6/24: Churchill Downs ($50k C/O)

[Kasept]

Hollywood carryover returned an outstanding $212k to three winning tickets Wednesday, and proved again that no matter how short fields are or how straightforward events look, big rewards are possible in the the most challenging multi-race wager. Between the $137k left from Sunday and a stunning $790k+ added Wednesday, the total pot reached a remarkable $930k, yet 'the sport is dying'... Right. It was a Wednesday... and we bet nearly $800,000 into the pool!

Lucky Mr K, in the 2yo Cal-bred race, turned out to be the only 'sure thing' in the sequence, as $17.40 Sky Chant (5th) and $28.60 Terrify (7th) juiced the skien. It was a fun afternoon that started in New York where a crazy parade of favorites produced a P6 payout of $93.00, and my successful $72 P4 play returned a thrilling $35. Hope you did well though, as there is another $50k+ carry at Churchill today with a card that looks challenging and entertaining.


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (P6. P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Bold Victory 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Storm Falcon 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Thomas J 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Westshore 3-1 WON


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 One That Got Away 5-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Gatorlicious 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Hitch Your Wagon 3-1 5th
Super Add:#7 Alpha Tammy 12-1 2nd


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2b Win the Silver 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 D's Littlebit Wild 8-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Magnificent Mile 7-2 WON
Super Add: #7 Miracle Mouse 10-1 8th


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

NOTE 3 SCR'S: 1-3-7

Most Likely: #6 Max Silverhammer 1-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Crafty Ray 10-1 DNF


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Creek Girl 4-1 6th
Best Value: #10 Sweet Starlet 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Broken Dreams 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Water of Life 10-1 3rd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Helliecat 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Charlie Cool 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Green N Goldie 10-1 8th
High 5 Play: #8 Shofar 10-1 5th


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-2
5: 6
6: 2-9
7: 4-6
8: 4-6-10
9: 9-10

2x1x2x2x3x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-6-7-8-9
7: 4-6
8: 4-5-6-10
9: 9-10

6x2x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

4TH

No Changes


5TH

No Changes


6TH

The King's Girl scratched
Givemenobull jockey changed to Lopez J


7

Coosada scratched
Dynamite D scratched
King Snake scratched


8TH

No Changes


9TH

Belleofthevalley scratched
Crypto Warrior scratched
Miss Chloe's Boy scratched
Royal Pride scratched
Seeking the Orange scratched
Why Stilly Why scratched

[Kasept]

Carryover Pool $114,650

[ateamstupid]

I'm stunned that nobody picked six. Nobody could string together 5-2, 2-5, 3-1, 3-1, 12-1 and 7-2?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I'm stunned that nobody picked six. Nobody could string together 5-2, 2-5, 3-1, 3-1, 12-1 and 7-2?

That silly Max Silverhammer in the 7th was certainly key. Had to be a single on a ridiculous amount of tickets even though there was nothing overwhelming about him. And that Ralph Nicks horse in the feature may have been 12-1 in the 8th but three times that in the P6. Strange sequence.