Rachel Alexandra - what would her odds be in the BC Distaff?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

If she came out of retirement and trained into the BC Distaff - I think she's probably be an even money favorite or less - and would probably win comfortably.

I don't think Life At Ten would be going on any more suicide missions to press her - and while the Siamese twins at the wire tandem of Havre De Grace and Blind Luck are nice 3yo fillies ... both of them would need a lot more.

The last time RA ran at Churchil - she romped by double digits and her final time was faster than Blame's at the same distance in the Foster that same day. She had that great KY Oaks performance for Hal Wiggins last year.

Cutting back off of a 10f race - where she ran an absolutely supersonic pace figure - she'd be loose and totally unpressured on a cakewalk lead unless someone like Hollendorfer would be able to get a rabbit entered in the race.

Every horse who has ever fought her early in a duel has paid a giant price for it. If she's really healthy ... it's pretty amusing that a horse is retired sound and healthy just a few weeks before going off a strong favorite in a Breeders Cup race.

I see a tight battle for favortisim between Life At Ten and Blind Luck ... with Rachel Alexandra in there - Borel at Churchill - almost certain to be jogging on an unpressured early lead for the first time since the '09 Fantasy Stakes .. that really feels like an even money favorite at most.

[miraja2]

An even-money favorite?!?

Wait....how can that be?

Did you forget to consider that she was a miserable, broken-down horse who hates racing and completely embarrassed herself in every race this year?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I hear ya.

Those people saying stuff like that don't have the slightest clue - and unfortunately - don't actually bet money.

[NoLuvForPletch]

I agree, more than likely a public workout for more than $1M. But I guess when your JJ, is it worth a million dollars to risk something bad happening to what you hope will be producing champion after champion for you? She doesn't have anything to gain by running. My guess is JJ keeps all of her babies, so the BC Distaff champion moniker means nothing.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

What's to risk? - the odds of racing fatality are pretty remote if he's sound and well.

I have to think the odds of a Jess Jackson fatality before the first RA foal sired by Curlin hits the track are a lot greater.

[NoLuvForPletch]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

What's to risk? - the odds of racing fatality are pretty remote if he's sound and well.

I have to think the odds of a Jess Jackson fatality before the first RA foal sired by Curlin hits the track are a lot greater.

Ok Drugs. I laughed. Not bad indeed.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch

I agree, more than likely a public workout for more than $1M. But I guess when your JJ, is it worth a million dollars to risk something bad happening to what you hope will be producing champion after champion for you? She doesn't have anything to gain by running. My guess is JJ keeps all of her babies, so the BC Distaff champion moniker means nothing.

No offense but this warped view of the sport is absolutely ruining the game at the highest level.

[letswastemoney]

How old is Jess Jackson?

Why the heck would he retire Rachel if he's just going to spend his last days looking for the exact same quality? Even a 90% Rachel is VERY difficult to find and you could spend a lifetime without finding a horse this talented.

Good luck with that JJ. What you want is already yours, and apparently you have decided to retire her.

[NoLuvForPletch]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

No offense but this warped view of the sport is absolutely ruining the game at the highest level.

I never said I wouldn't run her. Nor do I say I agree with the decision not to run her.

But honestly, it does seem as though she has more to lose than to gain running in the Distaff.

[pba1817]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

If she came out of retirement and trained into the BC Distaff - I think she's probably be an even money favorite or less - and would probably win comfortably.

I don't think Life At Ten would be going on any more suicide missions to press her - and while the Siamese twins at the wire tandem of Havre De Grace and Blind Luck are nice 3yo fillies ... both of them would need a lot more.

The last time RA ran at Churchil - she romped by double digits and her final time was faster than Blame's at the same distance in the Foster that same day. She had that great KY Oaks performance for Hal Wiggins last year.

Cutting back off of a 10f race - where she ran an absolutely supersonic pace figure - she'd be loose and totally unpressured on a cakewalk lead unless someone like Hollendorfer would be able to get a rabbit entered in the race.

Every horse who has ever fought her early in a duel has paid a giant price for it. If she's really healthy ... it's pretty amusing that a horse is retired sound and healthy just a few weeks before going off a strong favorite in a Breeders Cup race.

I see a tight battle for favortisim between Life At Ten and Blind Luck ... with Rachel Alexandra in there - Borel at Churchill - almost certain to be jogging on an unpressured early lead for the first time since the '09 Fantasy Stakes .. that really feels like an even money favorite at most.

Can I please have the moments I wasted reading this post? This ranks up there with the most worthless topics of all time.

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by pba1817

Can I please have the moments I wasted reading this post? This ranks up there with the most worthless topics of all time.

The most worthless topics/posts though that we see are the ones written by you.