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#1
09-23-2010, 05:54 AM
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9/23: Belmont Park (1st-9th)
It was kind of a 'workaday' card at Belmont Wednesday to start the raceweek, as straightforward results generally dominated the slate and modest earnings had to be ground out. Upset of Tahitian Warrior by Birdrun seemed to leave no one utterly shocked, as it became clear the $2,000,000 Godolphin acquiree is best suited for sprinting only. Missed the P4's as the Birdrun and Karakorum Elektra (8th) wins eluded my plays, but caught a couple nice scores with 39-1 Delightful Vicky dead-heating 3rd in the $101.75 5th race tri, and Best Value top tab R J Hope coming through in the 7th at 5-1 ($12.00) which also produced a solid $67.50 P3. Hope you did well!
Exciting day for Dee Tee Stables as Ausable Chasm's presence in the Friendly Beauty marks our first stakes start. The Belmont feature brings together a nice group of state bred juvenile fillies going three quarters, and our Hook and Ladder miss appears to be a good fit. Rajiv Maragh, who had been scheduled to ride her in either/both of her previous starts, finally gets the leg up today. More thoughts on the race below... BELMONT PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Hurricane Barb 5-2 7th Next Best: #1 Speedy's Gal 3-1 WON ($8.00) Best Value: #3 Thatagirl 6-1 5th Super Add: #4 Eden's Exchange 7-2 3rd 2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Pretend and Extend 5-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Labor Harmony 8-1 WON ($12.00) Next Best: #9 SCR Super Add: #4 SCR 3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD) Very confusing group.. Most Likely: #4 The Gaillimh Girl 2-1 6th Best Value: #1 Theda's Smile 12-1 4th Next Best: #3 Tarrip 8-5 3rd 4th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Rummer LATE/GATE SCR Best Value: #6 Quiet Power 15-1 8th Next Best: #8 Awesome Merger 4-1 WON ($4.20) Super Add: #2 Big Fearless 5-2 6th 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Best of luck here with an utterly inscrutible group.. Most Likely: #9 Troop Support 6-1 8th Best Value: #4 Miscoe Gray 20-1 7th Next Best: #7 Yes This Is It 5-2 2nd Super Add: #6 Read the Email 10-1 6th 6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Classic handicapping conundrum of former stakes/allowance types like Attempted Humor, Staying On and Codeword being offered up for "buy now" prices. Do you accept those ML choices at face value on the drop or opt for the established "in form/at the level" alternatives at 10-1 or thereabout? Best Value: #10 SCR Next Best: #6 SCR Exotics Use: #2 Attempted Humor 2-1 4th Super Add: #7 SCR 7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Feels almost certainly like a race predisposed to chaos.. Best Value: #5 Palace Mistress 30-1 6th Next Best: #3 Morningside Heights 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #8 Holy Blitzer 8-1 9th Super Add: #6 Can She Dance 4-1 4th 8th: Friendly Beauty-NY, 2yo-F, 6f (DD, Super) By all rights, I suppose should recuse myself from a selection in this spot given Dee Tee Stables' first appearance in a stakes race via Ausable Chasm. But I thought I reflected a fair assessment in her debut and winning second start, and hope I have a clear view of her in this event as well. I can't let the race pass without a nod to the pleasure I hope everyone that has taken part in Dee Tee feels at this occasion, as even participation in a restricted stake marks yet another milestone in the group's evolution and growth. Of course, no juncture in this travail should pass without voicing of appreciation for Chuck Simon and Gary Sciacca and their generosity in making the adventure possible for so many fans and players and their families and friends. Safe trip and 'BOL' to Ausable Chasm and Rajiv Maragh today.. Best Value: #7 Ausable Chasm 10-1: Stalk & go threat at number if able to relax early.. 8th Next Best: #8 Yawkey Way 5-2: Obvious horse to beat given Brown's careful spotting.. 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Saltamontes 4-1: Impressed at price in debut against questionable lot.. WON ($7.40) Super Add: #2 Ginger Snapit 3-1: Late addition to cast; Back quick for patient barn.. 4th 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (Super) Most Likely: #2 Sea of Liquidity 2-5 WON ($2.60) Best Value: #4 Crescent Moon Dr. 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Seren Trippidy 12-1 2nd Super Add: #6 All My Chips 15-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-6/SCR-10/SCR 7: 3-5-6-7-8-9 8: 2-5-7-8 9: 2 1x6x4x1 = $24 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-24-2010 at 05:58 AM. 
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#2
09-23-2010, 08:27 AM
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Good luck to Dee Tee and AC!
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#4
09-23-2010, 10:19 AM
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Good Luck guys.
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#6
09-23-2010, 11:34 AM
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Best of luck today!!
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#7
09-23-2010, 01:13 PM
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3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)
Very confusing group.. Most Likely: #4 The Gaillimh Girl 2-1 Best Value: #1 Theda's Smile 12-1 Next Best: #3 Tarrip 8-5 Steve you should know always go with the D'Oro horse 
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#8
09-23-2010, 03:18 PM
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7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Feels almost certainly like a race predisposed to chaos.. Best Value: #5 Palace Mistress 30-1 Next Best: #3 Morningside Heights 10-1 Exotics Use: #8 Holy Blitzer 8-1 Super Add: #6 Can She Dance 4-1 Chaos indeed. 51-1 wins
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#9
09-23-2010, 04:17 PM
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It was worth a shot today with AC, hope she comes back OK. She's got a bright future.
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#10
09-23-2010, 04:24 PM
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How about one person being live in the Pick 6, not to 1-4 Sea of Liquidity, but to 10-1 Seren Trippidy. Talk about stubborn.
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#11
09-23-2010, 04:33 PM
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Maybe they just played a quick pick or something.
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