8/6: Saratoga (Day 13-John's Call)

[Kasept]

Thursday's Guaranteed P6 card at the Spa was heavily affected by 12-2p rains which took the 4th and 6th off the turf and left the main track sloppy. The afternoon improved as it went along, and a perfect stretch of weather starting Friday will reward those that slogged through the elements yesterday. The racing was actually quite formful as it turned out, and though I tinkered too much with the late P4 play, was able to hit the late P3's with the logicals for $103 and $127. That made up for my ridiculous revision of the P4 to $48 after the second set of SCR's which had Bridgetown off it leaving a nice $480 behind the windows. Uggh... Hope you did OK. Note by the way that NYRA's Thursday P6 seeding resulted in more than $112k invested by sextet seekers...

Great weekend of racing on tap with Quality Road headling the Whitney, a superb betting Test, a short but balanced Honorable Miss and Majesticperfection in the Vanderbilt. Friday's Saratoga action is VERY challenging and could be the kind of day that takes just one hit to score out!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Wall of Worry 7-2: How else do you deal with RudyRod? WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #5 Roaring Belle 4-1: Takes enormous drop; Missed break last.. 8th
Next Best: #4 Money's Sweet 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Dear Marylou 9-2 9th


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Lots of reasons to believe in Mott favorite Avanta, but 8-5 is tough to swallow with Halory Leigh sibling Caribbean Lady dropping in for Pino and potentially live firsters from sharpies like Fawkes, Scherer, Motion and Casse.. Respect the ML choice but use a few in the multis..

Most Likely: #8 Avanta 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #2 Mass Harbor 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Maria's Luck 6-1 5th


3rd: Loudonville, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Funny Feeling 5-2: Appears to get perfect set up.. 5th
Best Value: #5 Lisa's Booby Trap 12-1: As Runyon wrote, "A story goes with it".. WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #6 Zermatt 5-1: As good as stablemate at better tote.. 4th


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Quick to Charm 3-1: Didn't skip beat moving Brown to Maker.. WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #1 Xela 8-1: Suits level and has been sharp for Schettino.. 5th
Next Best: #7 Dantastic 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Hurricane Heat 12-1 7th


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Florida Girl 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Karen's Joy 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 She Wears the Best 6-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Guiseppina 10-1 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-8
3: 2-4-5-6
4: 1-2
5: 3-4-7

2x4x2x3 = $48


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Doesn't appear to be much mystery to this turf spint for a diploma..

Most Likely: #8 Chardonniere 3-1: Chased Ash Zee last; Zippy drills.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Vinda 7-2: Ouchy-looking but typical effort close enough here.. 9th
Exotics Use: #2e Goldberg entry 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1e Ribaudo entry 8-1 WON ($25.60)/8th


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

First of back-to-back 3 turn turf marathons..

Most Likely: #3 Ordination 9-5: Lightly raced Clement gelding bested similar at GP.. 3rd
Best Value: #7 More Than Willing 10-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #1 Cheyenne Nation 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Ground Frost 3-1 5th


8th: John's Call, 4+, 13f-IT (DD, Super)

Top 3 finishers from last year's edition are signed on here, though Rod Jenkins' Southwest is AE. Hot Attfield and capable Caramori invade in this excellent specialty event..

Most Likely: #3 Solitaire 5-1: Defender in as good or better form at 5yo.. 8th
Best Value: #7 Coolcullen Times 15-1: Steadily improving for Motion.. 3rd
Next Best: #11 Perfect Shower 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Lignon's Hero 5-1 6th


9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

9-5 favorite Makeminechocolate not nearly as likely price makes out..

Most Likely: #9 Lateday Edition 2-1: Frog with least warts adds Lasix.. WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #1 Lily's Doll 8-1: Saves all the ground; Gets jock upgrade.. 5th
Next Best: #7 Makeminechocolate 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #10 Sister Berta 30-1 9th; #8 Triple Latte 15-1 7th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 9 in 1st/2nd with 1-5-7-8-10 (1x5x4x3 = 60 + 5x1x4x3 = 60 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 8
7: 1-3-5-7
8: 3-6-7-11
9: 1-7-9

1x4x4x3 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[ateamstupid]

Mass Media is off to a super start as a sire (#2 Mass Harbor, 2nd). If Rice's horse gets beat in the opener, I quit the meet.. And Steve has major cojones only going three-wide in the feature. I've narrowed the John's Call down to eight of 'em..

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

If Rice's horse gets beat in the opener, I quit the meet.. ..

What are you going to do with the rest of your summer?

[Kasept]

Contrary to original indication, Triple Latte WILL RUN in the 9th...

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Kasept

5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Florida Girl 8-1
Next Best: #3 Karen's Joy 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 She Wears the Best 6-1
Super Add: #8 Guiseppina 10-1

Steve, why dont you like Benzel in the 5th?

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Steve, why dont you like Benzel in the 5th?

Thought she had to improve a fair amount to beat some of these... She's meant for turf.

[the_fat_man]

Might be worthwhile to take a look at the replay of Lignon's Hero's last race. Very much worth a bet if he's around 10:1.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

Might be worthwhile to take a look at the replay of Lignon's Hero's last race. Very much worth a bet if he's around 10:1.

Fat,

I agree. I'm sorry I didn't include him in the original tabs and will probably be using him too...

G/L today!

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Thought she had to improve a fair amount to beat some of these... She's meant for turf.

Ill have to look again, I thought she was the one to beat. Benzel is hot right now and unless you think the 7 with Edgar is going to push her I thought JV would clear. This group stinks and the cutback should help.

[atolunch]

Steve,

BOL today!

Please check, #5 is a scratch in the second race, and in the seventh, Ordination is #3, not the #2 as listed.

Thanks as always.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by atolunch

Steve,

BOL today!

Please check, #5 is a scratch in the second race, and in the seventh, Ordination is #3, not the #2 as listed.

Thanks as always.

Thanks Larry.. Was still making changes. Got everything adjusted. BOL!

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Mass Media is off to a super start as a sire (#2 Mass Harbor, 2nd). If Rice's horse gets beat in the opener, I quit the meet.. And Steve has major cojones only going three-wide in the feature. I've narrowed the John's Call down to eight of 'em..

Retirement beckons. RR.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Retirement beckons. RR.

I lied. F'ing Rudy.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I lied. F'ing Rudy.

You had the right horse.

[XIIPointStables]

Sweet Fancy Moses.
Lisa's Booby Trap opened at 2 to 5.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by XIIPointStables

Sweet Fancy Moses.
Lisa's Booby Trap opened at 2 to 5.

Looked like somebody dropped $20k on her to win. As the tote switched over to the 3rd race, there was $20k and change on her to win and the others in the race barely had $2k, tops.

[geeker2]

R8 tri Thank you Steve! As I boxed your orginial picks!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by geeker2

R8 tri Thank you Steve! As I boxed your orginial picks!

Seth,

Congratulations.. That's so great! And better than I did keying Coolcullen. Voss was so down on Always First's chances off and on the air that I backed off him at the bottom!

Nothing like a 2k tri!

[geeker2]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Seth,

Congratulations.. That's so great! And better than I did keying Coolcullen. Voss was so down on Always First's chances off and on the air that I backed off him at the bottom!

Nothing like a 2k tri!

Ror...don't know who the hell Seth is..but thanks!

Kevin