Ming Dynasty 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Ain'tsuperstitious 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 P J's Back 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Back Pocket Money 8-1 4th

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Luckiest Man 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Fore Pals 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Ketan 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Solvent 6-1 4th

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Polished ran 3rd at BEL Wednesday, but it's Dutrow who isn't scared of running back like this.. Has indeed scratched..

Most Likely: #2 No Shenanigans 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 African Diamond 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #10 Themanmythnlegend 20-1 8th

<$50 .50 P5 Play:

6: 1
7: 4-8-10-11
8: 2-7-8-11
9: 5-6-8
10: 2-9

1x4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

ARLINGTON PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Maneke 5-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Live from Appollo 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Trying Brian 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Hapman 15-1 4th

9th: 3rd American 1000 Guineas, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Bay to Bay 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Go Ask Alex 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Queen of the Creek 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Chantilly Nayla 4-1 5th

10th: 76th Arlington Classic, 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Workin for Hops is a highly likely winner here, with the entire rest of the field a wide open grab bag. Key the Stidham runner with the best prices you can find, as anybody can be 2nd-3rd-4th here..

Most Likely: #3 WORKIN FOR HOPS 5-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Gleam of Hope 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 SCR
Super Add: #1 Mister Mardi Gras 10-1 4th

11th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #1 First of February 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Banker's Choice 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Rose Princess 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Blue Smoke Bess 9-2 2nd
High 5 Play: #10 My Cousin Pepe 10-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3
9: 4-5-6-7-8
10: 3
11: 1-3-4-5-10

3x5x1x5 = $75

Good luck!
Steve

Kasept · #2 05-22-2010, 10:37 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

7TH

1 (poe) Stratton's Girl Early
2B Northern Warrior Early
3 Vaughndidit Early

9TH

3 Tarrip Early

10TH

1A Shrewd One Early
2B Abilio Early
11 Fortunate Run Early
12 Steal the Shot Early

Kasept · #3 05-22-2010, 10:45 AM

AP SCR/CHG'S

8TH:

Crook's Bodgit scratched

9TH:

Superstardom scratched
Go Ask Alex jockey changed to Emigh C A

10TH:

Prairie Breeze scratched

11TH:

Besitos scratched
My Cousin Pepi jockey changed to Emigh C A

Kasept · #4 05-22-2010, 10:57 AM

MTH SCR'S

Race 1 #4 Rainbow Ridge, #14 James Is Skipping
Race 2 #6 Enduro
Race 4 #13 Mr Adriano, #14 Ciro's Clearance
Race 7 #1 Narbona Pass
Race 9 #11 Corredor's Song, #12 See the U S A, #13 Reckless Runner, #14 Galloping Thunder
Race 10 #3 Polished
Race 11 #3 Rogue Victory, #8 Encaustic
Race 12 #5 Euro Gal, #7 Poetic Pal, #14 Lil Precious
Race 13 #11 Harbor Ridge

Kasept · #5 05-22-2010, 11:14 AM

Monmouth website has been down, so I'm not sure as of right now that the SCR's are complete. I.E., In the 6th, Gomez double named on the Dubb entry, and currently neither is scratched.. Am doubtful to get another chance to edit Selections, so be sure you check MTH changes carefully before playing your multi-race ticks...

Kasept · #6 05-22-2010, 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Monmouth website has been down, so I'm not sure as of right now that the SCR's are complete. I.E., In the 6th, Gomez double named on the Dubb entry, and currently neither is scratched.. Am doubtful to get another chance to edit Selections, so be sure you check MTH changes carefully before playing your multi-race ticks...

Now working, and indeed, #1a O'Kid is SCR'd in the 6th...

MTH SCR/CHG'S