WED - Woodbine R4 - Spot Play

[Bogey]

Woodbine - (Post Time 8:15pm ET)


R4 - OC 80k / N3X (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Redverse - Looks to sit a nice stalking trip in 3rd start of the year. (10-1) 5TH
#3 Sugar Bay - Extremely competitive and should be right there at the end. (2-1) 2ND
#9 No Use Denying - Has been freshened up for return to the lawn. (20-1) 3RD
#10 Missit (Ire) - Needs to be forwardly placed for her best showing. (6-1)

Tri Key - 8 / 3 5 9 10
Tri P/W - 3 5 9 10 / 8 / 3 5 9 10

Good Racing Luck

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Woodbine - (Post Time 8:15pm ET)


R4 - OC 80k / N3X (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Redverse - Looks to sit a nice stalking trip in 3rd start of the year. (10-1)
#3 Sugar Bay - Extremely competitive and should be right there at the end. (2-1)

She won last out so why is the 3 start relevant?

That said, Ramsammy moved her prematurely last out and she just hung on to a very decent horse (Soul of Nataka). But I don't think she beats Sugar Bay tonight -- even with the cutback.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

She won last out so why is the 3 start relevant?

That said, Ramsammy moved her prematurely last out and she just hung on to a very decent horse (Soul of Nataka). But I don't think she beats Sugar Bay tonight -- even with the cutback.

She's eligible to take another step forward, especially with the cutback.

[the_fat_man]

Interesting situation in the 3rd, a 6F maiden turf sprinter, where most are trying the turf for the 1st time.

Red Sierra has, arguably, the best overall AWS form.
I think See and Be Seen ran better in the race they have in common.

With 9 minutes to post, Red Sierra is 2:1 and SaBS is 9:1. She'll probably go down but anything > 6:1 is probably a good bet. She gets blinkers on and should be able to control this (assuming none of the 1sters takes to the turf).

[oilertige]

good call FM with SaBS - nice one!

[herkhorse]

nice fatman

pick 4 try

1-3-5/2-10-12/2-3/2-3-9

[the_fat_man]

TY

R4

Exacta: 3 / 5, 6

[the_fat_man]

What a horrible ride by Sutherland. How can she justify getting the CLEARLY best horse beat with her ineptness?

[randallscott35]

Wasn't that a nice reminder of why she is gone from Cali? Horrendous

[the_fat_man]

R5:

large field; hopefully no surprises

exacta: 10 / 2, 12

tri: 10 / 2, 12 / 2, 12

don't see the 2 beating the 10; could see the 12 beating the 10 but not worth reversing given the prices,

[herkhorse]

Nice again fats

[the_fat_man]

If Da Silva perseveres to the wire, I have a 2 number TRI. It had to have paid $80, at least, right?

[herkhorse]

Wow, watching on the computer, I thought he did.

[Wayne Bertrand]

Any opinions in the last ?

[the_fat_man]

R6:

Tough race. I like the 1 a bit but he's not exactly fair odds. I think the 8 has a shot and he's certainly long enough.

[the_fat_man]

R7:

I like the 10, cutting back 1/16th. He's fast enough to stay close and unless Ramsammy gets him involved early in a duel (highly likely), he might be the best of those close to the pace. He's square at 8:1 presently.

The 6 is also cutting back and could be there is the race falls apart. But he's too low at 5:1.

The 9 figures to be the 'controlling' speed.

Exacta: 10, 6 / 9

[dagolfer33]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

nice fatman

pick 4 try

1-3-5/2-10-12/2-3/2-3-9

Great hit Herk!!!!!!

[the_fat_man]

GREAT play, Herk

This P4 should be nice now.

[herkhorse]

thanks, was sweating it out at the end, 756.00

[the_fat_man]

R9:

hard to look past the 2 here. the 9 and the 11 are the competition. the 7 might surprise but I've pretty much given up on her.

I could see the 11 beating the 2 but none of the others should threaten her.

Exacta: 2 / 9, 11